Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 34
May 17, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Lille, result Auxerre wins
32'
L. Sinayoko
90'
(ast. G. Mensah)
L. Sinayoko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 66% win probability (draw 22%, Auxerre 11%). The final result was Lille 0–2 Auxerre. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.42
2
Saves
3
73%
Possession
27%
4
Corners
2
15
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
32'
L. Sinayoko⚽
H. Haraldsson
40'
N. Ngoy
43'
N. Mukau
/ O. Giroud
46'
N. Bentaleb
/ E. Mbappe
46'
R. Perraud
/ C. Verdonk
46'
B. Andre
60'
F. Correia
/ O. Sahraoui
62'
67'
D. Namaso
72'
J. Casimir
/
D. Namaso
81'
D. Leon
H. Haraldsson
/ G. Perrin
82'
82'
M. Senaya
/
S. Mara
90'
ast. G. Mensah ·
L. Sinayoko⚽
Pre-match prediction
66.33%
Lille
22.33%
X
11.34%
Auxerre ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre)
11.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
1.84
-0.39
0.84
0.42
-0.42
Lille dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
B. Özer
G
B. Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
45'
D
R. Perraud
45'
D
23
A. Mandi
D
A. Mandi
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
32
A. Bouaddi
D
A. Bouaddi
D
6
N. Bentaleb
45'
M
N. Bentaleb
45'
M
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
27
Félix Correia
62'
M
Félix Correia
62'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
82'
M
H. Haraldsson
82'
M
17
N. Mukau
45'
M
N. Mukau
45'
M
7
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F
Bench
4
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
16
Arnaud Bodart
G
Arnaud Bodart
G
18
C. Mbemba
D
C. Mbemba
D
24
C. Verdonk
45'
D
C. Verdonk
45'
D
8
E. Mbappé
45'
M
E. Mbappé
45'
M
28
G. Perrin
8'
F
G. Perrin
8'
F
20
N. Edjouma
F
N. Edjouma
F
9
O. Giroud
45'
F
O. Giroud
45'
F
11
O. Sahraoui
28'
F
O. Sahraoui
28'
F
16
D. Léon
G
D. Léon
G
14
G. Mensah
1 👟
D
G. Mensah
1 👟
D
13
T. Siwe
D
T. Siwe
D
20
S. Diomandé
D
S. Diomandé
D
27
L. Sy
D
L. Sy
D
42
E. Owusu
M
E. Owusu
M
8
N. Ahamada
M
N. Ahamada
M
19
D. Namaso
72'
M
D. Namaso
72'
M
5
K. Danois
M
K. Danois
M
10
L. Sinayoko
2 ⚽
M
L. Sinayoko
2 ⚽
M
9
S. Mara
82'
F
S. Mara
82'
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
M
Assane Dioussé
M
4
F. Sierralta
D
F. Sierralta
D
7
J. Casimir
18'
F
J. Casimir
18'
F
46
L. Dioubate
M
L. Dioubate
M
44
Mamoudou Cissokho
F
Mamoudou Cissokho
F
29
Marvin Senaya
8'
D
Marvin Senaya
8'
D
40
Théo De Percin
G
Théo De Percin
G
36
Tidiane Devernois
M
Tidiane Devernois
M
Best on the pitch
L. Sinayoko
M · Auxerre
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
A. Bouaddi
D · Lille
7.70
· 80 pass
G. Mensah
D · Auxerre
7.70
1 👟
· 30 pass
L. Sy
D · Auxerre
7.30
· 19 pass
S. Diomandé
D · Auxerre
7.30
· 18 pass
D. Léon
G · Auxerre
7.30
· 34 pass
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mandi | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 92 | 88% | — | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 81% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Bouaddi | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 80 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Bentaleb | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| B. André | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Verdonk | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mbappé | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Perrin | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| O. Giroud | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Sahraoui | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Léon | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Mensah | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Siwe | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sy | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Owusu | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Ahamada | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Danois | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | M | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mara | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Auxerre?
The final score was Lille 0–2 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Lille win, 22% to a draw, and 11% to an Auxerre win.