H. Haraldsson
(ast. O. Giroud)
21'
D. Bakwa
(ast. O. Giroud)
84'
90'+1
(ast. M. Godts)
Vitinha
90'+5
(ast. Vitinha)
Marquinhos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Lille 31%). The final result was Lille 2–2 Paris Saint Germain. In 2 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
4
1.09
Actual xG
1.19
2
Saves
2
27%
Possession
73%
0
Corners
5
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Haraldsson
· ast. O. Giroud
21'
39'
F. Ruiz
46'
K. Kvaratskhelia
/
D. Doue
B. Andre
52'
B. Andre
/ N. Mukau
61'
F. Correia
/ G. Perrin
61'
63'
M. Godts
/
L. Beraldo
E. Mbappe
/ D. Bakwa
68'
72'
S. Mayulu
/
F. Torres
72'
L. Digne
/
F. Ruiz
78'
D. Fernandez
/
M. Akliouche
H. Haraldsson
/ C. Verdonk
80'
⚽D. Bakwa
· ast. O. Giroud
84'
90'+1
ast. M. Godts ·
Vitinha⚽
R. Perraud
90'+4
90'+5
ast. Vitinha ·
Marquinhos⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.52%
Lille
32.29%
X ←
36.19%
Paris
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
1.09
+0.04
0.91
1.19
+0.28
xG dominance was balanced (1.09 – 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
B. Özer
G
B. Özer
G
15
R. Perraud
D
R. Perraud
D
4
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
Alexsandro Ribeiro
D
3
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
22
Tiago Santos
D
Tiago Santos
D
6
N. Bentaleb
M
N. Bentaleb
M
21
B. André
61'
M
B. André
61'
M
27
Félix Correia
61'
M
Félix Correia
61'
M
10
H. Haraldsson
1 ⚽
80'
M
H. Haraldsson
1 ⚽
80'
M
8
E. Mbappé
68'
M
E. Mbappé
68'
M
9
O. Giroud
2 👟
F
O. Giroud
2 👟
F
Bench
16
A. Bodart
G
A. Bodart
G
19
B. Önal
F
B. Önal
F
24
C. Verdonk
15'
D
C. Verdonk
15'
D
18
D. Bakwa
1 ⚽
27'
F
D. Bakwa
1 ⚽
27'
F
28
G. Perrin
34'
F
G. Perrin
34'
F
26
I. Cossier
D
I. Cossier
D
17
N. Mukau
34'
M
N. Mukau
34'
M
11
O. Sahraoui
F
O. Sahraoui
F
35
S. Diaoune
F
S. Diaoune
F
39
M. Safonov
G
M. Safonov
G
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
D
W. Zaïre-Emery
D
51
W. Pacho
D
W. Pacho
D
5
Marquinhos
1 ⚽
D
Marquinhos
1 ⚽
D
2
A. Hakimi
D
A. Hakimi
D
8
Fabián Ruiz
72'
M
Fabián Ruiz
72'
M
4
Beraldo
63'
M
Beraldo
63'
M
17
Vitinha
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Vitinha
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
14
D. Doué
45'
F
D. Doué
45'
F
9
Ferran Torres
72'
F
Ferran Torres
72'
F
11
M. Akliouche
78'
F
M. Akliouche
78'
F
Bench
16
Alessandro Longoni
G
Alessandro Longoni
G
6
I. Zabarnyi
D
I. Zabarnyi
D
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
50'
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
50'
F
30
L. Chevalier
G
L. Chevalier
G
12
L. Digne
23'
D
L. Digne
23'
D
21
L. Hernández
D
L. Hernández
D
22
M. Godts
1 👟
32'
F
M. Godts
1 👟
32'
F
27
Pedro Fernández
17'
M
Pedro Fernández
17'
M
24
Senny Mayulu
23'
M
Senny Mayulu
23'
M
Best on the pitch
Vitinha
M · Paris
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 114 pass
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 90 pass
H. Haraldsson
M · Lille
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
D. Bakwa
F · Lille
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
O. Giroud
F · Lille
7.30
2 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
N. Bentaleb
M · Lille
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
Lille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Perraud | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Santos | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| N. Bentaleb | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| B. André | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Félix Correia | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Haraldsson | M | 80 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mbappé | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| O. Giroud | F | 95 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Verdonk | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bakwa | F | 27 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Perrin | F | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 99 | 94% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 90 | 82% | — | — | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 93 | 85% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Beraldo | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 95 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 114 | 105% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Akliouche | F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Godts | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Fernández | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Senny Mayulu | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Lille 2–2 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Lille win, 32% to a draw, and 36% to an Paris Saint Germain win.