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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 14 March 30, 2026 17:00 Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”, Villavicencio
Llaneros
#10 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Once Caldas
#5 · 33 pts
K. Rincon 45'
7' J. A. Zapata Ramirez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Llaneros a 35% win probability (draw 37%, Once Caldas 27%). The final result was Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.25
1
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
1
5
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez⚽
38'
Pipe Gómez
Kevin Rincón
45'
⚽K. Rincon
45'
46'
J. Quinones / J. Alvarado ↕
46'
M. Zuleta / P. Gomez ↕
↕ K. Rincon / M. Sierra
52'
Kevin Caicedo
63'
66'
M. Barrios / D. Moreno ↕
↕ C. Cortes / J. Blanco
68'
↕ L. Miranda / J. Ramirez
68'
Jhon Vásquez
74'
77'
Jader Quinones
79'
H. Guzman / J. A. Zapata Ramirez ↕
84'
J. Beltran / L. Sanchez ↕
↕ K. Caicedo / L. Marimon
86'
↕ N. Ospina / J. Castro
86'
Juan Pertuz
89'
90'+1
Mateo Zuleta
Pre-match prediction
35.0%
Llaneros
37.28%
X ←
27.72%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 37.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Llaneros
0.97
1.18
+0.21
Once
0.80
1.25
+0.45
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 12 27
2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 12 24
3 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 11 23
4 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 10 22
5 Millonarios Millonarios 13 21
6 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 11 20
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 11 19
8 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 12 19
9 Cucuta Cucuta 12 15
10 Llaneros Llaneros 12 14
11 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 11 14
12 Once Caldas Once Caldas 12 13
13 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 13 13
14 Chico Chico 11 12
15 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 12 11
16 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 12 10
17 Junior Junior 11 9
18 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 12 9
19 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 11 8
20 Jaguares Jaguares 11 7
Lineups
Llaneros Llaneros 4-1-4-1
1 M. Ortega M. Ortega G 7.20
26 D. Quintero D. Quintero D 6.70
21 F. Meza F. Meza D 6.70
23 A. Moralez A. Moralez D 6.90
4 J. Pertúz J. Pertúz D 6.90
77
Kevin Rincón 1 ⚽ 52' M 7.50
35
K. Caicedo 86' M 6.30
7 L. Miranda L. Miranda 68' M 6.30
10 N. Ospina N. Ospina 86' M 6.90
95 J. Vásquez J. Vásquez M 6.90
9 C. Cortés C. Cortés 68' F 6.50
Bench
33 K. Osorio K. Osorio M
11
L. Marimon 9' F 6.30
6 Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora 38' M 7.30
Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
99
G 7.00
30 K. Tamayo K. Tamayo D 6.60
2 J. Cardona J. Cardona D 6.30
16 J. Castaño J. Castaño D 6.30
22 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta D 6.50
15 J. Alvarado J. Alvarado 45' M 6.50
88 Robert Mejía Robert Mejía M 6.90
9 Pipe Gómez Pipe Gómez 45' M 6.30
10 L. Sánchez L. Sánchez 83' M 7.00
14 J. Zapata J. Zapata 1 ⚽ 79' M 6.70
17 D. Moreno D. Moreno 66' F 6.50
Bench
21 H. Guzman H. Guzman 11' F 6.30
33 J. Patiño J. Patiño D
42 J. Quiñónes J. Quiñónes 45' M 6.30
23 K. Cuesta K. Cuesta M
28 M. Zuleta M. Zuleta 45' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Kevin Rincón
M · Llaneros
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora
M · Llaneros
7.30
· 17 pass
M. Ortega
M. Ortega
G · Llaneros
7.20
· 14 pass
L. Sánchez
L. Sánchez
M · Once
7.00
1 shots · 28 pass
G · Once
7.00
· 33 pass
Robert Mejía
Robert Mejía
M · Once
6.90
· 35 pass
Llaneros Llaneros — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Ortega G 90 7.20 — — — 14 14% — — —
D. Quintero D 90 6.70 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
F. Meza D 90 6.70 — — — 45 37% — — —
A. Moralez D 90 6.90 — — — 41 34% — — —
J. Pertúz D 90 6.90 — — 1 22 17% 1 1 —
Kevin Rincón M 52 7.50 1 — 1 11 11% 1 1 —
K. Caicedo M 86 6.30 — — — 24 19% 1 1 —
L. Miranda M 68 6.30 — — 2 25 21% — — —
N. Ospina M 86 6.90 — — 4 24 20% 1 — —
J. Vásquez M 90 6.90 — — 1 20 16% — 1 —
C. Cortés F 68 6.50 — — — 9 9% — — —
L. Marimon F 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora M 38 7.30 — — — 17 15% — — —
Once Caldas Once Caldas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 33 18% — — —
K. Tamayo D 90 6.60 — — — 16 15% 3 — —
J. Cardona D 90 6.30 — — 1 17 12% 1 — —
J. Castaño D 90 6.30 — — — 31 24% — — —
J. Cuesta D 90 6.50 — — — 25 19% — — —
J. Alvarado M 45 6.50 — — — 19 11% — — —
Robert Mejía M 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
Pipe Gómez M 45 6.30 — — — 15 13% — 1 —
L. Sánchez M 83 7.00 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
J. Zapata M 79 6.70 1 — 2 20 15% — — —
D. Moreno F 66 6.50 — — 1 12 8% — — —
H. Guzman F 11 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
J. Quiñónes M 45 6.30 — — — 7 7% — 1 —
M. Zuleta M 45 6.50 — — — 9 8% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Llaneros win, 37% to a draw, and 27% to an Once Caldas win.