Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 28
April 04, 2026 21:05
H. Haraldsson
(ast. M. Fernandez-Pardo)
44'
F. Correia
49'
M. Fernandez-Pardo
58'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 40% win probability (draw 22%, Lille 36%). The final result was Lille 3–0 Lens. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lens.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
3.63
Actual xG
0.59
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
3
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽H. Haraldsson
· ast. M. Fernandez-Pardo
44'
Nathan Ngoy
45'+5
45'+5
Adrien Thomasson
⚽F. Correia
49'
55'
A. Saint-Maximin
/
W. Said
55'
A. Haidara
/
N. Celik
⚽M. Fernandez-Pardo
(pen.)
58'
67'
F. Sotoca
/
A. Thomasson
Berke Özer
71'
F. Correia
/ O. Giroud
73'
H. Haraldsson
/ B. Andre
73'
78'
Saud Abdulhamid
N. Mukau
/ E. Mbappe
80'
M. Fernandez-Pardo
/ G. Perrin
80'
85'
A. Bulatovic
/
F. Thauvin
85'
R. Fofana
/
O. Edouard
R. Perraud
/ C. Verdonk
90'+4
Ethan Mbappé
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.32%
Lille ←
22.92%
X
40.76%
Lens
we assigned to the actual result (Lille)
36.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
3.63
+2.24
1.81
0.59
-1.22
Lille dominated by xG (3.63 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Berke Özer
G
Berke Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
89'
D
R. Perraud
89'
D
23
Aïssa Mandi
D
Aïssa Mandi
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
12
Thomas Meunier
D
Thomas Meunier
D
32
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
6
Nabil Bentaleb
M
Nabil Bentaleb
M
27
Félix Correia
1 ⚽
73'
M
Félix Correia
1 ⚽
73'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
1 ⚽
73'
M
H. Haraldsson
1 ⚽
73'
M
17
N. Mukau
80'
M
N. Mukau
80'
M
7
Matías Fernández-Pardo
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
F
Matías Fernández-Pardo
1 ⚽
1 👟
80'
F
Bench
21
B. André
17'
M
B. André
17'
M
24
Calvin Verdonk
1'
D
8
Ethan Mbappé
10'
M
Ethan Mbappé
10'
M
28
Gaëtan Perrin
10'
F
Gaëtan Perrin
10'
F
9
Olivier Giroud
17'
F
Olivier Giroud
17'
F
35
S. Diaoune
F
22
T. Santos
D
40
G
20
Malang Sarr
D
Malang Sarr
D
25
Ismaelo Ganiou
D
Ismaelo Ganiou
D
4
Nidal Čelik
55'
D
14
M. Udol
M
M. Udol
M
28
A. Thomasson
67'
M
A. Thomasson
67'
M
8
M. Sangaré
M
M. Sangaré
M
23
Saud Abdulhamid
M
Saud Abdulhamid
M
22
W. Saïd
55'
F
W. Saïd
55'
F
10
F. Thauvin
85'
F
F. Thauvin
85'
F
11
O. Édouard
85'
F
O. Édouard
85'
F
Bench
21
A. Haidara
35'
M
A. Haidara
35'
M
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
35'
F
Allan Saint-Maximin
35'
F
5
Andrija Bulatovic
11'
M
19
A. Sima
F
A. Sima
F
7
Florian Sotoca
23'
F
Florian Sotoca
23'
F
38
Rayan Fofana
11'
F
Rayan Fofana
11'
F
Best on the pitch
Matías Fernández-Pardo
F · Lille
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 19 pass
Aïssa Mandi
D · Lille
7.90
1 shots
· 68 pass
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
Félix Correia
M · Lille
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Berke Özer
G · Lille
7.20
· 34 pass
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.20
· 54 pass
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berke Özer | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Aïssa Mandi | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thomas Meunier | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Nabil Bentaleb | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 73 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | F | 80 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. André | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Calvin Verdonk | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Mbappé | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Gaëtan Perrin | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Olivier Giroud | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Lens — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Malang Sarr | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Nidal Čelik | D | 55 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Udol | M | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Thomasson | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Saïd | F | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Thauvin | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Édouard | F | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Haidara | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrija Bulatovic | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Florian Sotoca | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan Fofana | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Lens?
The final score was Lille 3–0 Lens.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Lens?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Lille win, 22% to a draw, and 40% to an Lens win.