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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 20:45 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
Lille
#4 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Stade Brestois 29
#10 · 9 pts
Olivier Giroud 64' (pen.)
6' (ast. Gautier Lloris) Mama Baldé
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lille a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Stade Brestois 29 29%). The final result was Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. In 2 previous meetings, Lille have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Stade Brestois 29.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
2.25
Actual xG
0.84
1
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
2
23
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
ast. Gautier Lloris · Mama Baldé⚽
13'
Kamory Doumbia
45'
Joseph Nonge / Mama Baldé ↕
↕ Romain Perraud / Calvin Verdonk
54'
58'
Bradley Locko
⚽Olivier Giroud (pen.)
64'
↕ Dilane Bakwa / Soriba Diaoune
65'
↕ Benjamin André / Nabil Bentaleb
65'
77'
Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté / Pathé Mboup ↕
↕ Ngal'ayel Mukau / Maurits Kjaergaard
77'
82'
Mamady Diambou / Kamory Doumbia ↕
Calvin Verdonk
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.64%
Lille
28.72%
X ←
29.63%
Stade
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lille
2.13
2.25
+0.12
Stade
1.50
0.84
-0.66
Lille dominated by xG (2.25 vs 0.84). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lyon Lyon 7 14
2 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 7 14
3 Paris FC Paris FC 7 14
4 Lille Lille 7 14
5 Monaco Monaco 7 14
6 Rennes Rennes 7 13
7 Lorient Lorient 7 11
8 Lens Lens 7 10
9 Marseille Marseille 7 9
10 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 7 9
11 Toulouse Toulouse 7 9
12 Auxerre Auxerre 7 9
13 Nice Nice 7 8
14 Strasbourg Strasbourg 7 7
15 Angers Angers 7 7
16 Le Mans Le Mans 7 6
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 7 4
18 Le Havre Le Havre 7 2
Lineups
Lille Lille 4-2-3-1
12 O. Gill O. Gill G 6.84
15 R. Perraud R. Perraud 54' D 6.87
23 T. Nianzou T. Nianzou D 6.55
3 N. Ngoy N. Ngoy D 6.77
38 M. Goffi M. Goffi D 7.18
17 N. Mukau N. Mukau 77' M 6.60
21 B. André B. André 65' M 6.50
7 D. Bakwa D. Bakwa 65' M 6.95
10 H. Haraldsson H. Haraldsson M 6.43
8 E. Mbappé E. Mbappé M 6.24
9 O. Giroud O. Giroud 1 ⚽ F 7.11
Bench
19 B. Önal B. Önal F 0.00
24 C. Verdonk C. Verdonk 36' D 6.23
28 G. Perrin G. Perrin F 0.00
26 I. Cossier I. Cossier D 0.00
14 M. Kjærgaard M. Kjærgaard 13' M 6.38
6 N. Bentaleb N. Bentaleb 25' M 7.04
35 S. Diaoune S. Diaoune 25' F 6.66
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
1 E. Selvik E. Selvik G 7.58
2 B. Locko B. Locko D 6.38
4 G. Lloris G. Lloris 1 👟 D 6.99
29 L. Tousart L. Tousart D 6.83
70 K. Lala K. Lala D 6.40
8 H. Magnetti H. Magnetti M 6.10
13 J. Chotard J. Chotard M 6.28
9 P. Mboup P. Mboup 77' M 6.25
23 K. Doumbia K. Doumbia 82' M 6.35
17 Mama Baldé Mama Baldé 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.48
19 L. Ajorque L. Ajorque F 5.98
Bench
39 D. N´Guessan D. N´Guessan F 0.00
21 Ibrahim Yayiya Kante Ibrahim Yayiya Kante 13' F 6.65
18 J. Bourgault J. Bourgault D 0.00
7 J. Nonge Boende J. Nonge Boende 45' M 6.62
20 L. Zogbe L. Zogbe D 0.00
6 M. Diambou M. Diambou 8' M 6.24
30 M. Patouillet M. Patouillet G 0.00
Best on the pitch
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
G · Stade
7.58
· 32 pass
Mama Baldé
Mama Baldé
M · Stade
7.48
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
M. Goffi
M. Goffi
D · Lille
7.18
3 shots · 79 pass
O. Giroud
O. Giroud
F · Lille
7.11
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
N. Bentaleb
N. Bentaleb
M · Lille
7.04
3 shots · 22 pass
G. Lloris
G. Lloris
D · Stade
6.99
1 👟
3 shots · 36 pass
Lille Lille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Gill G 90 6.84 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
R. Perraud D 54 6.87 — — 1 55 48% 1 — —
T. Nianzou D 90 6.55 — — 2 82 78% 1 — —
N. Ngoy D 90 6.77 — — 0 98 96% 0 — —
M. Goffi D 90 7.18 — — 3 79 78% 3 — —
N. Mukau M 77 6.60 — — 1 38 33% 5 — —
B. André M 65 6.50 — — 2 64 56% 3 — —
D. Bakwa M 65 6.95 — — 1 44 41% 1 — —
H. Haraldsson M 90 6.43 — — 0 48 40% 1 — —
E. Mbappé M 90 6.24 — — 1 46 36% 4 — —
O. Giroud F 90 7.11 1 — 2 11 6% 1 — —
C. Verdonk D 36 6.23 — — 0 19 19% 0 1 —
M. Kjærgaard M 13 6.38 — — 1 9 8% 0 — —
N. Bentaleb M 25 7.04 — — 3 22 19% 2 — —
S. Diaoune F 25 6.66 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Selvik G 90 7.58 — — 0 32 20% 0 — —
B. Locko D 90 6.38 — — 1 33 30% 3 1 —
G. Lloris D 90 6.99 — 1 3 36 31% 0 — —
L. Tousart D 90 6.83 — — 0 32 27% 1 — —
K. Lala D 90 6.40 — — 0 27 22% 2 — —
H. Magnetti M 90 6.10 — — 0 28 21% 5 — —
J. Chotard M 90 6.28 — — 0 35 23% 0 — —
P. Mboup M 77 6.25 — — 0 22 18% 2 — —
K. Doumbia M 82 6.35 — — 0 23 21% 3 1 —
Mama Baldé M 45 7.48 1 — 1 12 6% 1 — —
L. Ajorque F 90 5.98 — — 0 22 13% 1 — —
Ibrahim Yayiya Kante F 13 6.65 — — 2 4 4% 0 — —
J. Nonge Boende M 45 6.62 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
M. Diambou M 8 6.24 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
The final score was Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29.
What did the model predict before Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Lille win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Stade Brestois 29 win.