Eliteserien · Regular Season - 14 July 18, 2026 16:00

Lillestrom

#5 · 32 pts

2 – 1

Final score

KFUM Oslo

#14 · 19 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lillestrom

G. Nyheim (ast. Y. Ibrahimaj) 6'

Felix Va (ast. F. Gulbrandsen) 85'

5' (ast. R. Rasch) R. E. Vinge

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 62% win probability (draw 20%, KFUM Oslo 16%). The final result was Lillestrom 2–1 KFUM Oslo. In 2 previous meetings, Lillestrom have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for KFUM Oslo.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.24

Actual xG

0.46

54%

Possession

46%

5

Corners

4

Match Events

5'

ast. R. Rasch · R. E. Vinge⚽

⚽G. Nyheim · ast. Y. Ibrahimaj

6'

45'

D. Schneider

61'

J. Hjorth

↕ S. Ottesen / L. Ranger

65'

↕ M. Karlsbakk / K. Krygard

65'

67'

D. Hickson / R. E. Vinge ↕

67'

B. Kristensen / B. Njie ↕

↕ Y. Paintsil / G. Nordh

74'

↕ T. Olsen / F. Gulbrandsen

74'

75'

T. Haltvik / M. Grodem ↕

77'

B. Kristensen

81'

T. Soras

⚽Felix Va · ast. F. Gulbrandsen

85'

88'

M. Najafzadeh / R. Rasch ↕

88'

A. Nouri / S. Sjokvist ↕

↕ Felix Va / E. B. Garnas

88'

Pre-match prediction

62.98%

Lillestrom ←

20.03%

X

16.99%

KFUM

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom) 62.98% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lillestrom

2.37

1.24

-1.13

KFUM

0.75

0.46

-0.29

Lillestrom dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	47
2	Viking	19	44
3	Tromso	19	35
4	Molde	19	33
5	Lillestrom	20	32
6	Rosenborg	19	27
7	Brann	19	26
8	Fredrikstad	19	26
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	19	24
10	Ham-Kam	19	23
11	Valerenga	20	22
12	Sandefjord	19	20
13	Kristiansund BK	19	19
14	KFUM Oslo	19	19
15	Aalesund	19	18
16	Start	19	13