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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 19 August 30, 2026 19:15
Lillestrom
#6 · 39 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Fredrikstad
#11 · 29 pts
F. Gulbrandsen 37' (pen.)
8' (ast. S. Sorlokk) S. Owusu
(pen.) 18' M. Nilsson
65' (ast. H. Skogvold) B. Faraas
79' (ast. G. Wesseh) B. Faraas
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Fredrikstad 28%). The final result was Lillestrom 1–4 Fredrikstad. In 2 previous meetings, Lillestrom have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Fredrikstad.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
9
2.06
Actual xG
3.07
5
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
3
16
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
8'
ast. S. Sorlokk · S. Owusu⚽
F. Elkaer
17'
18'
(pen.) M. Nilsson⚽
⚽F. Gulbrandsen (pen.)
37'
↕ F. Elkaer / D. Bassi
46'
53'
B. Faraas
59'
J. Jezierski / S. Leach ↕
59'
G. Wesseh / S. Laghzaoui ↕
59'
F. Ghebreyohannes / S. Sorlokk ↕
↕ F. Gulbrandsen / T. Olsen
64'
65'
ast. H. Skogvold · B. Faraas⚽
66'
S. Rafn / S. Owusu ↕
↕ E. Kitolano / H. Woxen
72'
79'
ast. G. Wesseh · B. Faraas⚽
83'
U. Fredriksen / I. Amundsen ↕
H. Woxen
86'
Pre-match prediction
45.51%
Lillestrom
25.89%
X
28.6%
Fredrikstad ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fredrikstad) 28.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lillestrom
1.34
2.06
+0.72
Fredrikstad
1.06
3.07
+2.01
Fredrikstad dominated by xG (3.07 vs 2.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Viking Viking 24 59
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 24 56
3 Molde Molde 24 43
4 Rosenborg Rosenborg 24 40
5 Tromso Tromso 24 40
6 Lillestrom Lillestrom 24 39
7 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 24 31
8 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 24 30
9 Brann Brann 24 29
10 Valerenga Valerenga 24 29
11 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 24 29
12 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 24 26
13 Sandefjord Sandefjord 24 24
14 Aalesund Aalesund 24 24
15 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 24 20
16 Start Start 24 19
Lineups
Lillestrom Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
12 P. Dahlberg P. Dahlberg G 6.50
11 F. Elkær F. Elkær 45' D 5.90
47 S. Kristiansen S. Kristiansen D 6.00
4 E. Garnås E. Garnås D 6.00
3 S. Ottesen S. Ottesen D 5.30
29 Y. Ibrahimaj Y. Ibrahimaj M 7.30
20 Vá Vá M 6.70
17 E. Kitolano E. Kitolano 72' M 6.20
16 H. Melland H. Melland M 6.50
26 Y. Paintsil Y. Paintsil M 6.50
8 F. Gulbrandsen F. Gulbrandsen 1 ⚽ 64' F 7.20
Bench
22 D. Bassi D. Bassi 47' F 6.60
15 G. Nordh G. Nordh F
6 H. Woxen H. Woxen 20' M 5.90
2 L. Ranger L. Ranger D
25 S. Akanji S. Akanji F
5 S. Foss S. Foss D
1 S. Hagerup S. Hagerup G
10 T. Lehne Olsen T. Lehne Olsen 28' F 6.20
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-4-3
77 M. Børsheim M. Børsheim G 6.60
28 S. Owusu S. Owusu 1 ⚽ 66' D 7.90
4 F. Holmé F. Holmé D 7.00
38 I. Amundsen I. Amundsen 83' D 7.00
13 Sondre Sørløkk Sondre Sørløkk 1 👟 59' M 6.20
14 M. Nilsson M. Nilsson 1 ⚽ M 8.00
6 S. Leach Holm S. Leach Holm 59' M 7.60
16 D. Eid D. Eid M 6.70
9 S. Laghzaoui S. Laghzaoui 59' F 6.70
23 H. Skogvold H. Skogvold 1 👟 F 7.20
7 B. Thoresen B. Thoresen 2 ⚽ F 8.50
Bench
18 B. Fiabema B. Fiabema F
19 Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem 33' D 6.70
29 Gabriel Wesseh Gabriel Wesseh 1 👟 33' M 6.90
10 J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez F
21 J. Jezierski J. Jezierski 33' M 6.70
24 L. Owusu L. Owusu M
1 Oystein Ovretveit Oystein Ovretveit G
5 S. Rafn S. Rafn 26' D 6.50
12 U. Fredriksen U. Fredriksen 9' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
B. Thoresen
B. Thoresen
F · Fredrikstad
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
M. Nilsson
M. Nilsson
M · Fredrikstad
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 64 pass
S. Owusu
S. Owusu
D · Fredrikstad
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 47 pass
S. Leach Holm
S. Leach Holm
M · Fredrikstad
7.60
1 shots · 47 pass
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj
M · Lillestrom
7.30
· 70 pass
H. Skogvold
H. Skogvold
F · Fredrikstad
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 17 pass
Lillestrom Lillestrom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Dahlberg G 92 6.50 — — — 36 27% — — —
F. Elkær D 45 5.90 — — 1 24 18% 2 1 —
S. Kristiansen D 92 6.00 — — — 75 63% 1 — —
E. Garnås D 92 6.00 — — 1 80 70% — — —
S. Ottesen D 92 5.30 — — — 59 42% 2 — —
Y. Ibrahimaj M 92 7.30 — — — 70 60% 2 — —
Vá M 92 6.70 — — 1 17 13% 2 — —
E. Kitolano M 72 6.20 — — 1 20 15% 1 — —
H. Melland M 92 6.50 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
Y. Paintsil M 92 6.50 — — 1 42 33% 1 — —
F. Gulbrandsen F 64 7.20 1 — 1 9 4% 2 — —
D. Bassi F 47 6.60 — — 1 13 9% 1 — —
H. Woxen M 20 5.90 — — — 13 11% — 1 —
T. Lehne Olsen F 28 6.20 — — 3 6 6% — — —
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Børsheim G 92 6.60 — — — 32 16% — — —
S. Owusu D 66 7.90 1 — 1 47 40% 3 — —
F. Holmé D 92 7.00 — — — 58 53% — — —
I. Amundsen D 83 7.00 — — — 52 39% 6 — —
Sondre Sørløkk M 59 6.20 — 1 1 18 11% 1 — —
M. Nilsson M 92 8.00 1 — 1 64 57% 3 — —
S. Leach Holm M 59 7.60 — — 1 47 41% — — —
D. Eid M 92 6.70 — — 1 44 32% 1 — —
S. Laghzaoui F 59 6.70 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
H. Skogvold F 92 7.20 — 1 2 17 15% 2 — —
B. Thoresen F 92 8.50 2 — 3 24 16% — 1 —
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem D 33 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Gabriel Wesseh M 33 6.90 — 1 2 3 2% — — —
J. Jezierski M 33 6.70 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
S. Rafn D 26 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
U. Fredriksen D 9 6.70 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
The final score was Lillestrom 1–4 Fredrikstad.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Lillestrom win, 25% to a draw, and 28% to an Fredrikstad win.