Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 16, 2026 00:00
83'
(ast. Emanuel Coronel)
Enzo Copetti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Libertad Asuncion 28%). The final result was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad Asuncion have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rosario Central.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
7
0.33
Actual xG
1.07
4
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
5
21
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Álvaro Campuzano
7'
Estiven Villalba
11'
33'
Agustín Sández
Robert Rojas
/ Iván Franco
46'
Lucas Sanabria
/ Amin Molinas
58'
58'
Enzo Copetti
/
Julián Fernández
70'
Alexis Soto
/
Agustín Sández
70'
Pol Fernandez
/
Alejo Véliz
Federico Carrizo
/ Gustavo Aguilar
74'
76'
Pol Fernandez
83'
ast. Emanuel Coronel ·
Enzo Copetti⚽
87'
Carlos Quintana
/
Emanuel Coronel
87'
Federico Navarro
/
Vicente Pizarro
Diego Viera
/ Oscar Acuña
88'
90'+6
Franco Ibarra
Pre-match prediction
28.5%
Libertad
32.37%
X
39.13%
Rosario ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central)
39.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.69
0.33
-0.36
1.08
1.07
-0.01
Rosario Central dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
31
D
3
Robert Rojas
45'
D
5
Diego Viera
88'
D
Diego Viera
88'
D
34
Estiven Villalba
M
Estiven Villalba
M
21
Lucas Sanabria
58'
M
Lucas Sanabria
58'
M
6
Álvaro Campuzano
M
Álvaro Campuzano
M
14
A. Fretes
M
A. Fretes
M
8
F. Carrizo
74'
F
F. Carrizo
74'
F
19
Jorge Recalde
F
Jorge Recalde
F
17
Matías Espinoza
F
Bench
27
Amin Molinas
39'
M
Amin Molinas
39'
M
11
Gustavo Aguilar
23'
F
Gustavo Aguilar
23'
F
18
I. Franco
52'
M
7
Matías Rojas
M
Matías Rojas
M
4
N. Giménez
D
N. Giménez
D
12
Rodrigo Morínigo
G
Rodrigo Morínigo
G
23
G
32
Emanuel Coronel
1 👟
87'
D
Emanuel Coronel
1 👟
87'
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
D
Ignacio Ovando
D
13
Gastón Ávila
D
Gastón Ávila
D
3
Agustín Sández
70'
D
Agustín Sández
70'
D
5
F. Ibarra
M
F. Ibarra
M
20
Vicente Pizarro
87'
M
Vicente Pizarro
87'
M
16
Enzo Giménez
M
Enzo Giménez
M
18
J. Fernandez
58'
M
8
J. Campaz
M
J. Campaz
M
9
A. Véliz
70'
F
A. Véliz
70'
F
Bench
33
Alexis Soto
27'
D
Alexis Soto
27'
D
22
E. Copetti
1 ⚽
39'
F
E. Copetti
1 ⚽
39'
F
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Fabricio Oviedo
F
31
Federico Navarro
10'
M
Federico Navarro
10'
M
27
Gaspar Duarte
F
35
L. Ramos
D
28
Pol Fernández
27'
M
Pol Fernández
27'
M
Best on the pitch
Álvaro Campuzano
M · Libertad
7.70
· 34 pass
G · Libertad
7.60
· 20 pass
G · Rosario
7.60
· 26 pass
Enzo Giménez
M · Rosario
7.50
2 shots
· 36 pass
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
7.50
1 shots
· 79 pass
Gastón Ávila
D · Rosario
7.50
2 shots
· 73 pass
Libertad Asuncion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — | |
| Robert Rojas | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Diego Viera | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Estiven Villalba | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Campuzano | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 7 | 1 | — |
| A. Fretes | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Carrizo | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Jorge Recalde | F | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Espinoza | F | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Amin Molinas | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Aguilar | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Franco | M | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Emanuel Coronel | D | 87 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Gastón Ávila | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Sández | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 70% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Vicente Pizarro | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Giménez | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Fernandez | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Campaz | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Soto | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Copetti | F | 39 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Federico Navarro | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Pol Fernández | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?
The final score was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Libertad Asuncion win, 32% to a draw, and 39% to an Rosario Central win.