← Champions League
Champions League · Quarter-finals April 14, 2026 21:00
Liverpool
#3 · 18 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Paris Saint Germain
#11 · 14 pts
72' (ast. K. Kvaratskhelia) O. Dembele
90'+1 (ast. B. Barcola) O. Dembele

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 48% win probability (draw 23%, Liverpool 27%). The final result was Liverpool 0–2 Paris Saint Germain. In 1 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
6
1.93
Actual xG
1.25
3
Saves
6
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
2
24
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
↕ H. Ekitike / M. Salah
31'
38'
L. Hernandez / N. Mendes ↕
A. Mac Allister
45'+1
↕ J. Frimpong / J. Gomez
46'
↕ A. Isak / C. Gakpo
46'
52'
B. Barcola / D. Doue ↕
↕ J. Gomez / R. Ngumoha
67'
72'
ast. K. Kvaratskhelia · O. Dembele⚽
↕ A. Mac Allister / C. Jones
74'
81'
L. Beraldo / W. Zaire-Emery ↕
I. Konate
85'
90'+1
ast. B. Barcola · O. Dembele⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.98%
Liverpool
23.21%
X
48.82%
Paris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 48.82% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Liverpool
1.11
1.93
+0.82
Paris
1.79
1.25
-0.54
Liverpool dominated by xG (1.93 vs 1.25). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 8 24
2 Bayern München Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool Liverpool 8 18
4 Tottenham Tottenham 8 17
5 Barcelona Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea Chelsea 8 16
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 8 16
8 Manchester City Manchester City 8 16
9 Real Madrid Real Madrid 8 15
10 Inter Inter 8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 14
12 Newcastle Newcastle 8 14
13 Juventus Juventus 8 13
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta Atalanta 8 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray 8 10
21 Monaco Monaco 8 10
22 Qarabag Qarabag 8 10
23 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 8 9
24 Benfica Benfica 8 9
25 Marseille Marseille 8 9
26 Pafos Pafos 8 9
27 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 8 8
29 Athletic Club Athletic Club 8 8
30 Napoli Napoli 8 8
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen 8 8
32 Ajax Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal Villarreal 8 1
36 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty 8 1
Lineups
Liverpool Liverpool 4-2-3-1
25
G. Mamardashvili G 5.60
6
Miloš Kerkez D 7.00
4 V. van Dijk V. van Dijk D 6.30
5
Ibrahima Konaté D 7.30
30
J. Frimpong 45' D 7.30
8 D. Szoboszlai D. Szoboszlai M 8.20
38
R. Gravenberch M 6.60
7 F. Wirtz F. Wirtz M 6.90
10
Alexis Mac Allister 74' M 6.50
22 H. Ekitike H. Ekitike 31' M 6.70
9
A. Isak 45' F 6.20
Bench
26
A. Robertson D
18 C. Gakpo C. Gakpo 45' F 6.90
17
C. Jones 16' M 6.20
14
F. Chiesa F
2
J. Gomez 22' D 6.30
11 Mohamed Salah Mohamed Salah 59' F 6.90
73
R. Ngumoha 23' F 6.90
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov Matvey Safonov G 7.20
25
N. Mendes 38' D 7.20
51
W. Pacho D 7.20
5 Marquinhos Marquinhos D 7.30
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi D 7.20
33
Warren Zaïre-Emery 81' M 6.50
17 Vitinha Vitinha M 7.00
87 João Neves João Neves M 7.20
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 1 👟 F 7.30
10 Ousmane Dembélé Ousmane Dembélé 2 ⚽ F 8.30
14 D. Doué D. Doué 52' F 6.30
Bench
29 Bradley Barcola Bradley Barcola 1 👟 38' F 6.90
27 Dro Fernández Dro Fernández M
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos F
6 Ilya Zabarnyi Ilya Zabarnyi D
49 I. Mbaye I. Mbaye F
19 Kang-in Lee Kang-in Lee M
4 Lucas Beraldo Lucas Beraldo 9' D 6.90
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández 52' D 7.00
24 Senny Mayulu Senny Mayulu M
Best on the pitch
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé
F · Paris
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 30 pass
D. Szoboszlai
D. Szoboszlai
M · Liverpool
8.20
· 75 pass
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
F · Paris
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 37 pass
Ibrahima Konaté
D · Liverpool
7.30
1 shots · 43 pass
J. Frimpong
D · Liverpool
7.30
· 16 pass
Marquinhos
Marquinhos
D · Paris
7.30
· 42 pass
Liverpool Liverpool — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Mamardashvili G 90 5.60 — — — 36 17% — — —
Miloš Kerkez D 90 7.00 — — 3 41 28% 1 — —
V. van Dijk D 90 6.30 — — — 44 38% 2 — —
Ibrahima Konaté D 90 7.30 — — 1 43 38% 4 1 —
J. Frimpong D 45 7.30 — — — 16 12% 3 — —
D. Szoboszlai M 90 8.20 — — — 75 62% 5 — —
R. Gravenberch M 90 6.60 — — 4 42 31% 3 — —
F. Wirtz M 90 6.90 — — 1 46 36% 2 — —
Alexis Mac Allister M 74 6.50 — — 1 17 15% 1 1 —
H. Ekitike M 31 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
A. Isak F 45 6.20 — — 1 3 2% — — —
C. Gakpo F 45 6.90 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
C. Jones M 16 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
J. Gomez D 22 6.30 — — 1 10 9% — — —
Mohamed Salah F 59 6.90 — — — 34 26% 1 — —
R. Ngumoha F 23 6.90 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matvey Safonov G 90 7.20 — — — 25 5% — — —
N. Mendes D 38 7.20 — — — 27 24% 2 — —
W. Pacho D 90 7.20 — — — 42 31% 5 — —
Marquinhos D 90 7.30 — — — 42 31% 1 — —
A. Hakimi D 90 7.20 — — — 38 29% 3 — —
Warren Zaïre-Emery M 81 6.50 — — — 27 22% 1 — —
Vitinha M 90 7.00 — — 1 60 50% 2 — —
João Neves M 90 7.20 — — — 37 30% 2 — —
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 90 7.30 — 1 2 37 27% 2 — —
Ousmane Dembélé F 90 8.30 2 — 5 30 26% 1 — —
D. Doué F 52 6.30 — — — 22 20% — — —
Bradley Barcola F 38 6.90 — 1 — 8 8% — — —
Lucas Beraldo D 9 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Lucas Hernández D 52 7.00 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
The final score was Liverpool 0–2 Paris Saint Germain.
What did the model predict before Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Liverpool win, 23% to a draw, and 48% to an Paris Saint Germain win.