Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 34
May 17, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Lille, result Auxerre wins
32'
L. Sinayoko
90'
(ast. G. Mensah)
L. Sinayoko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 66% win probability (draw 22%, Auxerre 11%). The final result was Lille 0–2 Auxerre. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Auxerre.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.42
2
Saves
3
73%
Possession
27%
4
Corners
2
15
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
32'
L. Sinayoko⚽
H. Haraldsson
40'
N. Ngoy
43'
N. Mukau
/ O. Giroud
46'
N. Bentaleb
/ E. Mbappe
46'
R. Perraud
/ C. Verdonk
46'
B. Andre
60'
F. Correia
/ O. Sahraoui
62'
67'
D. Namaso
72'
J. Casimir
/
D. Namaso
81'
D. Leon
H. Haraldsson
/ G. Perrin
82'
82'
M. Senaya
/
S. Mara
90'
ast. G. Mensah ·
L. Sinayoko⚽
Pre-match prediction
66.33%
Lille
22.33%
X
11.34%
Auxerre ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre)
11.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
1.84
-0.39
0.84
0.42
-0.42
Lille dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Berke Özer
G
Berke Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
45'
D
R. Perraud
45'
D
23
Aïssa Mandi
D
Aïssa Mandi
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
32
Ayyoub Bouaddi
D
Ayyoub Bouaddi
D
6
Nabil Bentaleb
45'
M
Nabil Bentaleb
45'
M
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
27
Félix Correia
62'
M
Félix Correia
62'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
82'
M
H. Haraldsson
82'
M
17
N. Mukau
45'
M
N. Mukau
45'
M
7
Matías Fernández-Pardo
F
Matías Fernández-Pardo
F
Bench
4
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
16
Arnaud Bodart
G
Arnaud Bodart
G
24
Calvin Verdonk
45'
D
18
Chancel Mbemba
D
Chancel Mbemba
D
8
Ethan Mbappé
45'
M
Ethan Mbappé
45'
M
28
Gaëtan Perrin
8'
F
Gaëtan Perrin
8'
F
20
Noah Edjouma
F
Noah Edjouma
F
9
Olivier Giroud
45'
F
Olivier Giroud
45'
F
11
Osame Sahraoui
28'
F
Osame Sahraoui
28'
F
16
D. Léon
G
D. Léon
G
14
Gideon Mensah
1 👟
D
Gideon Mensah
1 👟
D
13
Telli Siwe
D
Telli Siwe
D
20
Sinaly Diomandé
D
Sinaly Diomandé
D
27
Lamine Sy
D
Lamine Sy
D
42
Elisha Owusu
M
Elisha Owusu
M
8
Naouirou Ahamada
M
Naouirou Ahamada
M
19
D. Namaso
72'
M
D. Namaso
72'
M
5
Kévin Danois
M
Kévin Danois
M
10
L. Sinayoko
2 ⚽
M
L. Sinayoko
2 ⚽
M
9
Sékou Mara
82'
F
Sékou Mara
82'
F
Bench
18
Assane Dioussé
M
Assane Dioussé
M
4
F. Sierralta
D
F. Sierralta
D
7
J. Casimir
18'
F
J. Casimir
18'
F
46
Lamfia Dioubaté
M
Lamfia Dioubaté
M
44
Mamoudou Cissokho
F
Mamoudou Cissokho
F
29
Marvin Senaya
8'
D
Marvin Senaya
8'
D
40
Théo De Percin
G
Théo De Percin
G
36
Tidiane Devernois
M
Tidiane Devernois
M
Best on the pitch
L. Sinayoko
M · Auxerre
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Ayyoub Bouaddi
D · Lille
7.70
· 80 pass
Gideon Mensah
D · Auxerre
7.70
1 👟
· 30 pass
Lamine Sy
D · Auxerre
7.30
· 19 pass
Sinaly Diomandé
D · Auxerre
7.30
· 18 pass
D. Léon
G · Auxerre
7.30
· 34 pass
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berke Özer | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Aïssa Mandi | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 92 | 88% | — | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 81% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 80 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| Nabil Bentaleb | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| B. André | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Calvin Verdonk | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan Mbappé | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaëtan Perrin | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Olivier Giroud | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Osame Sahraoui | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
Auxerre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Léon | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Gideon Mensah | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Telli Siwe | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Sinaly Diomandé | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Sy | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Naouirou Ahamada | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kévin Danois | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Sinayoko | M | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Sékou Mara | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Casimir | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Auxerre?
The final score was Lille 0–2 Auxerre.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Auxerre?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Lille win, 22% to a draw, and 11% to an Auxerre win.