Liechtenstein - Lithuania
Weather at kick-off
🌤️
Mainly clear
26.2°C
💨 17 km/h
🌧️ 74%
· Shintomi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
17.66%
Win
Liechtenstein
23.27%
Draw
59.08%
Win
Lithuania
0.68
1.72
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Lithuania
59.08%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(15.61%)
1X2 Result
1
18%
X
23%
2
59%
Double Chance
1X
41%
X2
82%
12
77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
77%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lithuania a 59% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Liechtenstein. Expected goals are 0.7 for Liechtenstein and 1.7 for Lithuania (total 2.4), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.61% probability.
Season Stats
0W
2D
2L
0W
0D
6L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.7
1.5
Conceded
1.8
2.0
Shots OT
3.5
2.3
Corners
2.7
58%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
0W
1D
1L
· at home
0W
0D
3L
· away
0.5
gls/g
0.7
1.5
Conceded
2.0
0%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Liechtenstein
Lithuania →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Liechtenstein
Attack
9
Defence
45
Form
10
Lithuania
Attack
23
Defence
59
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
UEFA Nations League , League D, Group 2
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lithuania
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Azerbaijan
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Liechtenstein
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League D, Group 2
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Liechtenstein | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Lithuania | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
The model gives Liechtenstein a 17% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 59% for an Lithuania win.
How many goals are expected in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
Expected goals: Liechtenstein 0.7, Lithuania 1.7 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.61%.