Lille - Galatasaray
Champions League
October 21, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.97%
Win
Lille
34.11%
Draw
30.92%
Win
Galatasaray
0.83
0.75
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.03%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
34%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
65%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lille a 34% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Galatasaray. Expected goals are 0.8 for Lille and 0.7 for Galatasaray (total 1.6), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.03% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
5W
1D
7L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.4
3.0
Conceded
1.8
2.0
Shots OT
4.8
5.0
Corners
4.0
45%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
69%
100%
O 2.5
54%
100%
BTTS
46%
0%
Clean Sht
23%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
79%
O 3.5
72%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
0D
6L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
3.0
Conceded
2.6
0%
Win %
14%
0%
Win or Draw
14%
100%
O 1.5
86%
100%
O 2.5
71%
100%
O 3.5
57%
100%
BTTS
43%
0%
Clean Sht
14%
0%
Failed to Score
43%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Lille
Galatasaray →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.8% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 17.2% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lille
Attack
44
Defence
62
Form
46
Galatasaray
Attack
54
Defence
61
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
The model gives Lille a 34% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 30% for an Galatasaray win.
How many goals are expected in Lille vs Galatasaray?
Expected goals: Lille 0.8, Galatasaray 0.7 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Lille vs Galatasaray?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.03%.