Eliteserien · Regular Season - 14 July 18, 2026 16:00

Lillestrom

#6 · 39 pts

2 – 1

Final score

KFUM Oslo

#8 · 30 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lillestrom

G. Nyheim (ast. Y. Ibrahimaj) 6'

Felix Va (ast. F. Gulbrandsen) 85'

5' (ast. R. Rasch) R. E. Vinge

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 62% win probability (draw 20%, KFUM Oslo 16%). The final result was Lillestrom 2–1 KFUM Oslo. In 2 previous meetings, Lillestrom have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for KFUM Oslo.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.24

Actual xG

0.46

54%

Possession

46%

5

Corners

4

Match Events

5'

ast. R. Rasch · R. E. Vinge⚽

⚽G. Nyheim · ast. Y. Ibrahimaj

6'

45'

D. Schneider

61'

J. Hjorth

↕ S. Ottesen / L. Ranger

65'

↕ M. Karlsbakk / K. Krygard

65'

67'

D. Hickson / R. E. Vinge ↕

67'

B. Kristensen / B. Njie ↕

↕ Y. Paintsil / G. Nordh

74'

↕ T. Olsen / F. Gulbrandsen

74'

75'

T. Haltvik / M. Grodem ↕

77'

B. Kristensen

81'

T. Soras

⚽Felix Va · ast. F. Gulbrandsen

85'

88'

M. Najafzadeh / R. Rasch ↕

88'

A. Nouri / S. Sjokvist ↕

↕ Felix Va / E. B. Garnas

88'

Pre-match prediction

62.98%

Lillestrom ←

20.03%

X

16.99%

KFUM

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom) 62.98% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lillestrom

2.37

1.24

-1.13

KFUM

0.75

0.46

-0.29

Lillestrom dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19