Champions League
· Quarter-finals
April 14, 2026 21:00
72'
(ast. K. Kvaratskhelia)
O. Dembele
90'+1
(ast. B. Barcola)
O. Dembele
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 48% win probability (draw 23%, Liverpool 27%). The final result was Liverpool 0–2 Paris Saint Germain. In 1 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
6
1.93
Actual xG
1.25
3
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
2
24
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
H. Ekitike
/ M. Salah
31'
38'
L. Hernandez
/
N. Mendes
A. Mac Allister
45'+1
J. Frimpong
/ J. Gomez
46'
A. Isak
/ C. Gakpo
46'
52'
B. Barcola
/
D. Doue
J. Gomez
/ R. Ngumoha
67'
72'
ast. K. Kvaratskhelia ·
O. Dembele⚽
A. Mac Allister
/ C. Jones
74'
81'
L. Beraldo
/
W. Zaire-Emery
I. Konate
85'
90'+1
ast. B. Barcola ·
O. Dembele⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.98%
Liverpool
23.21%
X
48.82%
Paris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain)
48.82%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
1.93
+0.82
1.79
1.25
-0.54
Liverpool dominated by xG (1.93 vs 1.25).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G. Mamardashvili
G
G. Mamardashvili
G
6
M. Kerkez
D
M. Kerkez
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
5
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
30
J. Frimpong
45'
D
J. Frimpong
45'
D
8
D. Szoboszlai
M
D. Szoboszlai
M
38
R. Gravenberch
M
R. Gravenberch
M
7
F. Wirtz
M
F. Wirtz
M
10
A. Mac Allister
74'
M
A. Mac Allister
74'
M
22
H. Ekitike
31'
M
H. Ekitike
31'
M
9
A. Isak
45'
F
A. Isak
45'
F
Bench
26
A. Robertson
D
A. Robertson
D
18
C. Gakpo
45'
F
C. Gakpo
45'
F
17
C. Jones
16'
M
C. Jones
16'
M
14
F. Chiesa
F
F. Chiesa
F
2
Joe Gomez
22'
D
Joe Gomez
22'
D
11
Mohamed Salah
59'
F
Mohamed Salah
59'
F
73
R. Ngumoha
23'
F
R. Ngumoha
23'
F
39
M. Safonov
G
M. Safonov
G
25
Nuno Mendes
38'
D
Nuno Mendes
38'
D
51
W. Pacho
D
W. Pacho
D
5
Marquinhos
D
Marquinhos
D
2
A. Hakimi
D
A. Hakimi
D
33
W. Zaïre-Emery
81'
M
W. Zaïre-Emery
81'
M
17
Vitinha
M
Vitinha
M
87
João Neves
M
João Neves
M
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
1 👟
F
K. Kvaratskhelia
1 👟
F
10
O. Dembélé
2 ⚽
F
O. Dembélé
2 ⚽
F
14
D. Doué
52'
F
D. Doué
52'
F
Bench
29
B. Barcola
1 👟
38'
F
B. Barcola
1 👟
38'
F
4
Beraldo
9'
D
Beraldo
9'
D
9
Gonçalo Ramos
F
Gonçalo Ramos
F
49
I. Mbaye
F
I. Mbaye
F
6
I. Zabarnyi
D
I. Zabarnyi
D
19
Lee Kang-In
M
Lee Kang-In
M
21
L. Hernández
52'
D
L. Hernández
52'
D
27
Pedro Fernández
M
Pedro Fernández
M
24
Senny Mayulu
M
Senny Mayulu
M
Best on the pitch
O. Dembélé
F · Paris
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 30 pass
D. Szoboszlai
M · Liverpool
8.20
· 75 pass
K. Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
I. Konaté
D · Liverpool
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
J. Frimpong
D · Liverpool
7.30
· 16 pass
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.30
· 42 pass
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Kerkez | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Frimpong | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 62% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 42 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Ekitike | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Jones | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Joe Gomez | D | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ngumoha | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Safonov | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 38 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Pacho | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Marquinhos | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hakimi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Zaïre-Emery | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Doué | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 38 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Beraldo | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Hernández | D | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Liverpool 0–2 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Liverpool win, 23% to a draw, and 48% to an Paris Saint Germain win.