Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 16, 2026 00:00
83'
(ast. Emanuel Coronel)
Enzo Copetti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Libertad Asuncion 28%). The final result was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad Asuncion have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rosario Central.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
7
0.33
Actual xG
1.07
4
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
5
21
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Álvaro Campuzano
7'
Estiven Villalba
11'
33'
Agustín Sández
Robert Rojas
/ Iván Franco
46'
Lucas Sanabria
/ Amin Molinas
58'
58'
Enzo Copetti
/
Julián Fernández
70'
Alexis Soto
/
Agustín Sández
70'
Pol Fernandez
/
Alejo Véliz
Federico Carrizo
/ Gustavo Aguilar
74'
76'
Pol Fernandez
83'
ast. Emanuel Coronel ·
Enzo Copetti⚽
87'
Carlos Quintana
/
Emanuel Coronel
87'
Federico Navarro
/
Vicente Pizarro
Diego Viera
/ Oscar Acuña
88'
90'+6
Franco Ibarra
Pre-match prediction
28.5%
Libertad
32.37%
X
39.13%
Rosario ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central)
39.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.69
0.33
-0.36
1.08
1.07
-0.01
Rosario Central dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
31
D
3
R. Rojas
45'
D
R. Rojas
45'
D
5
Diego Viera
88'
D
Diego Viera
88'
D
34
Estiven Villalba
M
Estiven Villalba
M
21
Lucas Sanabria
58'
M
Lucas Sanabria
58'
M
6
Á. Campuzano
M
Á. Campuzano
M
14
A. Fretes
M
A. Fretes
M
8
F. Carrizo
74'
F
F. Carrizo
74'
F
19
J. Recalde
F
J. Recalde
F
17
Matías Espinoza
F
Matías Espinoza
F
Bench
27
A. Molinas
39'
M
A. Molinas
39'
M
11
G. Aguilar
23'
F
G. Aguilar
23'
F
18
Iván Franco
52'
M
Iván Franco
52'
M
7
Matías Rojas
M
Matías Rojas
M
4
N. Giménez
D
N. Giménez
D
12
Rodrigo Morínigo
G
Rodrigo Morínigo
G
23
G
32
E. Coronel
1 👟
87'
D
E. Coronel
1 👟
87'
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
D
Ignacio Ovando
D
13
G. Ávila
D
G. Ávila
D
3
A. Sandez
70'
D
A. Sandez
70'
D
5
F. Ibarra
M
F. Ibarra
M
20
V. Pizarro
87'
M
V. Pizarro
87'
M
16
E. Giménez
M
E. Giménez
M
18
Julián Fernández
58'
M
Julián Fernández
58'
M
8
J. Campaz
M
J. Campaz
M
9
A. Véliz
70'
F
A. Véliz
70'
F
Bench
33
A. Soto
27'
D
A. Soto
27'
D
22
E. Copetti
1 ⚽
39'
F
E. Copetti
1 ⚽
39'
F
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Fabricio Oviedo
F
31
F. Navarro
10'
M
F. Navarro
10'
M
27
Gaspar Duarte
F
28
G. Fernández
27'
M
G. Fernández
27'
M
35
Lucas Ramos
D
Lucas Ramos
D
Best on the pitch
Á. Campuzano
M · Libertad
7.70
· 34 pass
G · Libertad
7.60
· 20 pass
G · Rosario
7.60
· 26 pass
E. Giménez
M · Rosario
7.50
2 shots
· 36 pass
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
7.50
1 shots
· 79 pass
G. Ávila
D · Rosario
7.50
2 shots
· 73 pass
Libertad Asuncion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Rojas | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Diego Viera | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Estiven Villalba | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Á. Campuzano | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 7 | 1 | — |
| A. Fretes | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Carrizo | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Recalde | F | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Espinoza | F | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Molinas | M | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Aguilar | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Franco | M | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| E. Coronel | D | 87 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Ávila | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sandez | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 70% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Pizarro | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| E. Giménez | M | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Julián Fernández | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Campaz | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Soto | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Copetti | F | 39 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Navarro | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Fernández | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?
The final score was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before Libertad Asuncion vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Libertad Asuncion win, 32% to a draw, and 39% to an Rosario Central win.