Championship
· Regular Season - 5
September 05, 2026 13:30
Mikkel Ladefoged
(ast. Reeco Hackett-Fairchild)
87'
44'
(ast. James Ward-Prowse)
Welington
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Lincoln 33%). The final result was Lincoln 1–1 Southampton.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
16
5
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
4
39%
Possession
61%
4
Corners
6
17
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Conor McGrandles
43'
44'
ast. James Ward-Prowse ·
Welington⚽
C. Cohen
54'
Ivan Varfolomeev
56'
62'
Divin Mubama
/
Cyle Larin
63'
Samuel Edozie
/
Léo Scienza
Ivan Varfolomeev
/ Yunus Konak
64'
Sonny Bradley
/ Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
64'
Robert Nicholas Street
/ Mikkel Ladefoged
64'
F. Draper
75'
Conor McGrandles
/ Tom Bayliss
76'
Ben House
/ Chiedozie Ogbene
76'
78'
Lewis Dobbin
/
Finn Azaz
78'
Ryan Manning
/
Welington
84'
Nathan Wood-Gordon
/
Kuryu Matsuki
⚽Mikkel Ladefoged
· ast. Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
87'
Pre-match prediction
33.29%
Lincoln
32.15%
X ←
34.57%
Southampton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
—
—
1.29
—
—
Lineups
1
G. Wickens
G
G. Wickens
G
6
R. Towler
D
R. Towler
D
15
S. Bradley
64'
D
S. Bradley
64'
D
25
D. Elerewe
D
D. Elerewe
D
3
A. Reach
M
A. Reach
M
14
C. McGrandles
76'
M
C. McGrandles
76'
M
24
I. Varfolomeev
64'
M
I. Varfolomeev
64'
M
4
A. Coubiș
M
A. Coubiș
M
17
R. Street
64'
M
R. Street
64'
M
18
B. House
76'
M
B. House
76'
M
34
F. Draper
F
F. Draper
F
Bench
20
C. Elder
D
C. Elder
D
27
C. Ogbene
14'
F
C. Ogbene
14'
F
16
D. Jefferies
M
D. Jefferies
M
19
I. Olaofe
F
I. Olaofe
F
46
J. Gauci
G
J. Gauci
G
11
M. Ladefoged
1 ⚽
26'
F
M. Ladefoged
1 ⚽
26'
F
7
R. Hackett
1 👟
26'
M
R. Hackett
1 👟
26'
M
8
T. Bayliss
14'
M
T. Bayliss
14'
M
26
Y. Konak
26'
M
Y. Konak
26'
M
1
Daniel Peretz
G
Daniel Peretz
G
34
Welington
1 ⚽
78'
D
Welington
1 ⚽
78'
D
13
K. Schlotterbeck
D
K. Schlotterbeck
D
5
J. Stephens
D
J. Stephens
D
14
J. Bree
D
J. Bree
D
30
J. Ward-Prowse
1 👟
M
J. Ward-Prowse
1 👟
M
4
F. Downes
M
F. Downes
M
7
Léo Scienza
63'
M
Léo Scienza
63'
M
10
F. Azaz
78'
M
F. Azaz
78'
M
27
K. Matsuki
84'
M
K. Matsuki
84'
M
9
C. Larin
62'
F
C. Larin
62'
F
Bench
26
Cameron Bragg
M
Cameron Bragg
M
28
D. Mubama
28'
F
D. Mubama
28'
F
25
G. Long
G
G. Long
G
11
L. Dobbin
12'
F
L. Dobbin
12'
F
15
N. Wood-Gordon
6'
D
N. Wood-Gordon
6'
D
3
R. Manning
12'
D
R. Manning
12'
D
23
S. Edozie
27'
M
S. Edozie
27'
M
18
T. Fellows
M
T. Fellows
M
6
Z. Abbott
D
Z. Abbott
D
Best on the pitch
M. Ladefoged
F · Lincoln
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
J. Ward-Prowse
M · Southampton
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 73 pass
Welington
D · Southampton
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 47 pass
Daniel Peretz
G · Southampton
7.16
· 41 pass
K. Schlotterbeck
D · Southampton
7.06
1 shots
· 74 pass
S. Bradley
D · Lincoln
6.92
· 28 pass
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | G | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Towler | D | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Bradley | D | 64 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Elerewe | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Reach | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McGrandles | M | 76 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| I. Varfolomeev | M | 64 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Coubiș | M | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 4 | 32 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Street | M | 64 | 6.72 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. House | M | 76 | 6.35 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Draper | F | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Ogbene | F | 14 | 6.52 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ladefoged | F | 26 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Hackett | M | 26 | 6.79 | — | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 14 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Konak | M | 26 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz | G | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Welington | D | 78 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Schlotterbeck | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Stephens | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Bree | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ward-Prowse | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 73 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Downes | M | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 63 | 6.64 | — | — | 4 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 78 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 62 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Mubama | F | 28 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Dobbin | F | 12 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Wood-Gordon | D | 6 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Manning | D | 12 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Edozie | M | 27 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lincoln vs Southampton?
The final score was Lincoln 1–1 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Lincoln vs Southampton?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Lincoln win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Southampton win.