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Lillestrom - Kristiansund BK

Eliteserien May 20, 2026 21:00
Lillestrom
#3 · 16 pts
vs
Kristiansund BK
#10 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
70.9%
Win
Lillestrom
11.16%
Draw
17.93%
Win
Kristiansund BK
4.5
Expected xG
1.95
Model prediction
Lillestrom
70.9%
Probability
25.0%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lillestrom a 70% win probability, against 11% for a draw and 17% for Kristiansund BK. Expected goals are 4.5 for Lillestrom and 1.9 for Kristiansund BK (total 6.4), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 5.3% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Lillestrom Kristiansund BK →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
2 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
4 2.7% 5.3% 5.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
5 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
Recent form
Lillestrom Lillestrom
L Rosenborg 2–0
W Sarpsborg 08 FF 4–0
L Bodo/Glimt 0–2
W Valerenga 0–2
D Tromso 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
L Sandefjord 2–0
D Ham-Kam 1–1
D Aalesund 1–1
W Fredrikstad 2–0
L Tromso 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 18%
Playing profile
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Attack
40
Defence
69
Form
61
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
Attack
33
Defence
55
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Tromso Tromso 10 23
2 Viking Viking 8 21
3 Lillestrom Lillestrom 8 16
4 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 7 13
5 Molde Molde 8 13
6 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 7 13
7 Sandefjord Sandefjord 8 13
8 Brann Brann 8 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 8 8
10 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7 8
11 Valerenga Valerenga 8 8
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 8 8
13 Rosenborg Rosenborg 8 8
14 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 8 7
15 Start Start 8 4
16 Aalesund Aalesund 7 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
The model gives Lillestrom a 70% win probability, 11% for a draw, and 17% for an Kristiansund BK win.
How many goals are expected in Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
Expected goals: Lillestrom 4.5, Kristiansund BK 1.9 (total 6.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Lillestrom vs Kristiansund BK?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.3%.