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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 4 April 11, 2026 14:00
Lillestrom
#6 · 32 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Start
#16 · 16 pts
M. Karlsbakk 17'
M. Karlsbakk (ast. L. Ranger) 45'+3
Felix Va (ast. T. Olsen) 68'
80' (ast. H. Lorentzen) O. Toure
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Start 30%). The final result was Lillestrom 3–1 Start.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
1.73
Actual xG
0.54
4
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
5
20
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽M. Karlsbakk
17'
23'
M. Ugland
⚽M. Karlsbakk · ast. L. Ranger
45'+3
46'
O. Jebali / J. Norheim ↕
59'
61'
H. Lorentzen / L. Gausdal ↕
61'
O. Toure / J. Cornelius ↕
62'
E. Segberg
⚽Felix Va · ast. T. Olsen
68'
↕ T. Olsen / K. Arierhi
72'
72'
M. Soomets / E. Schulze ↕
72'
A. F. Gurendal / J. Ampofo ↕
↕ S. Drammeh / C. Jebara
72'
80'
ast. H. Lorentzen · O. Toure⚽
↕ E. Kitolano / G. Nyheim
87'
Y. Ibrahimaj
89'
90'+1
O. Jebali
90'+2
O. Toure
C. Jebara
90'+5
↕ Felix Va / U. Jenssen
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
38.3%
Lillestrom ←
31.45%
X
30.25%
Start
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom) 38.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lillestrom
2.00
1.73
-0.27
Start
0.56
0.54
-0.02
Lillestrom dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Viking Viking 21 50
2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 21 50
3 Tromso Tromso 21 38
4 Molde Molde 21 36
5 Rosenborg Rosenborg 21 33
6 Lillestrom Lillestrom 21 32
7 Brann Brann 21 29
8 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 21 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 21 25
10 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 21 25
11 Sandefjord Sandefjord 21 23
12 Valerenga Valerenga 21 23
13 Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 21 23
14 Aalesund Aalesund 21 21
15 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 21 19
16 Start Start 21 16
Lineups
Lillestrom Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
12 P. Dahlberg P. Dahlberg G 7.60
3 S. Ottesen S. Ottesen D 7.30
28 R. Gabrielsen R. Gabrielsen D 7.00
5
D 7.50
2 L. Ranger L. Ranger 1 👟 D 7.90
29 Y. Ibrahimaj Y. Ibrahimaj M 7.20
20 Vá Vá 1 ⚽ M 8.20
17 E. Kitolano E. Kitolano 87' M 7.20
8 Markus Karlsbakk Markus Karlsbakk 2 ⚽ M 10.00
15 S. Drammeh S. Drammeh 72' M 6.90
10 T. Lehne Olsen T. Lehne Olsen 1 👟 72' F 6.70
Bench
19 Camil Jebara Camil Jebara 23' F 6.90
14 G. Nyheim G. Nyheim 8' F 6.50
9 Kparobo Arierhi Kparobo Arierhi 23' F 6.70
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen U. Yttergård Jenssen D
26 Y. Paintsil Y. Paintsil M
Start Start 5-3-2
1
G 6.70
16 T. Strannegård T. Strannegård D 5.90
19
K. Tonnesen D 6.20
6 J. Norheim J. Norheim 45' D 6.30
29 E. Reitan E. Reitan D 5.90
18 M. Ugland M. Ugland D 6.20
23 E. Segberg E. Segberg M 6.20
30 Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal 61' M 5.90
11 E. Schulze E. Schulze 72' M 6.60
17 J. Cornelius J. Cornelius 61' F 6.30
22 James Ampofo James Ampofo 72' F 6.30
Bench
20 H. Lorentzen H. Lorentzen 1 👟 34' F 6.60
5 Omar Jebali Omar Jebali 50' D 6.30
27 O. Toure O. Toure 1 ⚽ 34' D 7.20
13 S. Griesbeck S. Griesbeck M
Best on the pitch
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk
M · Lillestrom
10.00
2 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
Vá
Vá
M · Lillestrom
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
L. Ranger
L. Ranger
D · Lillestrom
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 70 pass
P. Dahlberg
P. Dahlberg
G · Lillestrom
7.60
· 34 pass
D · Lillestrom
7.50
· 68 pass
S. Ottesen
S. Ottesen
D · Lillestrom
7.30
· 61 pass
Lillestrom Lillestrom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Dahlberg G 95 7.60 — — — 34 18% — — —
S. Ottesen D 95 7.30 — — — 61 52% 4 — —
R. Gabrielsen D 95 7.00 — — — 69 63% 1 — —
D 95 7.50 — — — 68 54% 2 — —
L. Ranger D 95 7.90 — 1 2 70 60% 2 — —
Y. Ibrahimaj M 95 7.20 — — — 47 38% 1 1 —
Vá M 95 8.20 1 — 1 29 19% 4 — —
E. Kitolano M 87 7.20 — — — 24 16% — — —
Markus Karlsbakk M 95 10.00 2 — 2 39 32% — — —
S. Drammeh M 72 6.90 — — 1 19 14% 3 — —
T. Lehne Olsen F 72 6.70 — 1 1 13 5% — — —
Camil Jebara F 23 6.90 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
G. Nyheim F 8 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
Kparobo Arierhi F 23 6.70 — — 2 5 5% 2 — —
Start Start — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.70 — — — 31 17% — — —
T. Strannegård D 95 5.90 — — — 30 21% 3 — —
K. Tonnesen D 95 6.20 — — — 29 18% 1 — —
J. Norheim D 45 6.30 — — — 18 12% — — —
E. Reitan D 95 5.90 — — — 26 16% 1 — —
M. Ugland D 95 6.20 — — 3 27 21% 4 1 —
E. Segberg M 95 6.20 — — 1 34 21% — 1 —
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal M 61 5.90 — — — 14 2% 3 — —
E. Schulze M 72 6.60 — — 1 36 20% 1 — —
J. Cornelius F 61 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
James Ampofo F 72 6.30 — — 1 15 11% — — —
H. Lorentzen F 34 6.60 — 1 1 12 9% — — —
Omar Jebali D 50 6.30 — — — 9 5% 3 1 —
O. Toure D 34 7.20 1 — 1 11 6% 3 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lillestrom vs Start?
The final score was Lillestrom 3–1 Start.
What did the model predict before Lillestrom vs Start?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Lillestrom win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Start win.