Champions League
· Round of 16
March 18, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Galatasaray 24%). The final result was Liverpool 4–0 Galatasaray. In 2 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Galatasaray.
Match statistics
16
Shots on target
1
5.02
Actual xG
0.18
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
49.73%
Liverpool ←
26.18%
X
24.09%
Galatasaray
we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool)
49.73%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
5.02
+3.44
0.66
0.18
-0.48
Liverpool dominated by xG (5.02 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Galatasaray?
The final score was Liverpool 4–0 Galatasaray.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Galatasaray?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Liverpool win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Galatasaray win.