Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — July 04, 2026

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LigaPro · Regular Season - 17 July 04, 2026 21:00 Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Libertad

#10 · 27 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Leones del Norte

#7 · 31 pts

V. Branda (ast. E. Patta) 27'

(pen.) 45'+5 J. Anangono

45'+6 (ast. D. Pazmino) J. Anangono

73' (ast. M. Luque) D. Pazmino

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Libertad a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Leones del Norte 33%). The final result was Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Leones del Norte.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

52%

Possession

48%

Corners

Tackles

Match Events

J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza

14'

⚽V. Branda · ast. E. Patta

27'

J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza

32'

J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza

32'

33'

N. Monserrat

↕ D. Coronel / M. Lucas

38'

41'

45'+5

(pen.) J. Anangono⚽

45'+6

ast. D. Pazmino · J. Anangono⚽

↕ H. Batalla / A. Chere

46'

↕ S. Castro / R. Zambrano

46'

↕ G. J. Cortez Casierra / C. Orejuela

59'

C. Solano / M. Caramuto ↕

↕ J. Bravo / J. Estacio

65'

73'

ast. M. Luque · D. Pazmino⚽

R. Zambrano

80'

81'

J. Cabeza / D. Pazmino ↕

81'

R. Borja / E. Griffa ↕

90'+3

M. Caicedo / M. De La Cruz ↕

90'+3

J. Cabeza

90'+3

Caicedo Nestor / B. Kreiman ↕

A. Chere

90'

Pre-match prediction

34.97%

Libertad

31.27%

33.76%

Leones ←

we assigned to the actual result (Leones del Norte) 33.76% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Libertad

0.86

—

Leones

0.94

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	22	55
2	Universidad Catolica	22	36
3	Macara	22	35
4	Aucas	22	35
5	Barcelona SC	22	34
6	LDU de Quito	22	32
7	Leones del Norte	22	31
8	Deportivo Cuenca	22	31
9	Guayaquil City FC	22	28
10	Libertad	22	27
11	Tecnico Universitario	22	26
12	Orense SC	22	26
13	Mushuc Runa SC	22	25
14	Emelec	22	25
15	Delfin SC	22	23
16	Manta FC	22	14

Lineups

Libertad 5-3-2

David Cabezas 26' G 6.85

G. Cortéz 26' F 6.95

Vilington Branda 1 ⚽ 26' M 6.47

H. Batalla 26' M 6.56

Bryan Caicedo 26' D 6.62

Elvis Patta 1 👟 26' D 6.55

Bench

Antony Chére F 0.00

J. Guisamano M 0.00

R. Zambrano D 0.00

Leones del Norte 4-2-3-1

M. Ramírez 26' G 6.78

Darío Pazmiño 1 ⚽ 1 👟 26' M 6.72

M. Caramuto 26' M 6.78

Emiliano Griffa 26' M 6.27

Nicolás Monserrat 26' D 6.50

Mauro Luque 1 👟 26' M 6.17

Bench

Cristhian Solano M 0.00

O. Cabeza M 0.00

Best on the pitch

G. Cortéz

F · Libertad

6.95

1 shots · 3 pass

David Cabezas

G · Libertad

6.85

· 11 pass

M. Ramírez

G · Leones

6.78

· 6 pass

M. Caramuto

M · Leones

6.78

· 11 pass

Darío Pazmiño

M · Leones

6.72

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 10 pass

Bryan Caicedo

D · Libertad

6.62

· 7 pass

Libertad — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
David Cabezas	G	26	6.85	—	—	0	11	5%	0	—	—
G. Cortéz	F	26	6.95	—	—	1	3	2%	0	—	—
Vilington Branda	M	26	6.47	1	—	0	7	5%	0	—	—
H. Batalla	M	26	6.56	—	—	0	8	5%	2	—	—
Bryan Caicedo	D	26	6.62	—	—	0	7	7%	1	—	—
Elvis Patta	D	26	6.55	—	1	0	6	5%	0	—	—

Leones del Norte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Ramírez	G	26	6.78	—	—	0	6	5%	0	—	—
Darío Pazmiño	M	26	6.72	1	1	3	10	8%	0	—	—
M. Caramuto	M	26	6.78	—	—	0	11	10%	1	—	—
Emiliano Griffa	M	26	6.27	—	—	0	10	8%	0	—	—
Nicolás Monserrat	D	26	6.50	—	—	0	11	8%	0	—	—
Mauro Luque	M	26	6.17	—	1	0	4	3%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Libertad vs Leones del Norte?

The final score was Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte.

What did the model predict before Libertad vs Leones del Norte?

The model assigned 34% probability to a Libertad win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Leones del Norte win.