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Premier League · Regular Season - 36 May 09, 2026 13:30 Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool
#4 · 15 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Chelsea
#5 · 13 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Liverpool, result Draw
R. Gravenberch (ast. R. Ngumoha) 6'
35' E. Fernandez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Chelsea 16%). The final result was Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea. In 1 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chelsea.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
0.51
Actual xG
0.47
2
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽R. Gravenberch · ast. R. Ngumoha
6'
35'
E. Fernandez⚽
49'
63'
R. James / Andrey Santos ↕
↕ R. Ngumoha / A. Isak
67'
67'
J. Hato
71'
C. McFarlane
73'
E. Fernandez
↕ I. Konate / J. Gomez
77'
↕ C. Gakpo / F. Chiesa
77'
83'
M. Cucurella
J. Gomez
88'
89'
M. Caicedo
A. Mac Allister
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
66.59%
Liverpool
16.92%
X ←
16.49%
Chelsea
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 16.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Liverpool
2.67
0.51
-2.16
Chelsea
1.17
0.47
-0.7
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
25 G. Mamardashvili G. Mamardashvili G 6.90
6 M. Kerkez M. Kerkez D 6.50
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.60
5 I. Konaté I. Konaté 77' D 6.60
17 Curtis Jones Curtis Jones D 7.20
10 A. Mac Allister A. Mac Allister M 6.30
38 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch 1 ⚽ M 7.90
73 R. Ngumoha R. Ngumoha 1 👟 67' M 7.20
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai M 6.20
30 J. Frimpong J. Frimpong M 6.50
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo 77' F 6.30
Bench
9 A. Isak A. Isak 23' F 6.70
26 A. Robertson A. Robertson D
14 F. Chiesa F. Chiesa 13' F 6.50
2 J. Gomez J. Gomez 13' D 6.30
Chelsea Chelsea 4-2-3-1
12 F. Jörgensen F. Jörgensen G 6.70
21 J. Hato J. Hato D 6.90
6
D 6.90
29 W. Fofana W. Fofana D 6.30
27 M. Gusto M. Gusto D 6.00
25 M. Caicedo M. Caicedo M 7.50
17 Andrey Santos Andrey Santos 63' M 6.50
3 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella M 6.70
8 E. Fernández E. Fernández 1 ⚽ M 7.20
10 C. Palmer C. Palmer M 7.00
20 João Pedro João Pedro F 6.90
Bench
9 L. Delap L. Delap F
24 R. James R. James 27' D 7.00
45 R. Lavia R. Lavia M
4 T. Adarabioyo T. Adarabioyo D
Best on the pitch
R. Gravenberch
R. Gravenberch
M · Liverpool
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
M. Caicedo
M. Caicedo
M · Chelsea
7.50
· 61 pass
E. Fernández
E. Fernández
M · Chelsea
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 47 pass
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones
D · Liverpool
7.20
· 75 pass
R. Ngumoha
R. Ngumoha
M · Liverpool
7.20
1 👟
· 13 pass
R. James
R. James
D · Chelsea
7.00
· 29 pass
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Mamardashvili G 90 6.90 — — — 23 15% 1 — —
M. Kerkez D 90 6.50 — — — 42 35% — — —
V. van Dijk D 90 6.60 — — 2 82 74% — — —
I. Konaté D 77 6.60 — — — 56 49% 1 — —
Curtis Jones D 90 7.20 — — — 75 69% 1 — —
A. Mac Allister M 90 6.30 — — 1 41 36% 2 1 —
R. Gravenberch M 90 7.90 1 — 1 44 35% 2 — —
R. Ngumoha M 67 7.20 — 1 — 13 12% — — —
D. Szoboszlai M 90 6.20 — — 2 36 30% — — —
J. Frimpong M 90 6.50 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
C. Gakpo F 77 6.30 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
A. Isak F 23 6.70 — — — 4 1% 1 — —
F. Chiesa F 13 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Gomez D 13 6.30 — — — 13 8% — 1 —
Chelsea Chelsea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Jörgensen G 90 6.70 — — — 34 16% — — —
J. Hato D 90 6.90 — — — 44 42% 4 1 —
D 90 6.90 — — — 73 65% 1 — —
W. Fofana D 90 6.30 — — — 56 52% — — —
M. Gusto D 90 6.00 — — — 40 32% 2 — —
M. Caicedo M 90 7.50 — — — 61 54% 4 1 —
Andrey Santos M 63 6.50 — — — 30 28% 2 — —
Marc Cucurella M 90 6.70 — — 1 23 21% 1 1 —
E. Fernández M 90 7.20 1 — 2 47 44% — 1 —
C. Palmer M 90 7.00 — — — 45 40% 3 — —
João Pedro F 90 6.90 — — 2 19 13% 1 — —
R. James D 27 7.00 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Chelsea?
The final score was Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Chelsea?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Liverpool win, 16% to a draw, and 16% to an Chelsea win.