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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 14 March 30, 2026 17:00
Llaneros
#14 · 22 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Once Caldas
#5 · 33 pts
K. Rincon 45'
7' J. A. Zapata Ramirez

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Llaneros a 35% win probability (draw 37%, Once Caldas 27%). The final result was Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.25
1
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
1
5
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez⚽
38'
Pipe Gómez
Kevin Rincón
45'
⚽K. Rincon
45'
46'
J. Quinones / J. Alvarado ↕
46'
M. Zuleta / P. Gomez ↕
↕ K. Rincon / M. Sierra
52'
Kevin Caicedo
63'
66'
M. Barrios / D. Moreno ↕
↕ C. Cortes / J. Blanco
68'
↕ L. Miranda / J. Ramirez
68'
Jhon Vásquez
74'
77'
Jader Quinones
79'
H. Guzman / J. A. Zapata Ramirez ↕
84'
J. Beltran / L. Sanchez ↕
↕ K. Caicedo / L. Marimon
86'
↕ N. Ospina / J. Castro
86'
Juan Pertuz
89'
90'+1
Mateo Zuleta
Pre-match prediction
35.0%
Llaneros
37.28%
X ←
27.72%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 37.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Llaneros
0.97
1.18
+0.21
Once
0.80
1.25
+0.45
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Llaneros Llaneros 4-1-4-1
1
M. Ortega G 7.20
26
Dennis Quintero D 6.70
21
Francisco Meza D 6.70
23
Alejandro Moralez D 6.90
4
J. Pertuz D 6.90
77
Kevin Rincón 1 ⚽ 52' M 7.50
35
K. Caicedo 86' M 6.30
7
L. Miranda 68' M 6.30
10
Neider Ospina 86' M 6.90
95 J. Vásquez J. Vásquez M 6.90
9
Carlos Cortés 68' F 6.50
Bench
33
Kelvin Osorio M
11
L. Marimon 9' F 6.30
6
Marlon Sierra 38' M 7.30
Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
99
G 7.00
30
K. Tamayo D 6.60
2 Jorge Cardona Jorge Cardona D 6.30
16 Juan Castaño Juan Castaño D 6.30
22 Juan David Cuesta Juan David Cuesta D 6.50
15 Jaime Alvarado Jaime Alvarado 45' M 6.50
88 Robert Mejía Robert Mejía M 6.90
9 Pipe Gómez Pipe Gómez 45' M 6.30
10 Luis Sánchez Luis Sánchez 83' M 7.00
14 Jefry Zapata Jefry Zapata 1 ⚽ 79' M 6.70
17 Dayro Moreno Dayro Moreno 66' F 6.50
Bench
21 Helieyker Guzman Helieyker Guzman 11' F 6.30
42 Jader Quinones Jader Quinones 45' M 6.30
33 Juan Patiño Juan Patiño D
23
K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez M
28 Mateo Zuleta Mateo Zuleta 45' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Kevin Rincón
M · Llaneros
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Marlon Sierra
M · Llaneros
7.30
· 17 pass
M. Ortega
G · Llaneros
7.20
· 14 pass
Luis Sánchez
Luis Sánchez
M · Once
7.00
1 shots · 28 pass
G · Once
7.00
· 33 pass
Robert Mejía
Robert Mejía
M · Once
6.90
· 35 pass
Llaneros Llaneros — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Ortega G 90 7.20 — — — 14 14% — — —
Dennis Quintero D 90 6.70 — — — 27 23% 1 — —
Francisco Meza D 90 6.70 — — — 45 37% — — —
Alejandro Moralez D 90 6.90 — — — 41 34% — — —
J. Pertuz D 90 6.90 — — 1 22 17% 1 1 —
Kevin Rincón M 52 7.50 1 — 1 11 11% 1 1 —
K. Caicedo M 86 6.30 — — — 24 19% 1 1 —
L. Miranda M 68 6.30 — — 2 25 21% — — —
Neider Ospina M 86 6.90 — — 4 24 20% 1 — —
J. Vásquez M 90 6.90 — — 1 20 16% — 1 —
Carlos Cortés F 68 6.50 — — — 9 9% — — —
L. Marimon F 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Marlon Sierra M 38 7.30 — — — 17 15% — — —
Once Caldas Once Caldas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 33 18% — — —
K. Tamayo D 90 6.60 — — — 16 15% 3 — —
Jorge Cardona D 90 6.30 — — 1 17 12% 1 — —
Juan Castaño D 90 6.30 — — — 31 24% — — —
Juan David Cuesta D 90 6.50 — — — 25 19% — — —
Jaime Alvarado M 45 6.50 — — — 19 11% — — —
Robert Mejía M 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
Pipe Gómez M 45 6.30 — — — 15 13% — 1 —
Luis Sánchez M 83 7.00 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
Jefry Zapata M 79 6.70 1 — 2 20 15% — — —
Dayro Moreno F 66 6.50 — — 1 12 8% — — —
Helieyker Guzman F 11 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Jader Quinones M 45 6.30 — — — 7 7% — 1 —
Mateo Zuleta M 45 6.50 — — — 9 8% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Llaneros win, 37% to a draw, and 27% to an Once Caldas win.