Libertad 2–3 Independiente del Valle — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — September 14, 2026

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LigaPro · Regular Season - 30 September 14, 2026 01:00 Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Libertad

#7 · 41 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Independiente del Valle

#1 · 78 pts

Gabriel Cortez 45'

Vilinton German Branda Merlin (ast. Antony Chere) 56'

19' (ast. Yandri Vásquez) Matias Mijail Perello

34' (ast. Ronald Briones) Yandri Vásquez

72' (ast. Hugo Quintana) Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 41% win probability (draw 19%, Libertad 38%). The final result was Libertad 2–3 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente del Valle.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

49%

Possession

51%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

19'

ast. Yandri Vásquez · Matias Mijail Perello⚽

↕ Edu Pineda / Johan Estacio

29'

↕ D. Coronel / Gabriel Cortez

29'

34'

ast. Ronald Briones · Yandri Vásquez⚽

⚽Gabriel Cortez

45'

⚽Vilinton German Branda Merlin · ast. Antony Chere

56'

60'

Junior Sornoza / Hólger Jamil Quintero Preciado ↕

60'

Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez / Edwin Quintero ↕

Johan Estacio

62'

65'

Jhon Espinoza

Orlin Quinonez

68'

69'

Hugo Quintana / Ronald Briones ↕

69'

Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios / Matias Mijail Perello ↕

72'

ast. Hugo Quintana · Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios⚽

↕ Orlin Quinonez / Enrique Rafael Caicedo Borja

76'

82'

Mateo Carabajal / Youri Ochoa ↕

↕ Vilinton German Branda Merlin / Carlos Orejuela

84'

↕ cristhian valencia / Jostin Bravo

84'

90'

Jhon Espinoza

Pre-match prediction

38.74%

Libertad

19.36%

41.9%

Independiente ←

we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle) 41.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Libertad

2.75

—

Independiente

2.65

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	33	78
1	Independiente del Valle	30	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	51
2	Macara	34	63
3	Universidad Catolica	34	53
3	Macara	30	51
4	Aucas	30	50
4	LDU de Quito	34	53
5	Aucas	34	51
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	44
6	Barcelona SC	33	48
7	Libertad	30	41
7	Libertad	34	50
8	Leones del Norte	30	39
8	Guayaquil City FC	34	46
9	Leones del Norte	34	43
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
10	Emelec	34	42
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	30	36
11	Deportivo Cuenca	34	44
12	Mushuc Runa SC	34	40
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
13	Orense SC	30	33
13	Orense SC	34	38
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	32
14	Tecnico Universitario	34	36
15	Delfin SC	34	35
15	Delfin SC	30	28
16	Manta FC	30	21
16	Manta FC	34	27

Lineups

Libertad 5-4-1

D. Cabezas G 6.72

J. Rodríguez D 6.15

O. Quiñónez 76' D 5.73

C. Gruezo D 6.50

B. Caicedo D 5.89

E. Patta D 6.29

D. Coronel 29' M 5.62

X. Pineda 29' M 5.89

C. Valencia 84' M 5.42

Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.26

A. Chére 1 👟 F 6.72

Bench

Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez 6' M 5.52

E. Caicedo 14' F 6.35

G. Cortéz 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.07

J. Bravo 6' M 5.82

J. Estacio 61' M 6.05

J. Guisamano M 0.00

M. Lucas D 0.00

P. Mina G 0.00

S. Bueno Quinonez M 0.00

Stick Carlos Castro Palma M 0.00

Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1

A. Quintana G 6.04

G. Cortéz D 7.22

D 6.28

Andy René Velasco García D 6.49

J. Espinoza D 5.10

H. Quintero 60' M 6.28

M. Perelló 1 ⚽ 69' M 7.11

Y. Ochoa 82' M 5.75

R. Briones 1 👟 69' M 7.08

E. Quintero 60' M 6.12

Y. Vásquez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.96

Bench

A. Gómez M 0.00

Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla D 0.00

D. Reasco F 0.00

Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez 30' F 6.71

H. Quintana 1 👟 21' M 6.23

J. Alcívar M 0.00

J. Méndez M 0.00

J. Sornoza 30' M 6.11

M. Carabajal 8' D 6.16

M. Peralta G 0.00

R. Schunke D 0.00

Best on the pitch

Y. Vásquez

F · Independiente

8.96

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 27 pass

Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín

M · Libertad

7.26

1 ⚽

4 shots · 15 pass

G. Cortéz

D · Independiente

7.22

1 shots · 29 pass

M. Perelló

M · Independiente

7.11

1 ⚽

4 shots · 9 pass

R. Briones

M · Independiente

7.08

1 👟

· 18 pass

G. Cortéz

M · Libertad

7.07

1 ⚽

7 shots · 13 pass

Libertad — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Cabezas	G	90	6.72	—	—	0	28	18%	0	—	—
J. Rodríguez	D	90	6.15	—	—	0	22	15%	3	—	—
O. Quiñónez	D	76	5.73	—	—	0	47	34%	1	1	—
C. Gruezo	D	90	6.50	—	—	2	40	35%	0	—	—
B. Caicedo	D	90	5.89	—	—	1	31	22%	0	—	—
E. Patta	D	90	6.29	—	—	0	19	15%	2	—	—
D. Coronel	M	29	5.62	—	—	1	9	5%	0	—	—
X. Pineda	M	29	5.89	—	—	1	11	10%	0	—	—
C. Valencia	M	84	5.42	—	—	2	26	17%	0	—	—
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín	M	84	7.26	1	—	4	15	12%	1	—	—
A. Chére	F	90	6.72	—	1	1	19	13%	2	—	—
Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez	M	6	5.52	—	—	0	7	4%	0	—	—
E. Caicedo	F	14	6.35	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—
G. Cortéz	M	61	7.07	1	—	7	13	11%	0	—	—
J. Bravo	M	6	5.82	—	—	0	4	4%	0	—	—
J. Estacio	M	61	6.05	—	—	0	22	19%	2	1	—

Independiente del Valle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Quintana	G	90	6.04	—	—	0	28	19%	0	—	—
G. Cortéz	D	90	7.22	—	—	1	29	27%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.28	—	—	1	45	34%	0	—	—
Andy René Velasco García	D	90	6.49	—	—	0	54	43%	2	—	—
J. Espinoza	D	90	5.10	—	—	0	30	22%	1	—	1
H. Quintero	M	60	6.28	—	—	3	21	15%	1	—	—
M. Perelló	M	69	7.11	1	—	4	9	5%	0	—	—
Y. Ochoa	M	82	5.75	—	—	0	51	40%	4	—	—
R. Briones	M	69	7.08	—	1	0	18	13%	0	—	—
E. Quintero	M	60	6.12	—	—	1	16	13%	0	—	—
Y. Vásquez	F	90	8.96	1	1	5	27	17%	0	—	—
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez	F	30	6.71	—	—	2	6	4%	0	—	—
H. Quintana	M	21	6.23	—	1	2	2	2%	0	—	—
J. Sornoza	M	30	6.11	—	—	1	12	11%	0	—	—
M. Carabajal	D	8	6.16	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Libertad vs Independiente del Valle?

The final score was Libertad 2–3 Independiente del Valle.

What did the model predict before Libertad vs Independiente del Valle?

The model assigned 38% probability to a Libertad win, 19% to a draw, and 41% to an Independiente del Valle win.