Lillestrom - Sogndal
NM Cupen
October 28, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.27%
Win
Lillestrom
16.31%
Draw
26.42%
Win
Sogndal
2.71
2.2
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Lillestrom
57.27%
Probability
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–2
(6.61%)
1X2 Result
1
57%
X
16%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
43%
12
84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
94%
✓ 95.9% hit rate (98 picks)
Over 2.5
84%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lillestrom a 57% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 26% for Sogndal. Expected goals are 2.7 for Lillestrom and 2.2 for Sogndal (total 4.9), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.61% probability.
Season Stats
6W
0D
1L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
3.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
33%
57%
BTTS
33%
29%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Lillestrom
Sogndal →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lillestrom
Attack
47
Defence
45
Form
52
Sogndal
Attack
39
Defence
62
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lillestrom vs Sogndal?
The model gives Lillestrom a 57% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 26% for an Sogndal win.
How many goals are expected in Lillestrom vs Sogndal?
Expected goals: Lillestrom 2.7, Sogndal 2.2 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Lillestrom vs Sogndal?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.61%.