45'
(ast. Jarrod Bowen)
Konstantinos Mavropanos
48'
(ast. Joel Piroe)
Edvin Austbö
50'
(ast. Arne Engels)
Jarrod Bowen
75'
(ast. Edvin Austbö)
Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
79'
(ast. Jarrod Bowen)
Tomáš Souček
89'
Tomáš Souček
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Ham a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Lincoln 27%). The final result was Lincoln 0–6 West Ham.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
32
0
Shots on target
12
0.39
Actual xG
3.22
5
Saves
0
17%
Possession
83%
3
Corners
11
9
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Thomas Hamer
3'
Conor McGrandles
23'
45'
ast. Jarrod Bowen ·
Konstantinos Mavropanos⚽
45'
Edvin Austbö
/
Felipe Morato
Chiedozie Ogbene
/ Ryley Towler
45'
F. Draper
/ Robert Nicholas Street
45'
48'
ast. Joel Piroe ·
Edvin Austbö⚽
50'
ast. Arne Engels ·
Jarrod Bowen⚽
51'
Konstantinos Mavropanos
58'
Taty Castellanos
/
Manor Solomon
58'
Airidas Golambeckis
/
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Sonny Bradley
/ Andrei Coubiș
63'
Ben House
/ Yunus Konak
64'
66'
Kyle Walker-Peters
/
Joël Veltman
66'
Tomáš Souček
/
Arne Engels
Ivan Varfolomeev
/ Tom Bayliss
73'
75'
ast. Edvin Austbö ·
Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus⚽
79'
ast. Jarrod Bowen ·
Tomáš Souček⚽
89'
Tomáš Souček⚽
90'+1
Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
Pre-match prediction
27.39%
Lincoln
28.69%
X
43.92%
West ←
we assigned to the actual result (West Ham)
43.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
0.39
-0.58
1.60
3.22
+1.62
West Ham dominated by xG (3.22 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Wickens
G
G. Wickens
G
20
C. Elder
D
C. Elder
D
15
S. Bradley
63'
D
S. Bradley
63'
D
22
T. Hamer
3'
D
T. Hamer
3'
D
25
D. Elerewe
D
D. Elerewe
D
24
I. Varfolomeev
73'
M
I. Varfolomeev
73'
M
14
C. McGrandles
23'
M
C. McGrandles
23'
M
18
B. House
64'
M
B. House
64'
M
33
D. Oyegoke
M
D. Oyegoke
M
27
C. Ogbene
45'
M
C. Ogbene
45'
M
34
F. Draper
45'
F
F. Draper
45'
F
Bench
4
A. Coubiș
27'
D
A. Coubiș
27'
D
3
A. Reach
M
A. Reach
M
16
D. Jefferies
M
D. Jefferies
M
46
J. Gauci
G
J. Gauci
G
11
M. Ladefoged
F
M. Ladefoged
F
17
R. Street
45'
F
R. Street
45'
F
6
R. Towler
45'
D
R. Towler
45'
D
8
T. Bayliss
17'
M
T. Bayliss
17'
M
26
Y. Konak
26'
M
Y. Konak
26'
M
1
M. Hermansen
G
M. Hermansen
G
5
Morato
45'
D
Morato
45'
D
3
M. Kilman
D
M. Kilman
D
15
K. Mavropanos
1 ⚽
58'
D
K. Mavropanos
1 ⚽
58'
D
34
J. Veltman
66'
D
J. Veltman
66'
D
10
M. Solomon
58'
M
M. Solomon
58'
M
17
M. Kanté
M
M. Kanté
M
7
A. Engels
1 👟
66'
M
A. Engels
1 👟
66'
M
20
J. Bowen
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
J. Bowen
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
19
Pablo
1 ⚽
M
Pablo
1 ⚽
M
9
J. Piroe
1 👟
F
J. Piroe
1 👟
F
Bench
23
A. Areola
G
A. Areola
G
58
A. Golambeckis
32'
D
A. Golambeckis
32'
D
14
D. Mukasa
M
D. Mukasa
M
35
E. Austbö
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
E. Austbö
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
F
2
K. Walker-Peters
24'
D
K. Walker-Peters
24'
D
61
L. Orford
M
L. Orford
M
30
O. Scarles
D
O. Scarles
D
28
T. Souček
2 ⚽
24'
M
T. Souček
2 ⚽
24'
M
11
V. Castellanos
32'
F
V. Castellanos
32'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Bowen
M · West
9.75
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots
· 62 pass
T. Souček
M · West
8.81
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
E. Austbö
F · West
8.05
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 16 pass
K. Mavropanos
D · West
7.91
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 57 pass
A. Engels
M · West
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 74 pass
Pablo
M · West
7.65
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | G | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Elder | D | 90 | 5.71 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bradley | D | 63 | 5.51 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Hamer | D | 3 | 4.52 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | 1 |
| D. Elerewe | D | 90 | 5.74 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Varfolomeev | M | 73 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McGrandles | M | 23 | 5.06 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | 1 |
| B. House | M | 64 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Oyegoke | M | 90 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Ogbene | M | 45 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Draper | F | 45 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Coubiș | D | 27 | 5.54 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Street | F | 45 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Towler | D | 45 | 5.41 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 17 | 5.59 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Konak | M | 26 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
West Ham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hermansen | G | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Morato | D | 45 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kilman | D | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 3 | 71 | 66% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mavropanos | D | 58 | 7.91 | 1 | — | 2 | 57 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Veltman | D | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Solomon | M | 58 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kanté | M | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 3 | 65 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 66 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 74 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bowen | M | 90 | 9.75 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 62 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| Pablo | M | 90 | 7.65 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Piroe | F | 90 | 7.22 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Golambeckis | D | 32 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Austbö | F | 45 | 8.05 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Walker-Peters | D | 24 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Souček | M | 24 | 8.81 | 2 | — | 3 | 31 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Castellanos | F | 32 | 7.04 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lincoln vs West Ham?
The final score was Lincoln 0–6 West Ham.
What did the model predict before Lincoln vs West Ham?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Lincoln win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an West Ham win.