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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 21:05
Lille
#1 · 10 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Lens
#9 · 4 pts
H. Haraldsson (ast. M. Fernandez-Pardo) 44'
F. Correia 49'
M. Fernandez-Pardo 58' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 40% win probability (draw 22%, Lille 36%). The final result was Lille 3–0 Lens. In 1 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lens.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
1
3.63
Actual xG
0.59
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
3
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽H. Haraldsson · ast. M. Fernandez-Pardo
44'
Nathan Ngoy
45'+5
45'+5
Adrien Thomasson
⚽F. Correia
49'
55'
A. Saint-Maximin / W. Said ↕
55'
A. Haidara / N. Celik ↕
⚽M. Fernandez-Pardo (pen.)
58'
67'
F. Sotoca / A. Thomasson ↕
Berke Özer
71'
↕ F. Correia / O. Giroud
73'
↕ H. Haraldsson / B. Andre
73'
78'
Saud Abdulhamid
↕ N. Mukau / E. Mbappe
80'
↕ M. Fernandez-Pardo / G. Perrin
80'
85'
A. Bulatovic / F. Thauvin ↕
85'
R. Fofana / O. Edouard ↕
↕ R. Perraud / C. Verdonk
90'+4
Ethan Mbappé
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.32%
Lille ←
22.92%
X
40.76%
Lens
we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 36.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lille
1.39
3.63
+2.24
Lens
1.81
0.59
-1.22
Lille dominated by xG (3.63 vs 0.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lille Lille 4 10
2 Monaco Monaco 4 10
3 Rennes Rennes 4 10
4 Lyon Lyon 4 8
5 Paris FC Paris FC 4 8
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 4 5
9 Lens Lens 4 4
10 Angers Angers 4 4
11 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 4 4
12 Marseille Marseille 4 3
13 Le Mans Le Mans 4 3
14 Auxerre Auxerre 4 3
15 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 4 2
17 Toulouse Toulouse 4 2
18 Nice Nice 4 2
Lineups
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
1 B. Özer B. Özer G 7.20
15 R. Perraud R. Perraud 89' D 6.90
23 A. Mandi A. Mandi D 7.90
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 7.20
12 T. Meunier T. Meunier D 6.60
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi M 6.90
6 N. Bentaleb N. Bentaleb M 7.00
27 Félix Correia Félix Correia 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.30
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 80' M 7.20
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 80' F 8.50
Bench
21 B. André B. André 17' M 6.90
24 C. Verdonk C. Verdonk 1' D
8 E. Mbappé E. Mbappé 10' M 6.70
28 G. Perrin G. Perrin 10' F 6.70
9 O. Giroud O. Giroud 17' F 6.60
35 S. Diaoune S. Diaoune F
22 Tiago Santos Tiago Santos D
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 7.00
20 M. Sarr M. Sarr D 6.50
25 I. Ganiou I. Ganiou D 6.70
4 N. Čelik N. Čelik 55' D 6.00
14 M. Udol M. Udol M 5.60
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 67' M 6.30
8 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 6.30
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid M 6.50
22 W. Saïd W. Saïd 55' F 6.20
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 85' F 6.30
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 85' F 7.00
Bench
5 A. Bulatović A. Bulatović 11' M 6.30
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara 35' M 6.50
9 A. Saint-Maximin A. Saint-Maximin 35' F 6.60
19 A. Sima A. Sima F
7 F. Sotoca F. Sotoca 23' F 6.30
38 R. Fofana R. Fofana 11' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. Fernandez-Pardo
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F · Lille
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 19 pass
A. Mandi
A. Mandi
D · Lille
7.90
1 shots · 68 pass
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
Félix Correia
Félix Correia
M · Lille
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
B. Özer
B. Özer
G · Lille
7.20
· 34 pass
N. Ngoy
N. Ngoy
D · Lille
7.20
· 54 pass
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Özer G 90 7.20 — — — 34 25% — 1 —
R. Perraud D 89 6.90 — — — 49 41% 1 — —
A. Mandi D 90 7.90 — — 1 68 61% 2 — —
N. Ngoy D 90 7.20 — — — 54 46% 1 1 —
T. Meunier D 90 6.60 — — — 42 39% — — —
A. Bouaddi M 90 6.90 — — — 37 26% 2 — —
N. Bentaleb M 90 7.00 — — — 52 48% 1 — —
Félix Correia M 73 7.30 1 — 3 21 13% — — —
H. Haraldsson M 73 7.90 1 — 2 35 29% — — —
N. Mukau M 80 7.20 — — 1 30 26% 2 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 80 8.50 1 1 4 19 17% 1 — —
B. André M 17 6.90 — — — 13 12% 2 — —
C. Verdonk D 1 — — — — — — — — —
E. Mbappé M 10 6.70 — — — 8 8% — 1 —
G. Perrin F 10 6.70 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
O. Giroud F 17 6.60 — — — 1 1% 2 — —
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 29 19% — — —
M. Sarr D 90 6.50 — — — 61 51% 3 — —
I. Ganiou D 90 6.70 — — — 50 43% 1 — —
N. Čelik D 55 6.00 — — — 20 18% 1 — —
M. Udol M 90 5.60 — — — 36 29% — — —
A. Thomasson M 67 6.30 — — — 23 17% 1 1 —
M. Sangaré M 90 6.30 — — — 38 33% — — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 90 6.50 — — — 35 29% 2 1 —
W. Saïd F 55 6.20 — — 1 10 6% — — —
F. Thauvin F 85 6.30 — — 1 24 15% 2 — —
O. Édouard F 85 7.00 — — 1 6 4% 1 — —
A. Bulatović M 11 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
A. Haidara M 35 6.50 — — — 14 13% — — —
A. Saint-Maximin F 35 6.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
F. Sotoca F 23 6.30 — — 2 10 5% 1 — —
R. Fofana F 11 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Lens?
The final score was Lille 3–0 Lens.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Lens?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Lille win, 22% to a draw, and 40% to an Lens win.