Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
62'
(ast. Daniel De Sousa)
Juan Manuel Cuesta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Libertad Asuncion a 46% win probability (draw 29%, UCV 24%). The final result was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 UCV. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad Asuncion have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for UCV.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
4
0.87
Actual xG
1.83
3
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
2
9
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Iván Franco
/ Estiven Villalba
61'
Federico Carrizo
/ Amin Molinas
61'
62'
ast. Daniel De Sousa ·
Juan Manuel Cuesta⚽
66'
Kendrys Silva
Lucas Sanabria
/ Jorge Recalde
70'
Iván Ramírez
/ Alan Benítez
70'
76'
Maicol Ruiz
/
Francisco Solé
Alexis Fretes
/ Rodrigo Villalba
78'
79'
Lautaro Morales
81'
Carlos Cermeño
/
Kendrys Silva
90'+4
Williams Velásquez
90'
Charlis Ortíz
/
Daniel De Sousa
90'
Alfonso Simarra
/
Juan Manuel Cuesta
Pre-match prediction
46.74%
Libertad
29.21%
X
24.04%
UCV ←
we assigned to the actual result (UCV)
24.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.87
-0.15
0.71
1.83
+1.12
UCV dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Victor Rojas
G
Victor Rojas
G
17
Matías Espinoza
D
Matías Espinoza
D
4
N. Giménez
D
N. Giménez
D
5
Diego Viera
D
Diego Viera
D
2
I. Ramírez
70'
D
I. Ramírez
70'
D
33
Cristhian Martínez
M
Cristhian Martínez
M
21
Lucas Sanabria
70'
M
Lucas Sanabria
70'
M
14
A. Fretes
78'
M
A. Fretes
78'
M
8
F. Carrizo
61'
M
F. Carrizo
61'
M
18
Iván Franco
61'
M
Iván Franco
61'
M
10
L. Melgarejo
F
L. Melgarejo
F
Bench
15
Alan Benítez
26'
D
Alan Benítez
26'
D
27
A. Molinas
35'
M
A. Molinas
35'
M
25
Ángel González
G
Ángel González
G
38
Estifen Díaz
M
Estifen Díaz
M
34
Estiven Villalba
35'
D
Estiven Villalba
35'
D
26
Hernesto Caballero
M
Hernesto Caballero
M
19
J. Recalde
26'
M
J. Recalde
26'
M
28
Marcelo Fernandez
F
Marcelo Fernandez
F
23
Pedro Villalba
M
Pedro Villalba
M
24
Rodrigo Villalba
18'
D
Rodrigo Villalba
18'
D
32
Santiago Delvalle
D
Santiago Delvalle
D
1
L. Morales
G
L. Morales
G
27
Daniel Carrillo
D
Daniel Carrillo
D
4
W. Velásquez
D
5
Adrián Martínez
D
Adrián Martínez
D
2
K. Silva
81'
D
17
V. Rodríguez
M
6
F. Solé
76'
M
30
A. González
M
7
J. Cuesta
1 ⚽
F
J. Cuesta
1 ⚽
F
8
J. Zapata
F
16
D. De Sousa
1 👟
F
Bench
19
A. Simarra
3'
D
A. Simarra
3'
D
57
C. Cermeño
15'
M
12
C. González
G
21
C. Ortiz
3'
F
13
G. Schiavone
G
14
Kendry Mendoza
M
Kendry Mendoza
M
28
M. Ruiz
20'
D
24
Y. Cumaná
D
9
Yeiber Murillo
F
Yeiber Murillo
F
Best on the pitch
L. Morales
G · UCV
9.50
· 35 pass
J. Cuesta
F · UCV
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 36 pass
Alan Benítez
D · Libertad
7.90
· 13 pass
Cristhian Martínez
M · Libertad
7.30
· 82 pass
F. Carrizo
M · Libertad
7.30
· 35 pass
W. Velásquez
D · UCV
7.20
· 34 pass
Libertad Asuncion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Rojas | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matías Espinoza | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 45% | — | — | — |
| N. Giménez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Diego Viera | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| I. Ramírez | D | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristhian Martínez | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fretes | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Carrizo | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Iván Franco | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Melgarejo | F | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Alan Benítez | D | 26 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Molinas | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Estiven Villalba | D | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Recalde | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villalba | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
UCV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Morales | G | 96 | 9.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Carrillo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Velásquez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Martínez | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Silva | D | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| V. Rodríguez | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| F. Solé | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | F | 93 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. De Sousa | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Simarra | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Cermeño | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ortiz | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ruiz | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Libertad Asuncion vs UCV?
The final score was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 UCV.
What did the model predict before Libertad Asuncion vs UCV?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Libertad Asuncion win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an UCV win.