Liverpool - Villarreal
Champions League
October 20, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.47%
Win
Liverpool
34.27%
Draw
29.27%
Win
Villarreal
0.85
0.68
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.75%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
34%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
64%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Liverpool a 36% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 29% for Villarreal. Expected goals are 0.8 for Liverpool and 0.7 for Villarreal (total 1.5), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.75% probability.
Season Stats
8W
0D
5L
0W
1D
8L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.8
1.1
Conceded
2.3
7.3
Shots OT
4.0
6.6
Corners
3.8
52%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
69%
O 1.5
78%
54%
O 2.5
67%
31%
BTTS
44%
38%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
49%
O 3.5
32%
BTTS
5W
0D
2L
· at home
0W
0D
5L
· away
2.4
gls/g
0.4
1.3
Conceded
2.4
71%
Win %
0%
71%
Win or Draw
0%
86%
O 1.5
60%
71%
O 2.5
60%
57%
O 3.5
40%
43%
BTTS
20%
43%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
80%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Liverpool
Villarreal →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 18.5% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Liverpool
Attack
41
Defence
72
Form
59
Villarreal
Attack
58
Defence
59
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Liverpool vs Villarreal?
The model gives Liverpool a 36% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 29% for an Villarreal win.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Villarreal?
Expected goals: Liverpool 0.8, Villarreal 0.7 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Liverpool vs Villarreal?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.75%.