Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 7
May 03, 2026 14:30
M. Karlsbakk
4'
(pen.)
G. Nyheim
(ast. Felix Va)
11'
C. Jebara
(ast. Felix Va)
76'
S. Drammeh
90'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 26%). The final result was Lillestrom 4–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF. In 1 previous meetings, Lillestrom have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
1
2.48
Actual xG
0.59
1
Saves
0
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
3
22
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Karlsbakk
(pen.)
4'
⚽G. Nyheim
· ast. Felix Va
11'
U. Jenssen
29'
60'
A. Nibe
/
V. E. Halvorsen
60'
N. Williams
/
J. Berget
61'
B. Utvik
61'
M. Koch
K. Arierhi
/ C. Jebara
69'
74'
A. Hiim
⚽C. Jebara
· ast. Felix Va
76'
80'
B. Gueye
/
D. Karlsbakk
80'
C. Niyukuri
/
S. Sorli
80'
M. Odegaard
/
M. Koch
S. Ottesen
/ Y. Paintsil
81'
M. Karlsbakk
/ H. Woxen
81'
S. Drammeh
/ L. Alperud
90'+1
⚽S. Drammeh
(pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.45%
Lillestrom ←
28.66%
X
26.89%
Sarpsborg
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom)
44.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
2.48
+0.94
0.77
0.59
-0.18
Lillestrom dominated by xG (2.48 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
P. Dahlberg
G
P. Dahlberg
G
3
S. Ottesen
81'
D
S. Ottesen
81'
D
23
U. Yttergård Jenssen
D
U. Yttergård Jenssen
D
28
R. Gabrielsen
D
R. Gabrielsen
D
2
L. Ranger
D
L. Ranger
D
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
20
Vá
2 👟
M
Vá
2 👟
M
8
Markus Karlsbakk
1 ⚽
81'
M
Markus Karlsbakk
1 ⚽
81'
M
14
G. Nyheim
1 ⚽
M
G. Nyheim
1 ⚽
M
15
S. Drammeh
1 ⚽
89'
M
S. Drammeh
1 ⚽
89'
M
9
Kparobo Arierhi
69'
F
Kparobo Arierhi
69'
F
Bench
19
Camil Jebara
1 ⚽
21'
F
Camil Jebara
1 ⚽
21'
F
26
Y. Paintsil
9'
M
Y. Paintsil
9'
M
87
G
21
A. Hiim
D
A. Hiim
D
2
Menno Koch
80'
D
Menno Koch
80'
D
4
B. Utvik
D
B. Utvik
D
32
E. Wichne
D
E. Wichne
D
8
S. Christiansen
80'
M
S. Christiansen
80'
M
6
A. Sher
M
A. Sher
M
11
D. Karlsbakk
M
D. Karlsbakk
M
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
60'
M
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
60'
M
10
S. Sørli
80'
M
S. Sørli
80'
M
14
Jo Inge Berget
60'
F
Jo Inge Berget
60'
F
Bench
33
A. Nibe
30'
M
A. Nibe
30'
M
12
C. Niyukuri
D
C. Niyukuri
D
17
N. Williams
30'
M
N. Williams
30'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Drammeh
M · Lillestrom
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
L. Ranger
D · Lillestrom
7.90
· 54 pass
Camil Jebara
F · Lillestrom
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Vá
M · Lillestrom
7.60
2 👟
· 21 pass
Markus Karlsbakk
M · Lillestrom
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
G. Nyheim
M · Lillestrom
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dahlberg | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Ottesen | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| U. Yttergård Jenssen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Gabrielsen | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ranger | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 5 | — | — |
| Y. Ibrahimaj | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Vá | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 2 | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Markus Karlsbakk | M | 81 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Nyheim | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Drammeh | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Kparobo Arierhi | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | F | 21 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Paintsil | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Sarpsborg 08 FF — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| A. Hiim | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Menno Koch | D | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Utvik | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 63% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Wichne | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Christiansen | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Sher | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Karlsbakk | M | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Sørli | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Jo Inge Berget | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Nibe | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Williams | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The final score was Lillestrom 4–0 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Lillestrom win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an Sarpsborg 08 FF win.