Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
September 29, 2026 21:00
79'
(ast. Kamory Doumbia)
Ange Martial Tia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liberia a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Mali 34%). The final result was Liberia 0–1 Mali.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
16
1
Shots on target
3
0
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
8
11
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Mohammed Sangare
22'
Edward Ledlum
/ P. Tarnue
64'
Sylvanus Nimely
/ Peter Wilson
64'
75'
Ousmane Camara
79'
ast. Kamory Doumbia ·
Ange Martial Tia⚽
82'
Sekou Koita
/
Ange Martial Tia
82'
Lassana Coulibaly
/
Kamory Doumbia
83'
Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra
/
Nene Dorgeles
Franklin·Nyenetue
/ Sabastien Teclar
83'
Nohan Kenneh
/ Divine Teah
83'
89'
Modibo Sagnan
/
Lassine Sinayoko
90'+2
Ousmane·Diakite
/
Mamadou Sangare
Sabastien Teclar
90'+4
Ayouba Kosiah
/ Emmanuel Flomo
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.16%
Liberia
27.82%
X
34.03%
Mali ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mali)
34.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
—
—
1.42
—
—
Lineups
23
G
3
E. Fully
D
E. Fully
D
20
M. Sangare
D
M. Sangare
D
24
S. Dweh
D
S. Dweh
D
17
F. Nyenetue
83'
M
F. Nyenetue
83'
M
6
Salomon Tweh
M
Salomon Tweh
M
4
N. Kenneh
83'
M
N. Kenneh
83'
M
19
O. Dorley
M
O. Dorley
M
22
M
10
A. Kosiah
89'
F
A. Kosiah
89'
F
11
S. Nimely
64'
F
S. Nimely
64'
F
Bench
1
Amos Wesseh
G
Amos Wesseh
G
21
Bryant Farkarlun
F
Bryant Farkarlun
F
8
D. Teah
7'
M
D. Teah
7'
M
7
Prince Martor
F
Prince Martor
F
12
P. Tarnue
26'
D
P. Tarnue
26'
D
18
P. Wilson
26'
F
P. Wilson
26'
F
16
D. Diarra
G
D. Diarra
G
15
D. Guindo
D
D. Guindo
D
14
N. Gassama
D
N. Gassama
D
25
O. Camara
D
O. Camara
D
2
H. Traoré
D
H. Traoré
D
23
A. Dieng
M
A. Dieng
M
8
M. Sangaré
89'
M
M. Sangaré
89'
M
7
N. Dorgeles
83'
M
N. Dorgeles
83'
M
10
K. Doumbia
1 👟
82'
M
K. Doumbia
1 👟
82'
M
12
A. Tia
1 ⚽
82'
M
A. Tia
1 ⚽
82'
M
17
L. Sinayoko
89'
F
L. Sinayoko
89'
F
Bench
19
A. Camara
M
A. Camara
M
3
A. Danté
D
A. Danté
D
4
A. Haidara
M
A. Haidara
M
5
Cheick Keita
D
Cheick Keita
D
21
G. Diarra
7'
F
G. Diarra
7'
F
11
L. Coulibaly
8'
M
L. Coulibaly
8'
M
18
M. Doumbia
F
M. Doumbia
F
13
M. Sagnan
1'
D
M. Sagnan
1'
D
22
M. Samassa
G
M. Samassa
G
6
O. Diakité
1'
M
O. Diakité
1'
M
20
Sekou Koita
8'
F
Sekou Koita
8'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Tia
M · Mali
7.77
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
K. Doumbia
M · Mali
7.57
1 👟
2 shots
· 43 pass
N. Gassama
D · Mali
7.39
· 55 pass
M. Sangaré
M · Mali
7.20
2 shots
· 62 pass
A. Dieng
M · Mali
7.14
· 62 pass
Salomon Tweh
M · Liberia
7.13
2 shots
· 25 pass
Liberia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| E. Fully | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Sangare | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Dweh | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Nyenetue | M | 83 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Salomon Tweh | M | 90 | 7.13 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Kenneh | M | 83 | 5.48 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Dorley | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| A. Kosiah | F | 89 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Nimely | F | 64 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Teah | M | 7 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Tarnue | D | 26 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Wilson | F | 26 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Mali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Diarra | G | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Guindo | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Gassama | D | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Camara | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 61% | 0 | 1 | — |
| H. Traoré | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 53% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Dieng | M | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 57% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Dorgeles | M | 83 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Doumbia | M | 82 | 7.57 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Tia | M | 82 | 7.77 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | F | 89 | 6.16 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Diarra | F | 7 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Coulibaly | M | 8 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sagnan | D | 1 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Diakité | M | 1 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Sekou Koita | F | 8 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liberia vs Mali?
The final score was Liberia 0–1 Mali.
What did the model predict before Liberia vs Mali?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Liberia win, 27% to a draw, and 34% to an Mali win.