← Eliteserien
Eliteserien · Regular Season - 4 April 11, 2026 16:00
Lillestrom
#3 · 16 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Start
#15 · 4 pts
M. Karlsbakk 17'
M. Karlsbakk (ast. L. Ranger) 45'+3
Felix Va (ast. T. Olsen) 68'
80' (ast. H. Lorentzen) O. Toure

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Start 30%). The final result was Lillestrom 3–1 Start.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
1.73
Actual xG
0.54
4
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
5
20
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽M. Karlsbakk
17'
23'
M. Ugland
⚽M. Karlsbakk · ast. L. Ranger
45'+3
46'
O. Jebali / J. Norheim ↕
59'
61'
H. Lorentzen / L. Gausdal ↕
61'
O. Toure / J. Cornelius ↕
62'
E. Segberg
⚽Felix Va · ast. T. Olsen
68'
↕ T. Olsen / K. Arierhi
72'
72'
M. Soomets / E. Schulze ↕
72'
A. F. Gurendal / J. Ampofo ↕
↕ S. Drammeh / C. Jebara
72'
80'
ast. H. Lorentzen · O. Toure⚽
↕ E. Kitolano / G. Nyheim
87'
Y. Ibrahimaj
89'
90'+1
O. Jebali
90'+2
O. Toure
C. Jebara
90'+5
↕ Felix Va / U. Jenssen
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
38.3%
Lillestrom ←
31.45%
X
30.25%
Start
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom) 38.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lillestrom
2.00
1.73
-0.27
Start
0.56
0.54
-0.02
Lillestrom dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tromso Tromso 10 23
2 Viking Viking 8 21
3 Lillestrom Lillestrom 8 16
4 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 7 13
5 Molde Molde 8 13
6 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 7 13
7 Sandefjord Sandefjord 8 13
8 Brann Brann 8 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 8 8
10 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7 8
11 Valerenga Valerenga 8 8
12 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 8 8
13 Rosenborg Rosenborg 8 8
14 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 8 7
15 Start Start 8 4
16 Aalesund Aalesund 7 3
Lineups
Lillestrom Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
12 Pontus Dahlberg Pontus Dahlberg G 7.60
3 Sturla Ottesen Sturla Ottesen D 7.30
28 Ruben Gabrielsen Ruben Gabrielsen D 7.00
5
D 7.50
2 Lars Ranger Lars Ranger 1 👟 D 7.90
29 Y. Ibrahimaj Y. Ibrahimaj M 7.20
20 Vá Vá 1 ⚽ M 8.20
17
E. Kitolano 87' M 7.20
8 M. Karlsbakk M. Karlsbakk 2 ⚽ M 10.00
15 Salieu Drammeh Salieu Drammeh 72' M 6.90
10 T. Lehne Olsen T. Lehne Olsen 1 👟 72' F 6.70
Bench
19 Camil Jebara Camil Jebara 23' F 6.90
14 Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim 8' F 6.50
9 Kparobo Arierhi Kparobo Arierhi 23' F 6.70
23 Ulrik Jenssen Ulrik Jenssen D
26
Y. Paintsil M
Start Start 5-3-2
1
G 6.70
16 T. Strannegård T. Strannegård D 5.90
19
K. Tonnesen D 6.20
6
J. Norheim 45' D 6.30
29 E. Reitan E. Reitan D 5.90
18 M. Ugland M. Ugland D 6.20
23 E. Segberg E. Segberg M 6.20
30
L. Gausdal 61' M 5.90
11
E. Schulze 72' M 6.60
17
J. Cornelius 61' F 6.30
22
J. Ampofo 72' F 6.30
Bench
20
H. Lorentzen 1 👟 34' F 6.60
5
O. Jebali 50' D 6.30
27 O. Toure O. Toure 1 ⚽ 34' D 7.20
13
S. Griesbeck M
Best on the pitch
M. Karlsbakk
M. Karlsbakk
M · Lillestrom
10.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
Vá
Vá
M · Lillestrom
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger
D · Lillestrom
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 70 pass
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg
G · Lillestrom
7.60
· 34 pass
D · Lillestrom
7.50
· 68 pass
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen
D · Lillestrom
7.30
· 61 pass
Lillestrom Lillestrom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pontus Dahlberg G 95 7.60 — — — 34 18% — — —
Sturla Ottesen D 95 7.30 — — — 61 52% 4 — —
Ruben Gabrielsen D 95 7.00 — — — 69 63% 1 — —
D 95 7.50 — — — 68 54% 2 — —
Lars Ranger D 95 7.90 — 1 2 70 60% 2 — —
Y. Ibrahimaj M 95 7.20 — — — 47 38% 1 1 —
Vá M 95 8.20 1 — 1 29 19% 4 — —
E. Kitolano M 87 7.20 — — — 24 16% — — —
M. Karlsbakk M 95 10.00 2 — 2 39 32% — — —
Salieu Drammeh M 72 6.90 — — 1 19 14% 3 — —
T. Lehne Olsen F 72 6.70 — 1 1 13 5% — — —
Camil Jebara F 23 6.90 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim F 8 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
Kparobo Arierhi F 23 6.70 — — 2 5 5% 2 — —
Start Start — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.70 — — — 31 17% — — —
T. Strannegård D 95 5.90 — — — 30 21% 3 — —
K. Tonnesen D 95 6.20 — — — 29 18% 1 — —
J. Norheim D 45 6.30 — — — 18 12% — — —
E. Reitan D 95 5.90 — — — 26 16% 1 — —
M. Ugland D 95 6.20 — — 3 27 21% 4 1 —
E. Segberg M 95 6.20 — — 1 34 21% — 1 —
L. Gausdal M 61 5.90 — — — 14 2% 3 — —
E. Schulze M 72 6.60 — — 1 36 20% 1 — —
J. Cornelius F 61 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
J. Ampofo F 72 6.30 — — 1 15 11% — — —
H. Lorentzen F 34 6.60 — 1 1 12 9% — — —
O. Jebali D 50 6.30 — — — 9 5% 3 1 —
O. Toure D 34 7.20 1 — 1 11 6% 3 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Start?
The final score was Lillestrom 3–1 Start.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Start?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Lillestrom win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Start win.