Libya - Tunisia
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.56%
Win
Libya
33.4%
Draw
28.04%
Win
Tunisia
0.97
0.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.06%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
33%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
61%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Libya a 38% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Tunisia. Expected goals are 1.0 for Libya and 0.6 for Tunisia (total 1.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.06% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
1L
0W
2D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.5
6.0
Shots OT
6.0
7.0
Corners
8.5
63%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Libya
Tunisia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.6% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Libya
Attack
40
Defence
73
Form
12
Tunisia
Attack
38
Defence
51
Form
12
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group H
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Libya | #2 | #4 |
| → Draw | #4 | #2 |
| → Tunisia | #4 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Libya vs Tunisia?
The model gives Libya a 38% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 28% for an Tunisia win.
How many goals are expected in Libya vs Tunisia?
Expected goals: Libya 1.0, Tunisia 0.6 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Libya vs Tunisia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.06%.