Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
62'
(ast. Daniel De Sousa)
Juan Manuel Cuesta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Libertad Asuncion a 46% win probability (draw 29%, UCV 24%). The final result was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 UCV. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad Asuncion have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for UCV.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
4
0.87
Actual xG
1.83
3
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
2
9
Tackles
24
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Iván Franco
/ Estiven Villalba
61'
Federico Carrizo
/ Amin Molinas
61'
62'
ast. Daniel De Sousa ·
Juan Manuel Cuesta⚽
66'
Kendrys Silva
Lucas Sanabria
/ Jorge Recalde
70'
Iván Ramírez
/ Alan Benítez
70'
76'
Maicol Ruiz
/
Francisco Solé
Alexis Fretes
/ Rodrigo Villalba
78'
79'
Lautaro Morales
81'
Carlos Cermeño
/
Kendrys Silva
90'+4
Williams Velásquez
90'
Charlis Ortíz
/
Daniel De Sousa
90'
Alfonso Simarra
/
Juan Manuel Cuesta
Pre-match prediction
46.74%
Libertad
29.21%
X
24.04%
UCV ←
we assigned to the actual result (UCV)
24.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.87
-0.15
0.71
1.83
+1.12
UCV dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Victor Rojas
G
Victor Rojas
G
17
Matías Espinoza
D
Matías Espinoza
D
4
N. Giménez
D
N. Giménez
D
5
Diego Viera
D
Diego Viera
D
2
I. Ramírez
70'
D
I. Ramírez
70'
D
33
Cristhian Martínez
M
Cristhian Martínez
M
21
Lucas Sanabria
70'
M
Lucas Sanabria
70'
M
14
A. Fretes
78'
M
A. Fretes
78'
M
8
F. Carrizo
61'
M
F. Carrizo
61'
M
18
Iván Franco
61'
M
Iván Franco
61'
M
10
L. Melgarejo
F
L. Melgarejo
F
Bench
15
Alan Benítez
26'
D
Alan Benítez
26'
D
27
Amin Molinas
35'
M
Amin Molinas
35'
M
25
Ángel González
G
Ángel González
G
38
Estifen Díaz
M
Estifen Díaz
M
34
Estiven Villalba
35'
D
Estiven Villalba
35'
D
26
Hernesto Caballero
M
Hernesto Caballero
M
19
Jorge Recalde
26'
M
Jorge Recalde
26'
M
28
Marcelo Fernandez
F
Marcelo Fernandez
F
23
Pedro Villalba
M
Pedro Villalba
M
24
Rodrigo Villalba
18'
D
Rodrigo Villalba
18'
D
32
Santiago Delvalle
D
Santiago Delvalle
D
1
Lautaro Morales
G
Lautaro Morales
G
27
Daniel Carrillo
D
Daniel Carrillo
D
4
Williams Velásquez
D
Williams Velásquez
D
5
Adrián Martínez
D
Adrián Martínez
D
2
Kendrys Silva
81'
D
Kendrys Silva
81'
D
17
Vicente Rodríguez
M
Vicente Rodríguez
M
6
Francisco Solé
76'
M
Francisco Solé
76'
M
30
Alexander Gonzalez
M
Alexander Gonzalez
M
7
J. Cuesta
1 ⚽
F
J. Cuesta
1 ⚽
F
8
Juan Camilo Zapata
F
Juan Camilo Zapata
F
16
Daniel De Sousa
1 👟
F
Daniel De Sousa
1 👟
F
Bench
19
Alfonso Simarra
3'
D
Alfonso Simarra
3'
D
57
Carlos Cermeño
15'
M
Carlos Cermeño
15'
M
12
Carlos González
G
Carlos González
G
21
Charlis Ortíz
3'
F
Charlis Ortíz
3'
F
13
Giancarlo Schiavone
G
Giancarlo Schiavone
G
14
Kendry Mendoza
M
Kendry Mendoza
M
28
Maicol Ruiz
20'
D
Maicol Ruiz
20'
D
9
Yeiber Murillo
F
Yeiber Murillo
F
24
Yohan Cumana
D
Yohan Cumana
D
Best on the pitch
Lautaro Morales
G · UCV
9.50
· 35 pass
J. Cuesta
F · UCV
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 36 pass
Alan Benítez
D · Libertad
7.90
· 13 pass
Cristhian Martínez
M · Libertad
7.30
· 82 pass
F. Carrizo
M · Libertad
7.30
· 35 pass
Williams Velásquez
D · UCV
7.20
· 34 pass
Libertad Asuncion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Rojas | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matías Espinoza | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 45% | — | — | — |
| N. Giménez | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Diego Viera | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 54% | — | — | — |
| I. Ramírez | D | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristhian Martínez | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fretes | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Carrizo | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Iván Franco | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Melgarejo | F | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Alan Benítez | D | 26 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Amin Molinas | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Estiven Villalba | D | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Recalde | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villalba | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
UCV — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Morales | G | 96 | 9.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Carrillo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Williams Velásquez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Martínez | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Kendrys Silva | D | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Vicente Rodríguez | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| Francisco Solé | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Gonzalez | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | F | 93 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Camilo Zapata | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel De Sousa | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Alfonso Simarra | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Cermeño | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Charlis Ortíz | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Maicol Ruiz | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Libertad Asuncion vs UCV?
The final score was Libertad Asuncion 0–1 UCV.
What did the model predict before Libertad Asuncion vs UCV?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Libertad Asuncion win, 29% to a draw, and 24% to an UCV win.