Dilane Bakwa
(ast. Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi)
5'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 47% win probability (draw 28%, Le Havre 24%). The final result was Lille 1–0 Le Havre. In 2 previous meetings, Lille have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Le Havre.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
17
1
Shots on target
2
1.27
Actual xG
1.36
2
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
5
24
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Dilane Bakwa
· ast. Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi
5'
Tiago Santos
/ Maxima Goffi
22'
Gaëtan Perrin
/ Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
57'
Olivier Giroud
/ Ayase Ueda
57'
61'
Ayumu Seko
63'
Rassoul Ndiaye
69'
Rayan Fofana
/
Sota Nakamura
69'
Junior Mwanga
/
Josh Maja
Romain Perraud
/ Calvin Verdonk
73'
Ngal'ayel Mukau
/ Osame Sahraoui
73'
76'
Djibril Ouziad
82'
Kaito Mizuta
/
Amir Richardson
Maurits Kjaergaard
85'
Maxima Goffi
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
47.19%
Lille ←
28.37%
X
24.44%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Lille)
47.19%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
1.27
-0.83
0.90
1.36
+0.46
xG dominance was balanced (1.27 – 1.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
B. Özer
G
B. Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
73'
D
R. Perraud
73'
D
4
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
23
T. Nianzou
1 👟
D
T. Nianzou
1 👟
D
22
Tiago Santos
22'
D
Tiago Santos
22'
D
14
M. Kjærgaard
M
M. Kjærgaard
M
6
N. Bentaleb
M
N. Bentaleb
M
28
G. Perrin
57'
M
G. Perrin
57'
M
17
N. Mukau
73'
M
N. Mukau
73'
M
7
D. Bakwa
1 ⚽
M
D. Bakwa
1 ⚽
M
9
O. Giroud
57'
F
O. Giroud
57'
F
Bench
18
A. Ueda
33'
F
A. Ueda
33'
F
21
B. André
M
B. André
M
24
C. Verdonk
17'
D
C. Verdonk
17'
D
10
H. Haraldsson
33'
M
H. Haraldsson
33'
M
26
I. Cossier
D
I. Cossier
D
38
M. Goffi
68'
D
M. Goffi
68'
D
12
O. Gill
G
O. Gill
G
11
O. Sahraoui
17'
F
O. Sahraoui
17'
F
35
S. Diaoune
F
S. Diaoune
F
93
G. Gallon
G
G. Gallon
G
97
D
5
A. Touba
D
A. Touba
D
15
A. Seko
61'
D
A. Seko
61'
D
20
D. Ouziad
D
D. Ouziad
D
7
A. Richardson
82'
M
A. Richardson
82'
M
26
S. Ebonog
M
S. Ebonog
M
25
M. Samatta
M
M. Samatta
M
14
R. Ndiaye
M
R. Ndiaye
M
30
S. Nakamura
69'
M
S. Nakamura
69'
M
9
J. Maja
69'
F
J. Maja
69'
F
Bench
16
A. Bodart
G
A. Bodart
G
78
D. Mosengo
M
D. Mosengo
M
27
E. Koffi Vinette
F
E. Koffi Vinette
F
24
G. Zohouri
M
G. Zohouri
M
44
I. Bouneb
M
I. Bouneb
M
6
J. Mwanga
21'
M
J. Mwanga
21'
M
17
K. Mizuta
8'
M
K. Mizuta
8'
M
38
R. Fofana
21'
F
R. Fofana
21'
F
23
V. Sasso
D
V. Sasso
D
Best on the pitch
D. Bakwa
M · Lille
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
T. Nianzou
D · Lille
7.64
1 👟
1 shots
· 49 pass
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D · Lille
7.56
· 53 pass
R. Ndiaye
M · Le
7.20
3 shots
· 40 pass
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.17
· 15 pass
C. Verdonk
D · Lille
7.10
· 17 pass
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | G | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 73 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | D | 90 | 7.56 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Nianzou | D | 90 | 7.64 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Tiago Santos | D | 22 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kjærgaard | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Bentaleb | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Perrin | M | 57 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 73 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bakwa | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| O. Giroud | F | 57 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ueda | F | 33 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Verdonk | D | 17 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 33 | 7.17 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Goffi | D | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Sahraoui | F | 17 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Le Havre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gallon | G | 90 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | 5 | — | — | |
| A. Touba | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 82 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 61 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 51% | 0 | — | 1 |
| D. Ouziad | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Richardson | M | 82 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Ebonog | M | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Samatta | M | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 6 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Ndiaye | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Nakamura | M | 69 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Maja | F | 69 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mwanga | M | 21 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mizuta | M | 8 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Fofana | F | 21 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Le Havre?
The final score was Lille 1–0 Le Havre.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Le Havre?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Lille win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Le Havre win.