League One · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 13:30

Lincoln

#1 · 103 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Leyton Orient

#20 · 52 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Lincoln

J. Moylan (ast. C. McGrandles) 18'

W. Forrester 45'+5 (og)

71' (ast. I. El Mizouni) D. Ballard

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 73% win probability (draw 16%, Leyton Orient 9%). The final result was Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient. In 1 previous meetings, Lincoln have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leyton Orient.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

8

6

Shots on target

3

2

Saves

5

47%

Possession

53%

4

Corners

4

15

Tackles

17

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

5'

J. Morris

17'

I. El Mizouni

⚽J. Moylan · ast. C. McGrandles

18'

B. House

31'

37'

J. Simpson

T. Darikwa

45'+1

⚽W. Forrester (og)

45'+5

54'

S. Perkins / J. Simpson ↕

↕ B. House / R. Street

62'

65'

A. Abdulai

71'

ast. I. El Mizouni · D. Ballard⚽

↕ J. Moylan / D. Jefferies

72'

↕ R. One / A. Lloyd

72'

85'

C. Wellens / T. Bakinson ↕

85'

K. Casey / D. Happe ↕

↕ R. Hackett-Fairchild / D. Elerewe

85'

Pre-match prediction

73.99%

Lincoln ←

16.77%

X

9.24%

Leyton

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lincoln) 73.99% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Lincoln

2.38

—

—

Leyton

0.79

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lincoln	46	103
2	Cardiff	46	91
3	Stockport County	46	77
4	Bradford	46	77
5	Bolton	46	75
6	Stevenage	46	75
7	Luton	46	74
8	Plymouth	46	73
9	Huddersfield	46	67
10	Mansfield Town	46	65
11	Wycombe	46	63
12	Reading	46	63
13	Blackpool	46	60
14	Doncaster	46	60
15	Barnsley	46	59
16	Wigan	46	56
17	Burton Albion	46	54
18	Peterborough	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	52
21	Exeter City	46	49
22	Port Vale	46	42
23	Rotherham	46	41
24	Northampton	46	35

Lineups

Lincoln 4-2-3-1

1

79' G 6.90

6

R. Towler 79' D 6.60

15

S. Bradley 79' D 6.90

22

T. Hamer 79' D 7.20

2

T. Darikwa 79' D 6.90

14

C. McGrandles 1 👟 79' M 7.30

8

T. Bayliss 79' M 6.60

18

B. House 62' M 6.70

10

J. Moylan 1 ⚽ 72' M 6.90

7 R. Hackett 79' M 6.90

20

R. One 72' F 6.90

Bench

19

A. Lloyd 7' F

16

D. Jefferies 7' M

17

R. Street 17' F 6.50

Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1

12

W. Dennis 79' G 7.70

4

J. Simpson 54' D 6.00

5 D. Happe 79' D 6.90

6

W. Forrester 1 ⚽ 79' D 6.20

3

J. Morris 79' M 6.70

8

I. El Mizouni 1 👟 79' M 6.20

15

T. Bakinson 79' M 6.30

2

T. James 79' M 6.90

11

D. Mitchell 79' F 6.60

22

A. Abdulai 79' F 6.50

32 D. Ballard 1 ⚽ 79' F 6.70

Bench

25

C. Wellens M

16

K. Casey D

14

M. Craig M

20

S. Perkins 25' F 6.60

Best on the pitch

W. Dennis

G · Leyton

7.70

· 27 pass

C. McGrandles

M · Lincoln

7.30

1 👟

· 28 pass

T. Hamer

D · Lincoln

7.20

· 30 pass

G · Lincoln

6.90

· 37 pass

S. Bradley

D · Lincoln

6.90

· 32 pass

T. Darikwa

D · Lincoln

6.90

1 shots · 30 pass

Lincoln — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	79	6.90	—	—	—	37	17%	—	—	—
R. Towler	D	79	6.60	—	—	1	22	16%	—	—	—
S. Bradley	D	79	6.90	—	—	—	32	19%	—	—	—
T. Hamer	D	79	7.20	—	—	—	30	20%	—	—	—
T. Darikwa	D	79	6.90	—	—	1	30	22%	1	1	—
C. McGrandles	M	79	7.30	—	1	—	28	19%	8	—	—
T. Bayliss	M	79	6.60	—	—	—	34	23%	3	—	—
B. House	M	62	6.70	—	—	1	11	5%	1	1	—
J. Moylan	M	72	6.90	1	—	2	21	9%	1	—	—
R. Hackett	M	79	6.90	—	—	3	21	14%	—	—	—
R. One	F	72	6.90	—	—	3	11	8%	—	—	—
A. Lloyd	F	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
D. Jefferies	M	7	—	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—
R. Street	F	17	6.50	—	—	—	3	—	1	—	—

Leyton Orient — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
W. Dennis	G	79	7.70	—	—	—	27	13%	—	—	—
J. Simpson	D	54	6.00	—	—	—	34	27%	1	1	—
D. Happe	D	79	6.90	—	—	—	38	29%	—	—	—
W. Forrester	D	79	6.20	1	—	—	30	24%	2	—	—
J. Morris	M	79	6.70	—	—	—	23	14%	2	1	—
I. El Mizouni	M	79	6.20	—	1	1	45	39%	1	1	—
T. Bakinson	M	79	6.30	—	—	2	31	17%	3	—	—
T. James	M	79	6.90	—	—	3	24	16%	3	—	—
D. Mitchell	F	79	6.60	—	—	—	24	19%	2	—	—
A. Abdulai	F	79	6.50	—	—	—	23	15%	2	1	—
D. Ballard	F	79	6.70	1	—	2	10	6%	1	—	—
S. Perkins	F	25	6.60	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—