Lille - Estac Troyes
Ligue 1
September 13, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.46%
Win
Lille
32.2%
Draw
32.33%
Win
Estac Troyes
1.02
1.21
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.37%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lille a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Estac Troyes. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lille and 1.2 for Estac Troyes (total 2.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.37% probability.
Season Stats
10W
4D
1L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.3
0.5
Conceded
2.3
4.7
Shots OT
3.3
3.9
Corners
7.0
54%
Poss.
40%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Ligue 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
2W
5D
3L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
20%
Win %
100%
70%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
100%
30%
O 2.5
100%
20%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
30%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Lille
Estac Troyes →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lille
Attack
28
Defence
53
Form
41
Estac Troyes
Attack
34
Defence
49
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
4 | 10 |
| 2 |
Rennes
|
4 | 10 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
3 | 7 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
3 | 7 |
| 6 |
Strasbourg
|
4 | 7 |
| 7 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
3 | 5 |
| 8 |
Lorient
|
3 | 4 |
| 9 |
Estac Troyes
|
3 | 4 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Marseille
|
4 | 3 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
3 | 3 |
| 13 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
3 | 2 |
| 14 |
Le Mans
|
3 | 2 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
3 | 2 |
| 16 |
Le Havre
|
3 | 1 |
| 17 |
Toulouse
|
3 | 1 |
| 18 |
Auxerre
|
3 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lille vs Estac Troyes?
The model gives Lille a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Estac Troyes win.
How many goals are expected in Lille vs Estac Troyes?
Expected goals: Lille 1.0, Estac Troyes 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Lille vs Estac Troyes?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.37%.