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Liverpool - Tottenham

EFL Cup September 15, 2026 21:00 Anfield, Liverpool
vs
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 15.2°C 💨 22 km/h 🌧️ 77% · Liverpool
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.28%
Win
Liverpool
26.77%
Draw
31.95%
Win
Tottenham
3.04
Expected xG
2.4

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.4%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 27%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 59%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Liverpool a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Tottenham. Expected goals are 3.0 for Liverpool and 2.4 for Tottenham (total 5.4), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Liverpool have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tottenham.

Season Stats

Liverpool
1W 0D 1L
Tottenham
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.7
2.0
Conceded
1.0
2.5
Shots OT
7.3
3.0
Corners
7.3
60%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Liverpool
1W 0D 1L · at home
Tottenham
0W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Liverpool Tottenham →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.3% 3.2% 3.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
2 2.0% 4.8% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3%
3 2.0% 4.9% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.4%
4 1.5% 3.7% 4.4% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
5 0.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%

Recent form

L Crystal Palace 0–3
W Southampton 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
W Charlton 5–1
L Newcastle 2–0
W Doncaster 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Liverpool Liverpool
Attack
47
Defence
62
Form
55
Tottenham Tottenham
Attack
44
Defence
67
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Tottenham?
The model gives Liverpool a 41% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 31% for an Tottenham win.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Tottenham?
Expected goals: Liverpool 3.0, Tottenham 2.4 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Liverpool vs Tottenham?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.