USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 09, 2026 01:00
✓Model correct — prediction Lexington
B. P. Rodrigues
(ast. B. Ferri)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lexington a 72% win probability (draw 16%, Phoenix Rising 11%). The final result was Lexington 1–0 Phoenix Rising.
Match statistics
Match Events
31'
JP Scearce
Nick Firmino
/ T. Scott
59'
⚽B. P. Rodrigues
· ast. B. Ferri
63'
68'
L. Biasi
/
C. Smith
68'
A. Pelayo
/
C. Ambursley
B. Ferri
/ M. Tschantret
74'
J. Greene
/ J. Hafferty
77'
80'
G. Studenhofft
/
J. Moursou
85'
L. Biasi
86'
C. Dennis
/
H. Avayevu
86'
R. Czichos
/
P. Mar Boye
A. Molloy
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
72.18%
Lexington ←
16.04%
X
11.79%
Phoenix
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lexington)
72.18%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
—
—
0.68
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?
The final score was Lexington 1–0 Phoenix Rising.
What did the model predict before Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Lexington win, 16% to a draw, and 11% to an Phoenix Rising win.