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Premier League · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 17:30 Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool
#4 · 15 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Manchester City
#1 · 21 pts
65' Erling Haaland
68' (ast. Elliot Anderson) Jeremy Doku
78' (ast. Josko Gvardiol) Rayan Cherki
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Liverpool 34%). The final result was Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City. In 3 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Manchester City.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
4
0.94
Actual xG
1.36
1
Saves
6
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Ronald Araujo
8'
Ryan Gravenberch
47'
56'
Jeremy Doku / Iliman Ndiaye ↕
58'
Nico O'Reilly
Ryan Gravenberch
62'
65'
Erling Haaland⚽
↕ Florian Wirtz / Treymaurice Nyoni
66'
66'
Josko Gvardiol / Nico O'Reilly ↕
68'
ast. Elliot Anderson · Jeremy Doku⚽
↕ Ronald Araujo / Jeremie Frimpong
75'
↕ Lewis Koumas / Rio Ngumoha
75'
78'
ast. Josko Gvardiol · Rayan Cherki⚽
80'
Allan Andrade Elias / Erling Haaland ↕
80'
Ayyoub Bouaddi / Enzo Fernández ↕
86'
Ayyoub Bouaddi
↕ Jérémy Jacquet / Joe Gomez
88'
↕ Bradley Barcola / Federico Chiesa
88'
Virgil van Dijk
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.0%
Liverpool
29.78%
X
36.22%
Manchester ←
we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 36.22% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Liverpool
1.44
0.94
-0.5
Manchester
1.60
1.36
-0.24
Manchester City dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 8 21
2 Arsenal Arsenal 8 21
3 Brighton Brighton 8 16
4 Liverpool Liverpool 8 15
5 Chelsea Chelsea 8 13
6 Brentford Brentford 8 11
7 Leeds Leeds 8 11
8 Newcastle Newcastle 8 11
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 8 11
10 Hull City Hull City 8 10
11 Everton Everton 8 10
12 Ipswich Ipswich 8 10
13 Bournemouth Bournemouth 8 9
14 Tottenham Tottenham 8 9
15 Fulham Fulham 8 8
16 Manchester United Manchester United 8 7
17 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 8 7
18 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 8 6
19 Coventry Coventry 8 6
20 Sunderland Sunderland 8 5
Lineups
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
1 Alisson Becker Alisson Becker G 5.52
6 M. Kerkez M. Kerkez D 5.98
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 5.65
5 J. Jacquet J. Jacquet 88' D 6.51
33 R. Araújo R. Araújo 75' D 5.82
10 A. Mac Allister A. Mac Allister M 6.68
38 R. Gravenberch R. Gravenberch 62' M 6.01
29 B. Barcola B. Barcola 88' M 6.28
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz 66' M 6.24
23 Víctor Muñoz Víctor Muñoz M 6.23
67 L. Koumas L. Koumas 75' F 6.28
Bench
14 F. Chiesa F. Chiesa 2' F 6.60
25 G. Mamardashvili G. Mamardashvili G 0.00
30 J. Frimpong J. Frimpong 15' D 6.07
2 J. Gomez J. Gomez 2' D 6.10
53 J. McConnell J. McConnell M 0.00
21 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas D 0.00
73 R. Ngumoha R. Ngumoha 15' F 6.39
42 T. Nyoni T. Nyoni 24' M 5.94
3 W. Endo W. Endo M 0.00
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-3-1
1 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 8.06
33 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly 66' D 6.51
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 7.42
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D 7.71
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes D 6.99
17 E. Fernández E. Fernández 80' M 7.05
5 E. Anderson E. Anderson 1 👟 M 7.70
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo M 7.20
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 1 ⚽ M 8.20
7 I. Ndiaye I. Ndiaye 56' M 6.74
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.55
Bench
32 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi 10' M 6.90
45 A. Khusanov A. Khusanov D 0.00
37 Allan Allan 10' F 6.49
28 G. Rulli G. Rulli G 0.00
11 J. Doku J. Doku 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.89
24 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol 1 👟 24' D 7.39
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić M 0.00
82 R. Lewis R. Lewis D 0.00
22 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 0.00
Best on the pitch
R. Cherki
R. Cherki
M · Manchester
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 70 pass
G. Donnarumma
G. Donnarumma
G · Manchester
8.06
· 33 pass
J. Doku
J. Doku
F · Manchester
7.89
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
Rúben Dias
Rúben Dias
D · Manchester
7.71
· 66 pass
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
M · Manchester
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 78 pass
E. Haaland
E. Haaland
F · Manchester
7.55
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alisson Becker G 90 5.52 — — 0 25 16% 0 — —
M. Kerkez D 90 5.98 — — 0 30 21% 3 — —
V. van Dijk D 90 5.65 — — 0 51 43% 0 1 —
J. Jacquet D 88 6.51 — — 1 19 17% 3 — —
R. Araújo D 75 5.82 — — 0 24 22% 1 1 —
A. Mac Allister M 90 6.68 — — 4 46 39% 1 — —
R. Gravenberch M 62 6.01 — — 2 24 18% 1 — 1
B. Barcola M 88 6.28 — — 1 19 16% 3 — —
F. Wirtz M 66 6.24 — — 2 25 20% 1 — —
Víctor Muñoz M 90 6.23 — — 2 16 11% 1 — —
L. Koumas F 75 6.28 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
F. Chiesa F 2 6.60 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Frimpong D 15 6.07 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
J. Gomez D 2 6.10 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
R. Ngumoha F 15 6.39 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Nyoni M 24 5.94 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 90 8.06 — — 0 33 24% 0 — —
N. O'Reilly D 66 6.51 — — 0 22 19% 1 1 —
M. Guéhi D 90 7.42 — — 0 74 71% 1 — —
Rúben Dias D 90 7.71 — — 0 66 59% 0 — —
Matheus Nunes D 90 6.99 — — 0 24 19% 2 — —
E. Fernández M 80 7.05 — — 1 67 60% 1 — —
E. Anderson M 90 7.70 — 1 2 78 71% 1 — —
A. Semenyo M 90 7.20 — — 1 34 31% 0 — —
R. Cherki M 90 8.20 1 — 5 70 64% 3 — —
I. Ndiaye M 56 6.74 — — 0 13 12% 0 — —
E. Haaland F 80 7.55 1 — 2 8 6% 1 — —
A. Bouaddi M 10 6.90 — — 1 19 18% 0 1 —
Allan F 10 6.49 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
J. Doku F 34 7.89 1 — 2 26 21% 0 — —
J. Gvardiol D 24 7.39 — 1 1 11 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Manchester City?
The final score was Liverpool 0–3 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Liverpool win, 29% to a draw, and 36% to an Manchester City win.