Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte — pre-match prediction — LigaPro — July 04, 2026

← LigaPro

LigaPro · Regular Season - 17 July 04, 2026 21:00 Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Libertad

#7 · 41 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Leones del Norte

#8 · 39 pts

V. Branda (ast. E. Patta) 27'

(pen.) 45'+5 J. Anangono

45'+6 (ast. D. Pazmino) J. Anangono

73' (ast. M. Luque) D. Pazmino

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Libertad a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Leones del Norte 33%). The final result was Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte. In 1 previous meetings, Libertad have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Leones del Norte.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

52%

Possession

48%

Corners

Tackles

Match Events

J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza

14'

⚽V. Branda · ast. E. Patta

27'

J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza

32'

J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza

32'

33'

N. Monserrat

↕ D. Coronel / M. Lucas

38'

41'

45'+5

(pen.) J. Anangono⚽

45'+6

ast. D. Pazmino · J. Anangono⚽

↕ H. Batalla / A. Chere

46'

↕ S. Castro / R. Zambrano

46'

↕ G. J. Cortez Casierra / C. Orejuela

59'

C. Solano / M. Caramuto ↕

↕ J. Bravo / J. Estacio

65'

73'

ast. M. Luque · D. Pazmino⚽

R. Zambrano

80'

81'

J. Cabeza / D. Pazmino ↕

81'

R. Borja / E. Griffa ↕

90'+3

M. Caicedo / M. De La Cruz ↕

90'+3

J. Cabeza

90'+3

Caicedo Nestor / B. Kreiman ↕

A. Chere

90'

Pre-match prediction

34.97%

Libertad

31.27%

33.76%

Leones ←

we assigned to the actual result (Leones del Norte) 33.76% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Libertad

0.86

—

Leones

0.94

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	29	71
2	Aucas	30	50
3	Universidad Catolica	29	48
4	Macara	29	48
5	LDU de Quito	30	46
6	Barcelona SC	29	43
7	Libertad	29	41
8	Leones del Norte	29	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	29	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	36
13	Orense SC	29	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	29	29
15	Delfin SC	29	27
16	Manta FC	30	21

Lineups

Libertad 5-3-2

D. Cabezas 26' G 6.85

G. Cortéz 26' F 6.95

Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín 1 ⚽ 26' M 6.47

H. Batalla 26' M 6.56

B. Caicedo 26' D 6.62

E. Patta 1 👟 26' D 6.55

Bench

A. Chére F 0.00

Jawer Guisamano M 0.00

R. Zambrano D 0.00

Leones del Norte 4-2-3-1

M. Ramírez 26' G 6.78

D. Pazmiño 1 ⚽ 1 👟 26' M 6.72

M. Caramuto 26' M 6.78

Emiliano Griffa 26' M 6.27

N. Monserrat 26' D 6.50

M. Luque 1 👟 26' M 6.17

Bench

C. Solano M 0.00

O. Cabeza M 0.00

Best on the pitch

G. Cortéz

F · Libertad

6.95

1 shots · 3 pass

D. Cabezas

G · Libertad

6.85

· 11 pass

M. Ramírez

G · Leones

6.78

· 6 pass

M. Caramuto

M · Leones

6.78

· 11 pass

D. Pazmiño

M · Leones

6.72

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 10 pass

B. Caicedo

D · Libertad

6.62

· 7 pass

Libertad — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Cabezas	G	26	6.85	—	—	0	11	5%	0	—	—
G. Cortéz	F	26	6.95	—	—	1	3	2%	0	—	—
Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín	M	26	6.47	1	—	0	7	5%	0	—	—
H. Batalla	M	26	6.56	—	—	0	8	5%	2	—	—
B. Caicedo	D	26	6.62	—	—	0	7	7%	1	—	—
E. Patta	D	26	6.55	—	1	0	6	5%	0	—	—

Leones del Norte — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Ramírez	G	26	6.78	—	—	0	6	5%	0	—	—
D. Pazmiño	M	26	6.72	1	1	3	10	8%	0	—	—
M. Caramuto	M	26	6.78	—	—	0	11	10%	1	—	—
Emiliano Griffa	M	26	6.27	—	—	0	10	8%	0	—	—
N. Monserrat	D	26	6.50	—	—	0	11	8%	0	—	—
M. Luque	M	26	6.17	—	1	0	4	3%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Libertad vs Leones del Norte?

The final score was Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte.

What did the model predict before Libertad vs Leones del Norte?

The model assigned 34% probability to a Libertad win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Leones del Norte win.