Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 32
April 05, 2026 15:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Heart Of Midlothian, result Draw
S. May
5'
L. Smith
(ast. J. Nouble)
58'
24'
(ast. M. Leonard)
L. Shankland
51'
(ast. L. Shankland)
C. Braga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 57% win probability (draw 28%, Livingston 14%). The final result was Livingston 2–2 Heart Of Midlothian. In 2 previous meetings, Livingston have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
6
1.97
Actual xG
1.86
4
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
5
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. May
5'
Lewis Smith
22'
24'
ast. M. Leonard ·
L. Shankland⚽
Scott Arfield
34'
45'
Oisin McEntee
51'
ast. L. Shankland ·
C. Braga⚽
⚽L. Smith
· ast. J. Nouble
58'
S. Arfield
/ S. Pittman
65'
S. May
/ E. Danso
65'
77'
S. Kerjota
/
I. Chesnokov
C. Kerr
/ R. McGowan
78'
J. Nouble
/ R. Muirhead
78'
84'
J. Altena
/
S. Kingsley
B. Fati
/ S. Lawal
87'
89'
B. Baningime
/
C. Devlin
89'
B. Spittal
/
A. Kyziridis
90'+6
90'+7
Marc Leonard
Pre-match prediction
14.52%
Livingston
28.09%
X ←
57.39%
Heart
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.52
1.97
+1.45
1.44
1.86
+0.42
xG dominance was balanced (1.97 – 1.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
26
Cristian Montaño
D
Cristian Montaño
D
27
Danny Wilson
D
Danny Wilson
D
19
D. Finlayson
D
D. Finlayson
D
3
Babacar Fati
87'
M
Babacar Fati
87'
M
17
Stevie May
1 ⚽
65'
M
Stevie May
1 ⚽
65'
M
24
Mohamad Sylla
M
Mohamad Sylla
M
15
Lewis Smith
1 ⚽
M
Lewis Smith
1 ⚽
M
2
78'
M
37
Scott Arfield
65'
F
Scott Arfield
65'
F
7
78'
F
Bench
10
Barrie McKay
M
Barrie McKay
M
9
Robbie Muirhead
19'
F
Robbie Muirhead
19'
F
8
Scott Pittman
32'
F
Scott Pittman
32'
F
25
G
3
Stephen Kingsley
84'
D
Stephen Kingsley
84'
D
5
D
4
D
31
Oisin McEntee
D
89
A. Kyziridis
89'
M
A. Kyziridis
89'
M
14
C. Devlin
89'
M
C. Devlin
89'
M
49
Marc Leonard
1 👟
M
Marc Leonard
1 👟
M
99
I. Chesnokov
77'
M
I. Chesnokov
77'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
1 ⚽
F
Cláudio Braga
1 ⚽
F
9
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
16
Blair Spittal
8'
M
Blair Spittal
8'
M
23
J. Altena
13'
D
J. Altena
13'
D
15
Michael Steinwender
D
Michael Steinwender
D
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
F
Best on the pitch
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
8.30
1 👟
· 76 pass
Lawrence Shankland
F · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
7 shots
· 29 pass
Cristian Montaño
D · Livingston
7.90
1 shots
· 29 pass
C. Devlin
M · Heart
7.90
· 75 pass
Lewis Smith
M · Livingston
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
D · Heart
7.50
· 89 pass
Livingston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Cristian Montaño | D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Danny Wilson | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Finlayson | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Babacar Fati | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Stevie May | M | 65 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mohamad Sylla | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Lewis Smith | M | 97 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — | |
| Scott Arfield | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Robbie Muirhead | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Scott Pittman | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Stephen Kingsley | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 89 | 80% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | — | — | — | |
| Oisin McEntee | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Kyziridis | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Devlin | M | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 6 | — | — |
| Marc Leonard | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 76 | 68% | 2 | — | 1 |
| I. Chesnokov | M | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Lawrence Shankland | F | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Altena | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Livingston vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Livingston 2–2 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Livingston vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Livingston win, 28% to a draw, and 57% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.