Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 2
May 20, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Lillestrom, result Kristiansund BK wins
S. Drammeh
(ast. Y. Paintsil)
55'
14'
(ast. H. Bruseth)
A. Ronning
56'
(ast. A. Munksgaard)
L. Alvheim
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Kristiansund BK 20%). The final result was Lillestrom 1–2 Kristiansund BK.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
0.72
Actual xG
1.06
4
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
8
Corners
3
18
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
14'
ast. H. Bruseth ·
A. Ronning⚽
17'
N. Odegard
/
H. Bruseth
H. Woxen
40'
L. Ranger
45'+2
H. Woxen
45'+5
H. Woxen
45'+5
S. Foss
/ E. B. Garnas
46'
C. Jebara
/ L. Alperud
46'
G. Nyheim
/ Y. Ibrahimaj
46'
⚽S. Drammeh
· ast. Y. Paintsil
55'
56'
ast. A. Munksgaard ·
L. Alvheim⚽
60'
M. Isah
/
J. Isaksen
62'
W. Igor
E. B. Garnas
69'
Felix Va
/ S. Ottesen
71'
75'
S. Kilen
79'
H. Magnusson
/
S. Kilen
79'
P. Meliga
/
A. Ronning
82'
M. Lansing
83'
N. Odegard
Y. Paintsil
/ K. Arierhi
88'
90'+4
M. Isah
Pre-match prediction
56.12%
Lillestrom
23.46%
X
20.42%
Kristiansund ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Kristiansund BK)
20.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
0.72
-1.44
0.70
1.06
+0.36
Kristiansund BK dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
P. Dahlberg
G
P. Dahlberg
G
26
Y. Paintsil
1 👟
88'
D
Y. Paintsil
1 👟
88'
D
28
R. Gabrielsen
D
R. Gabrielsen
D
5
S. Foss
45'
D
S. Foss
45'
D
2
L. Ranger
D
L. Ranger
D
6
H. Woxen
50'
M
H. Woxen
50'
M
15
Salieu Drammeh
1 ⚽
M
Salieu Drammeh
1 ⚽
M
14
G. Nyheim
45'
M
G. Nyheim
45'
M
8
Markus Karlsbakk
M
Markus Karlsbakk
M
19
C. Jebara
45'
M
C. Jebara
45'
M
20
Vá
71'
F
Vá
71'
F
Bench
4
E. Garnås
24'
D
E. Garnås
24'
D
11
F. Elkær
D
F. Elkær
D
18
K. Krygård
M
K. Krygård
M
9
Kparobo Arierhi
8'
F
Kparobo Arierhi
8'
F
7
L. Alperud
51'
M
L. Alperud
51'
M
27
Markus Wähler
F
Markus Wähler
F
1
S. Hagerup
G
S. Hagerup
G
3
S. Ottesen
25'
D
S. Ottesen
25'
D
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
51'
F
Y. Ibrahimaj
51'
F
1
M. Lansing
G
M. Lansing
G
3
F. Flex
D
F. Flex
D
5
D. Ulvestad
D
D. Ulvestad
D
4
Julius Mar Juliusson
D
Julius Mar Juliusson
D
13
A. Munksgaard
1 👟
D
A. Munksgaard
1 👟
D
6
J. Isaksen
60'
M
J. Isaksen
60'
M
20
W. Igor
M
W. Igor
M
9
S. Kilen
79'
M
S. Kilen
79'
M
10
H. Bruseth
1 👟
17'
M
H. Bruseth
1 👟
17'
M
27
A. Rønning
1 ⚽
79'
M
A. Rønning
1 ⚽
79'
M
19
Leander Alvheim
1 ⚽
F
Leander Alvheim
1 ⚽
F
Bench
12
Adrian Sæther
G
Adrian Sæther
G
22
Haakon Haugen
D
Haakon Haugen
D
77
Hrannar Snær Magnússon
17'
M
7
Mustapha Isah
36'
F
Mustapha Isah
36'
F
15
Nikolai Skuseth
D
Nikolai Skuseth
D
8
N. Ødegård
79'
M
N. Ødegård
79'
M
18
Promise Meliga
17'
F
Promise Meliga
17'
F
23
T. Svendsen
M
T. Svendsen
M
Best on the pitch
Salieu Drammeh
M · Lillestrom
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 33 pass
Leander Alvheim
F · Kristiansund
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
P. Dahlberg
G · Lillestrom
7.30
· 43 pass
R. Gabrielsen
D · Lillestrom
7.30
· 118 pass
D. Ulvestad
D · Kristiansund
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
A. Munksgaard
D · Kristiansund
7.20
1 👟
· 30 pass
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dahlberg | G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Y. Paintsil | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gabrielsen | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 118 | 108% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Foss | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 53% | — | — | — |
| L. Ranger | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| H. Woxen | M | 50 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Salieu Drammeh | M | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Nyheim | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Markus Karlsbakk | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Jebara | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Vá | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Garnås | D | 24 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | 1 |
| Kparobo Arierhi | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Alperud | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Ottesen | D | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Y. Ibrahimaj | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
Kristiansund BK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lansing | G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Flex | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ulvestad | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Julius Mar Juliusson | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Munksgaard | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Isaksen | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Igor | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Kilen | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Bruseth | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Rønning | M | 79 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Leander Alvheim | F | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Hrannar Snær Magnússon | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mustapha Isah | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Ødegård | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Promise Meliga | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
The final score was Lillestrom 1–2 Kristiansund BK.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Lillestrom win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Kristiansund BK win.