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Libertad - Deportivo Cuenca

LigaPro May 16, 2026 02:00
Libertad
#14 · 14 pts
vs
Deportivo Cuenca
#6 · 20 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 15.2°C 💨 9 km/h · Loja
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.78%
Win
Libertad
23.26%
Draw
40.96%
Win
Deportivo Cuenca
1.65
Expected xG
1.88

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Cuenca a 40% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Libertad. Expected goals are 1.7 for Libertad and 1.9 for Deportivo Cuenca (total 3.5), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Cuenca.

Score Matrix
↕ Libertad Deportivo Cuenca →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9% 5.5% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
1 4.8% 9.1% 8.5% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.5% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.2% 4.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
Libertad Libertad
D Emelec 1–1
W Aucas 3–2
L Macara 3–0
L Guayaquil City FC 0–1
L Universidad Catolica 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 30%
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
W Guayaquil City FC 0–1
W Tecnico Universitario 2–1
L Mushuc Runa SC 4–1
L Orense SC 1–3
W Manta FC 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 44%
Playing profile
Libertad Libertad
Attack
27
Defence
49
Form
36
Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
Attack
37
Defence
51
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Libertad
0
Draw
1
Deportivo Cuenca
L 5 Mar 2026 Copa Sudamericana 0–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 13 31
2 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 13 22
3 Aucas Aucas 13 22
4 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 13 20
5 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 13 20
6 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 13 20
7 Orense SC Orense SC 13 19
8 Macara Macara 13 19
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 13 18
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 13 16
11 Delfin SC Delfin SC 13 15
12 Emelec Emelec 13 15
13 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 13 14
14 Libertad Libertad 13 14
15 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 13 13
16 Manta FC Manta FC 13 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model gives Libertad a 35% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 40% for an Deportivo Cuenca win.
How many goals are expected in Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Expected goals: Libertad 1.7, Deportivo Cuenca 1.9 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.1%.