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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23 October 11, 2026 19:15 Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom
Lillestrom
#6 · 39 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Molde
#3 · 43 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Molde, result Draw
Felix Vá (ast. Daniel Bassi) 16'
Sander Moen Foss 87'
10' (ast. Kristian Lonebu) Sander Hestetun Kilen
26' (ast. Daniel Daga) Emil Breivik
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 61% win probability (draw 16%, Lillestrom 22%). The final result was Lillestrom 2–2 Molde. In 1 previous meetings, Lillestrom have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Molde.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
27
5
Shots on target
12
1.67
Actual xG
2.97
9
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
7
Corners
6
23
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
ast. Kristian Lonebu · Sander Hestetun Kilen⚽
⚽Felix Vá · ast. Daniel Bassi
16'
24'
Sondre Granaas
26'
ast. Daniel Daga · Emil Breivik⚽
37'
Sander Hestetun Kilen
↕ Lars Ranger / Sturla Ottesen
45'
45'
Mats Møller Dæhli / Sander Hestetun Kilen ↕
50'
Martin Linnes
↕ Frederik Elkaer / Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil
66'
↕ Daniel Bassi / Fredrik Gulbrandsen
66'
67'
Niklas Ödegard / Eirik Haugan ↕
67'
Trent Kone-Doherty / Kristian Lonebu ↕
67'
Viktor Bender / Martin Linnes ↕
80'
Daniel Daga
↕ Eric Kitolano / Henrik Molvaer Melland
80'
80'
Birk Risa / Daniel Daga ↕
⚽Sander Moen Foss
87'
↕ Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim / Yildren Ibrahimaj
87'
Pre-match prediction
22.35%
Lillestrom
16.32%
X ←
61.33%
Molde
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 16.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lillestrom
1.30
1.67
+0.37
Molde
3.00
2.97
-0.03
Molde dominated by xG (2.97 vs 1.67). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Viking Viking 24 59
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 24 56
3 Molde Molde 24 43
4 Rosenborg Rosenborg 24 40
5 Tromso Tromso 24 40
6 Lillestrom Lillestrom 24 39
7 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 24 31
8 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 24 30
9 Brann Brann 24 29
10 Valerenga Valerenga 24 29
11 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 24 29
12 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 24 26
13 Sandefjord Sandefjord 24 24
14 Aalesund Aalesund 24 24
15 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 24 20
16 Start Start 24 19
Lineups
Lillestrom Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
12 P. Dahlberg P. Dahlberg G 7.93
11 F. Elkær F. Elkær 66' D 6.53
28 R. Gabrielsen R. Gabrielsen D 6.65
5 S. Foss S. Foss 1 ⚽ D 7.40
2 L. Ranger L. Ranger 45' D 5.98
21 F. Ottosson F. Ottosson M 6.23
20 Vá Vá 1 ⚽ M 6.77
17 E. Kitolano E. Kitolano 80' M 6.28
14 G. Nyheim G. Nyheim 87' M 6.12
22 D. Bassi D. Bassi 1 👟 66' M 6.72
10 T. Lehne Olsen T. Lehne Olsen F 6.33
Bench
8 F. Gulbrandsen F. Gulbrandsen 24' F 6.78
15 G. Nordh G. Nordh F 0.00
16 H. Melland H. Melland 10' M 6.03
18 K. Krygård K. Krygård M 0.00
1 S. Hagerup S. Hagerup G 0.00
47 S. Kristiansen S. Kristiansen D 0.00
3 S. Ottesen S. Ottesen 45' D 6.15
29 Y. Ibrahimaj Y. Ibrahimaj 3' F 6.52
26 Y. Paintsil Y. Paintsil 24' M 5.92
Molde Molde 4-4-2
22 A. Posiadała A. Posiadała G 6.99
8 M. Løvik M. Løvik D 6.65
27 F. Dahl F. Dahl D 6.63
19 E. Haugan E. Haugan 67' D 6.39
25 M. Linnes M. Linnes 67' D 6.53
16 S. Kilen S. Kilen 1 ⚽ 45' M 6.85
23 S. Granaas S. Granaas M 6.40
30 D. Daga D. Daga 1 👟 80' M 7.70
11 C. Zady Sery C. Zady Sery M 7.05
10 E. Breivik E. Breivik 1 ⚽ F 8.20
20 K. Lonebu K. Lonebu 1 👟 67' F 7.60
Bench
33 B. Risa B. Risa 10' D 6.02
32 Mads Eikrem Myklebust Mads Eikrem Myklebust G 0.00
17 M. Møller Dæhli M. Møller Dæhli 45' M 7.06
6 N. Ødegård N. Ødegård 23' M 6.10
21 O. Spiten-Nysæter O. Spiten-Nysæter F 0.00
12 P. Lervik P. Lervik G 0.00
26 S. Kabini S. Kabini D 0.00
24 Trent Toure Kone Doherty Trent Toure Kone Doherty 23' F 6.46
28 V. Bender V. Bender 23' M 6.14
Best on the pitch
E. Breivik
E. Breivik
F · Molde
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 61 pass
P. Dahlberg
P. Dahlberg
G · Lillestrom
7.93
· 38 pass
D. Daga
D. Daga
M · Molde
7.70
1 👟
5 shots · 43 pass
K. Lonebu
K. Lonebu
F · Molde
7.60
1 👟
2 shots · 17 pass
S. Foss
S. Foss
D · Lillestrom
7.40
1 ⚽
3 shots · 56 pass
M. Møller Dæhli
M. Møller Dæhli
M · Molde
7.06
· 58 pass
Lillestrom Lillestrom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Dahlberg G 90 7.93 — — 0 38 21% 0 — —
F. Elkær D 66 6.53 — — 1 38 31% 3 — —
R. Gabrielsen D 90 6.65 — — 1 69 58% 3 — —
S. Foss D 90 7.40 1 — 3 56 53% 3 — —
L. Ranger D 45 5.98 — — 0 28 20% 2 — —
F. Ottosson M 90 6.23 — — 1 65 54% 0 — —
Vá M 90 6.77 1 — 2 21 13% 2 — —
E. Kitolano M 80 6.28 — — 0 26 23% 0 — —
G. Nyheim M 87 6.12 — — 0 36 30% 3 — —
D. Bassi M 66 6.72 — 1 0 23 19% 2 — —
T. Lehne Olsen F 90 6.33 — — 3 16 10% 1 — —
F. Gulbrandsen F 24 6.78 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
H. Melland M 10 6.03 — — 1 3 3% 2 — —
S. Ottesen D 45 6.15 — — 0 16 12% 1 — —
Y. Ibrahimaj F 3 6.52 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Y. Paintsil M 24 5.92 — — 0 13 12% 0 — —
Molde Molde — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Posiadała G 90 6.99 — — 0 40 34% 0 — —
M. Løvik D 90 6.65 — — 0 61 52% 1 — —
F. Dahl D 90 6.63 — — 0 84 80% 2 — —
E. Haugan D 67 6.39 — — 1 58 55% 1 — —
M. Linnes D 67 6.53 — — 2 49 40% 4 1 —
S. Kilen M 45 6.85 1 — 4 17 13% 0 1 —
S. Granaas M 90 6.40 — — 3 72 60% 2 1 —
D. Daga M 80 7.70 — 1 5 43 39% 5 1 —
C. Zady Sery M 90 7.05 — — 5 30 28% 0 — —
E. Breivik F 90 8.20 1 — 2 61 53% 1 — —
K. Lonebu F 67 7.60 — 1 2 17 14% 0 — —
B. Risa D 10 6.02 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
M. Møller Dæhli M 45 7.06 — — 0 58 53% 1 — —
N. Ødegård M 23 6.10 — — 1 11 9% 2 — —
Trent Toure Kone Doherty F 23 6.46 — — 1 3 3% 0 — —
V. Bender M 23 6.14 — — 1 15 12% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Molde?
The final score was Lillestrom 2–2 Molde.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Molde?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Lillestrom win, 16% to a draw, and 61% to an Molde win.