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Liverpool - Lens

Champions League January 27, 2027 21:00
Liverpool
#3 · 9 pts
vs
Lens
#27 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.33%
Win
Liverpool
31.92%
Draw
37.75%
Win
Lens
0.64
Expected xG
1.29

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.01%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 32%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 70%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lens a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Liverpool. Expected goals are 0.6 for Liverpool and 1.3 for Lens (total 1.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.01% probability.

Season Stats

Liverpool
10W 0D 5L
Lens
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
1.0
1.3
Conceded
2.3
7.4
Shots OT
7.0
6.9
Corners
6.7
53%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
67%
40%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
57%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Liverpool
6W 0D 2L · at home
Lens
1W 0D 1L · away
2.6
gls/g
1.5
1.5
Conceded
2.5
75%
Win %
50%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
88%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
63%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
38%
Clean Sht
0%
13%
Failed to Score
50%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Liverpool Lens →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5% 18.7% 12.0% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.0% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Liverpool Liverpool
W Villarreal 4–3
W Lask Linz 3–6
W Atletico Madrid 2–1
L Paris Saint Germain 0–2
L Paris Saint Germain 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Lens Lens
L Club Brugge KV 3–0
L Sporting CP 0–2
W Slavia Praha 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Liverpool Liverpool
Attack
53
Defence
62
Form
69
Lens Lens
Attack
45
Defence
62
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Lens?
The model gives Liverpool a 30% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Lens win.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Lens?
Expected goals: Liverpool 0.6, Lens 1.3 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Liverpool vs Lens?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.01%.