Premiership · Final May 12, 2026 20:45

Linfield

#4 · 66 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Dungannon Swifts

#6 · 46 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Linfield

M. Fitzpatrick 14'

M. Fitzpatrick 64'

M. Fitzpatrick 70'

87' K. Moore

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Linfield a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Dungannon Swifts 20%). The final result was Linfield 3–1 Dungannon Swifts. In 4 previous meetings, Linfield have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Dungannon Swifts.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽M. Fitzpatrick

14'

46'

A. Mitchell / K. Dillon ↕

J. Mulgrew

61'

⚽M. Fitzpatrick

64'

67'

S. Gordon / P. Maguire ↕

⚽M. Fitzpatrick

70'

↕ I. Baird / J. Archer

71'

↕ K. Millar / S. Brown

74'

74'

S. Anderson / C. Smith ↕

74'

K. Moore / S. McAllister ↕

74'

J. Knowles / L. Alves ↕

B. Hall

82'

85'

P. Doyle

87'

K. Moore⚽

↕ J. Mulgrew / C. Ballantyne

90'+1

↕ M. Fitzpatrick / M. Yates

90'+1

90'+3

K. Moore

Pre-match prediction

55.92%

Linfield ←

23.82%

X

20.26%

Dungannon

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Linfield) 55.92% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Linfield

1.64

—

—

Dungannon

0.91

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Larne	38	83
1	Larne	33	73
1	Carrick Rangers	38	53
2	Coleraine FC	38	80
2	Glentoran	33	69
2	Portadown	38	44
3	Ballymena United	38	39
3	Coleraine FC	33	65
3	Glentoran	38	77
4	Linfield	38	66
4	Bangor	38	39
4	Linfield	33	62
5	Cliftonville FC	33	47
5	Crusaders FC	38	36
5	Cliftonville FC	38	53
6	Dungannon Swifts	33	46
6	Glenavon FC	38	28
6	Dungannon Swifts	38	46
7	Carrick Rangers	33	43
8	Bangor	33	36
9	Portadown	33	36
10	Ballymena United	33	34
11	Crusaders FC	33	26
12	Glenavon FC	33	25