← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 21:05
Lille
#3 · 61 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Lens
#2 · 67 pts
H. Haraldsson (ast. M. Fernandez-Pardo) 44'
F. Correia 49'
M. Fernandez-Pardo 58' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 40% win probability (draw 22%, Lille 36%). The final result was Lille 3–0 Lens. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lens.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
3.63
Actual xG
0.59
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
3
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽H. Haraldsson · ast. M. Fernandez-Pardo
44'
Nathan Ngoy
45'+5
45'+5
Adrien Thomasson
⚽F. Correia
49'
55'
A. Saint-Maximin / W. Said ↕
55'
A. Haidara / N. Celik ↕
⚽M. Fernandez-Pardo (pen.)
58'
67'
F. Sotoca / A. Thomasson ↕
Berke Özer
71'
↕ F. Correia / O. Giroud
73'
↕ H. Haraldsson / B. Andre
73'
78'
Saud Abdulhamid
↕ N. Mukau / E. Mbappe
80'
↕ M. Fernandez-Pardo / G. Perrin
80'
85'
A. Bulatovic / F. Thauvin ↕
85'
R. Fofana / O. Edouard ↕
↕ R. Perraud / C. Verdonk
90'+4
Ethan Mbappé
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.32%
Lille ←
22.92%
X
40.76%
Lens
we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 36.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lille
1.39
3.63
+2.24
Lens
1.81
0.59
-1.22
Lille dominated by xG (3.63 vs 0.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 Berke Özer Berke Özer G 7.20
15 Romain Perraud Romain Perraud 89' D 6.90
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.90
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 7.20
12 Thomas Meunier Thomas Meunier D 6.60
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi Ayyoub Bouaddi M 6.90
6 Nabil Bentaleb Nabil Bentaleb M 7.00
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.30
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 80' M 7.20
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 80' F 8.50
Bench
21 B. André B. André 17' M 6.90
24 Calvin Verdonk Calvin Verdonk 1' D
8 Ethan Mbappé Ethan Mbappé 10' M 6.70
28 Gaëtan Perrin Gaëtan Perrin 10' F 6.70
9 Olivier Giroud Olivier Giroud 17' F 6.60
35
S. Diaoune F
22
T. Santos D
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 7.00
20 Malang Sarr Malang Sarr D 6.50
25 Ismaelo Ganiou Ismaelo Ganiou D 6.70
4
N. Celik 55' D 6.00
14 Matthieu Udol Matthieu Udol M 5.60
28 Adrien Thomasson Adrien Thomasson 67' M 6.30
8 Mamadou Sangare Mamadou Sangare M 6.30
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid M 6.50
22 Wesley Saïd Wesley Saïd 55' F 6.20
10 Florian Thauvin Florian Thauvin 85' F 6.30
11 Odsonne Édouard Odsonne Édouard 85' F 7.00
Bench
19 Abdallah Sima Abdallah Sima F
9 Allan Saint-Maximin Allan Saint-Maximin 35' F 6.60
21 Amadou Haidara Amadou Haidara 35' M 6.50
5 Andrija Bulatovic Andrija Bulatovic 11' M 6.30
7 Florian Sotoca Florian Sotoca 23' F 6.30
38
R. Fofana 11' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Fernandez-Pardo
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F · Lille
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 19 pass
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.90
1 shots · 68 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
Félix Correia
Félix Correia
M · Lille
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
Berke Özer
Berke Özer
G · Lille
7.20
· 34 pass
N. Ngoy
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.20
· 54 pass
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Berke Özer G 90 7.20 — — — 34 25% — 1 —
Romain Perraud D 89 6.90 — — — 49 41% 1 — —
A. Mandi D 90 7.90 — — 1 68 61% 2 — —
N. Ngoy D 90 7.20 — — — 54 46% 1 1 —
Thomas Meunier D 90 6.60 — — — 42 39% — — —
Ayyoub Bouaddi M 90 6.90 — — — 37 26% 2 — —
Nabil Bentaleb M 90 7.00 — — — 52 48% 1 — —
Félix Correia M 73 7.30 1 — 3 21 13% — — —
H. Haraldsson M 73 7.90 1 — 2 35 29% — — —
N. Mukau M 80 7.20 — — 1 30 26% 2 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 80 8.50 1 1 4 19 17% 1 — —
B. André M 17 6.90 — — — 13 12% 2 — —
Calvin Verdonk D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Ethan Mbappé M 10 6.70 — — — 8 8% — 1 —
Gaëtan Perrin F 10 6.70 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Olivier Giroud F 17 6.60 — — — 1 1% 2 — —
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 29 19% — — —
Malang Sarr D 90 6.50 — — — 61 51% 3 — —
Ismaelo Ganiou D 90 6.70 — — — 50 43% 1 — —
N. Celik D 55 6.00 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
Matthieu Udol M 90 5.60 — — — 36 29% — — —
Adrien Thomasson M 67 6.30 — — — 23 17% 1 1 —
Mamadou Sangare M 90 6.30 — — — 38 33% — — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 90 6.50 — — — 35 29% 2 1 —
Wesley Saïd F 55 6.20 — — 1 10 6% — — —
Florian Thauvin F 85 6.30 — — 1 24 15% 2 — —
Odsonne Édouard F 85 7.00 — — 1 6 4% 1 — —
Allan Saint-Maximin F 35 6.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Amadou Haidara M 35 6.50 — — — 14 13% — — —
Andrija Bulatovic M 11 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
Florian Sotoca F 23 6.30 — — 2 10 5% 1 — —
R. Fofana F 11 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Lens?
The final score was Lille 3–0 Lens.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Lens?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Lille win, 22% to a draw, and 40% to an Lens win.