Lillestrom - Real Sociedad
Europa League
October 22, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.92%
Win
Lillestrom
16.08%
Draw
23.0%
Win
Real Sociedad
3.05
1.86
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Lillestrom
60.92%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–1
(6.59%)
1X2 Result
1
61%
X
16%
2
23%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
77%
X2
39%
12
84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
94%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lillestrom a 60% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 23% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals are 3.0 for Lillestrom and 1.9 for Real Sociedad (total 4.9), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 6.59% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
3.7
Shots OT
5.0
7.7
Corners
10.0
58%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Lillestrom
Real Sociedad →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lillestrom
Attack
40
Defence
61
Form
41
Real Sociedad
Attack
43
Defence
50
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
The model gives Lillestrom a 60% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 23% for an Real Sociedad win.
How many goals are expected in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
Expected goals: Lillestrom 3.0, Real Sociedad 1.9 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.59%.