League One
· Regular Season - 43
April 11, 2026 13:30
✓Model correct — prediction Lincoln
J. Moylan
(ast. C. McGrandles)
18'
W. Forrester
45'+5
(og)
71'
(ast. I. El Mizouni)
D. Ballard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 73% win probability (draw 16%, Leyton Orient 9%). The final result was Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient. In 2 previous meetings, Lincoln have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Leyton Orient.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
5'
J. Morris
17'
I. El Mizouni
⚽J. Moylan
· ast. C. McGrandles
18'
B. House
31'
37'
J. Simpson
T. Darikwa
45'+1
⚽W. Forrester
(og)
45'+5
54'
S. Perkins
/
J. Simpson
B. House
/ R. Street
62'
65'
A. Abdulai
71'
ast. I. El Mizouni ·
D. Ballard⚽
J. Moylan
/ D. Jefferies
72'
R. One
/ A. Lloyd
72'
85'
C. Wellens
/
T. Bakinson
85'
K. Casey
/
D. Happe
R. Hackett-Fairchild
/ D. Elerewe
85'
Pre-match prediction
73.99%
Lincoln ←
16.77%
X
9.24%
Leyton
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lincoln)
73.99%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.38
—
—
0.79
—
—
Lineups
1
79'
G
6
R. Towler
79'
D
R. Towler
79'
D
15
S. Bradley
79'
D
S. Bradley
79'
D
22
Tom Hamer
79'
D
Tom Hamer
79'
D
2
Tendayi Darikwa
79'
D
Tendayi Darikwa
79'
D
14
C. McGrandles
1 👟
79'
M
C. McGrandles
1 👟
79'
M
8
T. Bayliss
79'
M
T. Bayliss
79'
M
18
B. House
62'
M
B. House
62'
M
10
J. Moylan
1 ⚽
72'
M
J. Moylan
1 ⚽
72'
M
7
R. Hackett
79'
M
R. Hackett
79'
M
20
R. Oné
72'
F
R. Oné
72'
F
Bench
19
A. Lloyd
7'
F
A. Lloyd
7'
F
16
D. Jefferies
7'
M
D. Jefferies
7'
M
17
R. Street
17'
F
R. Street
17'
F
12
W. Dennis
79'
G
W. Dennis
79'
G
4
Jack Simpson
54'
D
Jack Simpson
54'
D
5
D. Happe
79'
D
D. Happe
79'
D
6
W. Forrester
1 ⚽
79'
D
W. Forrester
1 ⚽
79'
D
3
J. Morris
79'
M
J. Morris
79'
M
8
I. El Mizouni
1 👟
79'
M
I. El Mizouni
1 👟
79'
M
15
T. Bakinson
79'
M
T. Bakinson
79'
M
2
T. James
79'
M
T. James
79'
M
11
D. Mitchell
79'
F
D. Mitchell
79'
F
22
A. Abdulai
79'
F
A. Abdulai
79'
F
32
D. Ballard
1 ⚽
79'
F
D. Ballard
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
25
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens
M
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens
M
16
K. Casey
D
K. Casey
D
14
M. Craig
M
20
S. Perkins
25'
F
S. Perkins
25'
F
Best on the pitch
W. Dennis
G · Leyton
7.70
· 27 pass
C. McGrandles
M · Lincoln
7.30
1 👟
· 28 pass
Tom Hamer
D · Lincoln
7.20
· 30 pass
G · Lincoln
6.90
· 37 pass
S. Bradley
D · Lincoln
6.90
· 32 pass
Tendayi Darikwa
D · Lincoln
6.90
1 shots
· 30 pass
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| R. Towler | D | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Bradley | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Tom Hamer | D | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. McGrandles | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 19% | 8 | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| B. House | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Moylan | M | 72 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hackett | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Oné | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Lloyd | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Jefferies | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Street | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — |
Leyton Orient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Dennis | G | 79 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jack Simpson | D | 54 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Happe | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| W. Forrester | D | 79 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Morris | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. El Mizouni | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Bakinson | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| T. James | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Mitchell | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Abdulai | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Ballard | F | 79 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Perkins | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lincoln vs Leyton Orient?
The final score was Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient.
What did the model predict before Lincoln vs Leyton Orient?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Lincoln win, 16% to a draw, and 9% to an Leyton Orient win.