Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 4
April 11, 2026 16:00
M. Karlsbakk
17'
M. Karlsbakk
(ast. L. Ranger)
45'+3
Felix Va
(ast. T. Olsen)
68'
80'
(ast. H. Lorentzen)
O. Toure
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Start 30%). The final result was Lillestrom 3–1 Start.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
1.73
Actual xG
0.54
4
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
5
20
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽M. Karlsbakk
17'
23'
M. Ugland
⚽M. Karlsbakk
· ast. L. Ranger
45'+3
46'
O. Jebali
/
J. Norheim
59'
61'
H. Lorentzen
/
L. Gausdal
61'
O. Toure
/
J. Cornelius
62'
E. Segberg
⚽Felix Va
· ast. T. Olsen
68'
T. Olsen
/ K. Arierhi
72'
72'
M. Soomets
/
E. Schulze
72'
A. F. Gurendal
/
J. Ampofo
S. Drammeh
/ C. Jebara
72'
80'
ast. H. Lorentzen ·
O. Toure⚽
E. Kitolano
/ G. Nyheim
87'
Y. Ibrahimaj
89'
90'+1
O. Jebali
90'+2
O. Toure
C. Jebara
90'+5
Felix Va
/ U. Jenssen
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
38.3%
Lillestrom ←
31.45%
X
30.25%
Start
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom)
38.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.73
-0.27
0.56
0.54
-0.02
Lillestrom dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
Pontus Dahlberg
G
3
Sturla Ottesen
D
Sturla Ottesen
D
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
5
D
2
Lars Ranger
1 👟
D
Lars Ranger
1 👟
D
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
Y. Ibrahimaj
M
20
Vá
1 ⚽
M
Vá
1 ⚽
M
17
E. Kitolano
87'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
2 ⚽
M
M. Karlsbakk
2 ⚽
M
15
Salieu Drammeh
72'
M
10
T. Lehne Olsen
1 👟
72'
F
T. Lehne Olsen
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
19
Camil Jebara
23'
F
Camil Jebara
23'
F
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
8'
F
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
8'
F
9
Kparobo Arierhi
23'
F
Kparobo Arierhi
23'
F
23
Ulrik Jenssen
D
Ulrik Jenssen
D
26
Yaw Paintsil
M
Yaw Paintsil
M
1
G
16
T. Strannegård
D
T. Strannegård
D
19
K. Tonnesen
D
6
John Olav Norheim
45'
D
John Olav Norheim
45'
D
29
E. Reitan
D
E. Reitan
D
18
M. Ugland
D
M. Ugland
D
23
E. Segberg
M
E. Segberg
M
30
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal
61'
M
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal
61'
M
11
E. Schulze
72'
M
17
J. Cornelius
61'
F
J. Cornelius
61'
F
22
James Ampofo
72'
F
James Ampofo
72'
F
Bench
20
Hakon Lorentzen
1 👟
34'
F
Hakon Lorentzen
1 👟
34'
F
5
Omar Jebali
50'
D
Omar Jebali
50'
D
27
O. Toure
1 ⚽
34'
D
O. Toure
1 ⚽
34'
D
13
Sebastian Griesbeck
M
Sebastian Griesbeck
M
Best on the pitch
M. Karlsbakk
M · Lillestrom
10.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
Vá
M · Lillestrom
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Lars Ranger
D · Lillestrom
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 70 pass
Pontus Dahlberg
G · Lillestrom
7.60
· 34 pass
D · Lillestrom
7.50
· 68 pass
Sturla Ottesen
D · Lillestrom
7.30
· 61 pass
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg | G | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Sturla Ottesen | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 52% | 4 | — | — |
| Ruben Gabrielsen | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 68 | 54% | 2 | — | — | |
| Lars Ranger | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 70 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ibrahimaj | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vá | M | 95 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Kitolano | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Karlsbakk | M | 95 | 10.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Salieu Drammeh | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Lehne Olsen | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Kparobo Arierhi | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Start — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| T. Strannegård | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Tonnesen | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| John Olav Norheim | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Reitan | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ugland | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Segberg | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Schulze | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cornelius | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| James Ampofo | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Hakon Lorentzen | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Omar Jebali | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | 1 | — |
| O. Toure | D | 34 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Start?
The final score was Lillestrom 3–1 Start.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Start?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Lillestrom win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Start win.