Championship
· Regular Season - 2
August 22, 2026 13:30
R. Hackett-Fairchild
32'
(pen.)
7'
(ast. A. Kamara)
R. Kavuma McQueen
16'
A. Segecic
69'
E. Adams
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Portsmouth 32%). The final result was Lincoln 1–3 Portsmouth.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
6
2.09
Actual xG
0.71
3
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
3
10
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. A. Kamara ·
R. Kavuma McQueen⚽
16'
A. Segecic⚽
⚽R. Hackett-Fairchild
(pen.)
32'
F. Draper
34'
T. Darikwa
/ A. Coubis
55'
55'
R. R. Shein
58'
J. Murphy
/
R. Kavuma McQueen
58'
E. Adams
/
R. R. Shein
I. Varfolomeev
/ T. Bayliss
66'
D. Jefferies
/ R. Street
66'
T. Bayliss
68'
69'
E. Adams⚽
T. Hamer
71'
B. House
/ M. Melia
75'
F. Draper
/ T. Olaofe
75'
77'
Marezi
/
J. Murphy
86'
L. Brooke-Smith
/
A. Kamara
86'
J. Knight
/
M. Pack
Pre-match prediction
35.46%
Lincoln
31.86%
X
32.68%
Portsmouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth)
32.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
2.09
+0.46
1.33
0.71
-0.62
Lincoln dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Wickens
69'
G
G. Wickens
69'
G
3
A. Reach
69'
D
A. Reach
69'
D
25
D. Elerewe
69'
D
D. Elerewe
69'
D
22
T. Hamer
69'
D
T. Hamer
69'
D
2
Tendayi Darikwa
55'
D
Tendayi Darikwa
55'
D
24
I. Varfolomeev
66'
M
I. Varfolomeev
66'
M
14
C. McGrandles
69'
M
C. McGrandles
69'
M
16
D. Jefferies
66'
M
D. Jefferies
66'
M
18
B. House
69'
M
B. House
69'
M
7
R. Hackett
1 ⚽
69'
M
R. Hackett
1 ⚽
69'
M
34
F. Draper
69'
F
F. Draper
69'
F
Bench
4
A. Coubiș
14'
D
A. Coubiș
14'
D
20
C. Elder
D
C. Elder
D
19
I. Olaofe
F
I. Olaofe
F
46
J. Gauci
G
J. Gauci
G
10
M. Melia
F
M. Melia
F
17
R. Street
3'
F
R. Street
3'
F
6
R. Towler
D
R. Towler
D
8
T. Bayliss
3'
M
T. Bayliss
3'
M
26
Y. Konak
M
Y. Konak
M
1
N. Schmid
69'
G
N. Schmid
69'
G
22
Z. Swanson
69'
D
Z. Swanson
69'
D
6
C. Shaughnessy
69'
D
C. Shaughnessy
69'
D
2
Benjamin Arthur
69'
D
Benjamin Arthur
69'
D
24
T. Devlin
69'
D
T. Devlin
69'
D
19
R. Shein
58'
M
R. Shein
58'
M
7
M. Pack
69'
M
M. Pack
69'
M
25
R. Kavuma McQueen
1 ⚽
58'
M
R. Kavuma McQueen
1 ⚽
58'
M
10
A. Segecic
1 ⚽
69'
M
A. Segecic
1 ⚽
69'
M
11
A. Kamara
1 👟
69'
M
A. Kamara
1 👟
69'
M
9
C. Bishop
69'
F
C. Bishop
69'
F
Bench
31
D. Bielica
G
D. Bielica
G
38
E. Adams
1 ⚽
11'
M
E. Adams
1 ⚽
11'
M
4
J. Knight
D
J. Knight
D
23
Josh Murphy
11'
M
Josh Murphy
11'
M
8
J. Swift
M
J. Swift
M
28
L. Brooke-Smith
F
L. Brooke-Smith
F
55
M. Dia
D
M. Dia
D
29
M. Milovanović
F
M. Milovanović
F
27
O. Bailey
M
O. Bailey
M
Best on the pitch
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
R. Kavuma McQueen
M · Portsmouth
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
A. Kamara
M · Portsmouth
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
E. Adams
M · Portsmouth
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
R. Hackett
M · Lincoln
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
N. Schmid
G · Portsmouth
7.30
· 37 pass
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | G | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Reach | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Elerewe | D | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| T. Hamer | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | D | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Varfolomeev | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. McGrandles | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Jefferies | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| B. House | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Hackett | M | 69 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Draper | F | 69 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Coubiș | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Street | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Portsmouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Schmid | G | 69 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Z. Swanson | D | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Shaughnessy | D | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamin Arthur | D | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Devlin | D | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Shein | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Pack | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kavuma McQueen | M | 58 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Segecic | M | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Kamara | M | 69 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Bishop | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Adams | M | 11 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Murphy | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Lincoln 1–3 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Lincoln win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Portsmouth win.