Liberia - Cape Verde Islands
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.23%
Win
Liberia
33.58%
Draw
32.19%
Win
Cape Verde Islands
0.83
0.8
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.12%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
34%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
66%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Liberia a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Cape Verde Islands. Expected goals are 0.8 for Liberia and 0.8 for Cape Verde Islands (total 1.6), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.12% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
2L
0W
0D
2L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
2.5
3.0
Shots OT
4.0
4.0
Corners
2.5
45%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Liberia
Cape Verde Islands →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.6% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Liberia
Attack
27
Defence
64
Form
11
Cape Verde Islands
Attack
37
Defence
59
Form
26
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group K
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rwanda
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Mali
|
2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Cape Verde Islands
|
2 | 0 |
| 4 |
Liberia
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group K
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Liberia | #3 | #4 |
| → Draw | #4 | #3 |
| → Cape Verde Islands | #4 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands?
The model gives Liberia a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Cape Verde Islands win.
How many goals are expected in Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands?
Expected goals: Liberia 0.8, Cape Verde Islands 0.8 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.12%.