Liverpool - FC Porto
Champions League
December 09, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.87%
Win
Liverpool
33.11%
Draw
38.03%
Win
FC Porto
0.42
1.09
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.41%)
1X2 Result
1
29%
X
33%
2
38%
Double Chance
1X
62%
X2
71%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Porto a 38% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 28% for Liverpool. Expected goals are 0.4 for Liverpool and 1.1 for FC Porto (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.41% probability.
Season Stats
8W
0D
5L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.0
1.1
Conceded
2.0
7.3
Shots OT
0.0
6.6
Corners
2.0
52%
Poss.
36%
Percentages
69%
O 1.5
100%
54%
O 2.5
0%
31%
BTTS
0%
38%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Liverpool
FC Porto →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22.1% | 24.0% | 13.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Liverpool
Attack
41
Defence
72
Form
59
FC Porto
Attack
58
Defence
71
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liverpool vs FC Porto?
The model gives Liverpool a 28% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 38% for an FC Porto win.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs FC Porto?
Expected goals: Liverpool 0.4, FC Porto 1.1 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Liverpool vs FC Porto?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.41%.