Skip to main content
← Premier League
#4 · 15 pts
2 – 0
Final score
#3 · 16 pts
Pascal Groß 17' (og)
Alexander Isak (ast. Bradley Barcola) 21'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 36% win probability (draw 27%, Brighton 35%). The final result was Liverpool 2–0 Brighton. In 3 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brighton.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
1
0.95
Actual xG
1.41
1
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
2
18
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
Costinha / Ferdi Kadıoğlu ↕
⚽Pascal Groß (og)
17'
⚽Alexander Isak · ast. Bradley Barcola
21'
45'+3
Olivier Boscagli
45'
Jack Hinshelwood / Olivier Boscagli ↕
54'
Malick Yalcouyé / Chema Andrés ↕
↕ Florian Wirtz / Treymaurice Nyoni
65'
73'
Costinha
75'
Georginio Rutter / Yasin Ayari ↕
↕ Bradley Barcola / Rio Ngumoha
77'
↕ Alexander Isak / Lewis Koumas
77'
↕ Milos Kerkez / Konstantinos Tsimikas
88'
Pre-match prediction
36.63%
Liverpool ←
27.9%
X
35.47%
Brighton
we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool) 36.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Liverpool
1.41
0.95
-0.46
Brighton
1.56
1.41
-0.15
Brighton dominated by xG (1.41 vs 0.95). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
1 Alisson Becker Alisson Becker G 6.16
6 M. Kerkez M. Kerkez 88' D 6.12
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.89
5 J. Jacquet J. Jacquet D 6.74
33 R. Araújo R. Araújo D 6.39
10 A. Mac Allister A. Mac Allister M 5.82
38 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch M 6.43
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo M 6.31
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 65' M 6.21
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 1 👟 77' M 7.41
9 A. Isak A. Isak 1 ⚽ 77' F 8.20
Bench
14 F. Chiesa F. Chiesa F 0.00
25 G. Mamardashvili G. Mamardashvili G 0.00
2 J. Gomez J. Gomez D 0.00
53 J. McConnell J. McConnell M 0.00
21 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas 2' D 6.48
67 L. Koumas L. Koumas 13' F 6.50
73 R. Ngumoha R. Ngumoha 13' F 6.04
42 T. Nyoni T. Nyoni 25' M 6.56
3 W. Endo W. Endo M 0.00
Brighton Brighton 4-2-3-1
1 B. Verbruggen B. Verbruggen G 6.80
21 O. Boscagli O. Boscagli 45' D 5.77
5 L. Dunk L. Dunk D 6.22
44 L. Vušković L. Vušković D 6.95
24 F. Kadıoğlu F. Kadıoğlu 6' D 6.06
14 José María Andrés Baixauli José María Andrés Baixauli 54' M 6.71
13 P. Groß P. Groß 1 ⚽ M 6.76
29 M. De Cuyper M. De Cuyper M 6.30
26 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari 75' M 6.27
25 D. Gómez D. Gómez M 6.40
19 C. Kostoulas C. Kostoulas F 6.22
Bench
20 Costinha Costinha 84' D 5.85
10 G. Rutter G. Rutter 15' F 6.48
15 I. Osman I. Osman F 0.00
3 J. Hadjam J. Hadjam D 0.00
8 J. Hinshelwood J. Hinshelwood 45' M 5.91
23 J. Steele J. Steele G 0.00
33 M. O'Riley M. O'Riley M 0.00
35 M. Yalcouyé M. Yalcouyé 36' M 6.61
12 P. David P. David F 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Isak
A. Isak
F · Liverpool
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
B. Barcola
B. Barcola
M · Liverpool
7.41
1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
L. Vušković
L. Vušković
D · Brighton
6.95
2 shots · 68 pass
V. van Dijk
V. van Dijk
D · Liverpool
6.89
· 39 pass
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
G · Brighton
6.80
· 49 pass
P. Groß
P. Groß
M · Brighton
6.76
1 ⚽
· 83 pass
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alisson Becker G 90 6.16 — — 0 31 17% 0 — —
M. Kerkez D 88 6.12 — — 0 32 21% 1 — —
V. van Dijk D 90 6.89 — — 0 39 32% 1 — —
J. Jacquet D 90 6.74 — — 0 29 22% 1 — —
R. Araújo D 90 6.39 — — 1 27 15% 3 — —
A. Mac Allister M 90 5.82 — — 1 35 23% 1 — —
R. Gravenberch M 90 6.43 — — 0 24 20% 3 — —
C. Gakpo M 90 6.31 — — 6 30 14% 2 — —
F. Wirtz M 65 6.21 — — 1 36 26% 3 — —
B. Barcola M 77 7.41 — 1 1 11 9% 2 — —
A. Isak F 77 8.20 1 — 3 14 10% 0 — —
K. Tsimikas D 2 6.48 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
L. Koumas F 13 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
R. Ngumoha F 13 6.04 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
T. Nyoni M 25 6.56 — — 0 11 11% 1 — —
Brighton Brighton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Verbruggen G 90 6.80 — — 0 49 40% 0 — —
O. Boscagli D 45 5.77 — — 1 23 19% 0 1 —
L. Dunk D 90 6.22 — — 0 71 59% 1 — —
L. Vušković D 90 6.95 — — 2 68 62% 1 — —
F. Kadıoğlu D 6 6.06 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
José María Andrés Baixauli M 54 6.71 — — 1 38 36% 3 — —
P. Groß M 90 6.76 1 — 0 83 76% 0 — —
M. De Cuyper M 90 6.30 — — 2 40 33% 0 — —
Y. Ayari M 75 6.27 — — 3 32 28% 1 — —
D. Gómez M 90 6.40 — — 2 48 37% 0 — —
C. Kostoulas F 90 6.22 — — 4 30 21% 1 — —
Costinha D 84 5.85 — — 1 40 32% 2 1 —
G. Rutter F 15 6.48 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
J. Hinshelwood M 45 5.91 — — 0 17 14% 1 — —
M. Yalcouyé M 36 6.61 — — 0 27 24% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Brighton?
The final score was Liverpool 2–0 Brighton.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Brighton?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Liverpool win, 27% to a draw, and 35% to an Brighton win.