Liverpool - Lens
Champions League
January 27, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.33%
Win
Liverpool
31.92%
Draw
37.75%
Win
Lens
0.64
1.29
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.01%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
32%
2
38%
Double Chance
1X
62%
X2
70%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lens a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Liverpool. Expected goals are 0.6 for Liverpool and 1.3 for Lens (total 1.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.01% probability.
Season Stats
8W
0D
5L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
1.1
Conceded
2.0
7.3
Shots OT
8.0
6.6
Corners
9.0
52%
Poss.
63%
Percentages
69%
O 1.5
100%
54%
O 2.5
100%
31%
BTTS
100%
38%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
79%
O 3.5
72%
BTTS
5W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
2.4
gls/g
3.0
1.3
Conceded
2.0
71%
Win %
100%
71%
Win or Draw
100%
86%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
100%
57%
O 3.5
100%
43%
BTTS
100%
43%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Liverpool
Lens →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.5% | 18.7% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Liverpool
Attack
36
Defence
49
Form
36
Lens
Attack
56
Defence
57
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Lens?
The model gives Liverpool a 30% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Lens win.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Lens?
Expected goals: Liverpool 0.6, Lens 1.3 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Liverpool vs Lens?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.01%.