Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 2
May 20, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Lillestrom, result Kristiansund BK wins
S. Drammeh
(ast. Y. Paintsil)
55'
14'
(ast. H. Bruseth)
A. Ronning
56'
(ast. A. Munksgaard)
L. Alvheim
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Kristiansund BK 20%). The final result was Lillestrom 1–2 Kristiansund BK.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
0.72
Actual xG
1.06
4
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
8
Corners
3
18
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
14'
ast. H. Bruseth ·
A. Ronning⚽
17'
N. Odegard
/
H. Bruseth
H. Woxen
40'
L. Ranger
45'+2
H. Woxen
45'+5
H. Woxen
45'+5
S. Foss
/ E. B. Garnas
46'
C. Jebara
/ L. Alperud
46'
G. Nyheim
/ Y. Ibrahimaj
46'
⚽S. Drammeh
· ast. Y. Paintsil
55'
56'
ast. A. Munksgaard ·
L. Alvheim⚽
60'
M. Isah
/
J. Isaksen
62'
W. Igor
E. B. Garnas
69'
Felix Va
/ S. Ottesen
71'
75'
S. Kilen
79'
H. Magnusson
/
S. Kilen
79'
P. Meliga
/
A. Ronning
82'
M. Lansing
83'
N. Odegard
Y. Paintsil
/ K. Arierhi
88'
90'+4
M. Isah
Pre-match prediction
56.12%
Lillestrom
23.46%
X
20.42%
Kristiansund ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Kristiansund BK)
20.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
0.72
-1.44
0.70
1.06
+0.36
Kristiansund BK dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
Pontus Dahlberg
G
26
Yaw Paintsil
1 👟
88'
D
Yaw Paintsil
1 👟
88'
D
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
5
Sander Moen Foss
45'
D
Sander Moen Foss
45'
D
2
Lars Ranger
D
Lars Ranger
D
6
H. Woxen
50'
M
H. Woxen
50'
M
15
Salieu Drammeh
1 ⚽
M
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
45'
M
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
45'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
M
M. Karlsbakk
M
19
Camil Jebara
45'
M
Camil Jebara
45'
M
20
Vá
71'
F
Vá
71'
F
Bench
4
E. Garnås
24'
D
E. Garnås
24'
D
11
Frederik Elkær
D
Frederik Elkær
D
7
Karl Linus Alperud
51'
M
Karl Linus Alperud
51'
M
18
Kevin Martin Krygard
M
Kevin Martin Krygard
M
9
Kparobo Arierhi
8'
F
Kparobo Arierhi
8'
F
27
Markus Wähler
F
Markus Wähler
F
1
Stephan Hagerup
G
Stephan Hagerup
G
3
Sturla Ottesen
25'
D
Sturla Ottesen
25'
D
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
51'
F
Y. Ibrahimaj
51'
F
1
Michael Lansing
G
Michael Lansing
G
3
F. Flex
D
F. Flex
D
5
Dan Peter Ulvestad
D
Dan Peter Ulvestad
D
4
Julius Mar Juliusson
D
Julius Mar Juliusson
D
13
Alexander Munksgaard
1 👟
D
Alexander Munksgaard
1 👟
D
6
Jesper Isaksen
60'
M
Jesper Isaksen
60'
M
20
W. Igor
M
W. Igor
M
9
Sander Hestetun Kilen
79'
M
Sander Hestetun Kilen
79'
M
10
H. Bruseth
1 👟
17'
M
H. Bruseth
1 👟
17'
M
27
Adrian Kurd Rønning
1 ⚽
79'
M
Adrian Kurd Rønning
1 ⚽
79'
M
19
Leander Alvheim
1 ⚽
F
Leander Alvheim
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
Adrian Sæther
G
Adrian Sæther
G
22
Haakon Haugen
D
Haakon Haugen
D
77
Hrannar Snær Magnússon
17'
M
Hrannar Snær Magnússon
17'
M
7
Mustapha Isah
36'
F
Mustapha Isah
36'
F
8
Niklas Odegard
79'
M
Niklas Odegard
79'
M
15
Nikolai Skuseth
D
Nikolai Skuseth
D
18
Promise Meliga
17'
F
Promise Meliga
17'
F
23
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
M
Tobias Hammer Svendsen
M
Best on the pitch
Salieu Drammeh
M · Lillestrom
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 33 pass
Leander Alvheim
F · Kristiansund
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Pontus Dahlberg
G · Lillestrom
7.30
· 43 pass
Ruben Gabrielsen
D · Lillestrom
7.30
· 118 pass
Dan Peter Ulvestad
D · Kristiansund
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
Alexander Munksgaard
D · Kristiansund
7.20
1 👟
· 30 pass
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Yaw Paintsil | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Ruben Gabrielsen | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 118 | 108% | 1 | — | — |
| Sander Moen Foss | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Lars Ranger | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Woxen | M | 50 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Salieu Drammeh | M | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Karlsbakk | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Vá | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Garnås | D | 24 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | 1 |
| Karl Linus Alperud | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Kparobo Arierhi | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sturla Ottesen | D | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Y. Ibrahimaj | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
Kristiansund BK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lansing | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Flex | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Dan Peter Ulvestad | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Julius Mar Juliusson | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Munksgaard | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesper Isaksen | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Igor | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Sander Hestetun Kilen | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Bruseth | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Adrian Kurd Rønning | M | 79 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Leander Alvheim | F | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Hrannar Snær Magnússon | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mustapha Isah | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Niklas Odegard | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Promise Meliga | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
The final score was Lillestrom 1–2 Kristiansund BK.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Lillestrom win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Kristiansund BK win.