K. Rincon
45'
7'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Llaneros a 35% win probability (draw 37%, Once Caldas 27%). The final result was Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.25
1
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
8
Corners
1
5
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
J. A. Zapata Ramirez⚽
38'
Pipe Gómez
Kevin Rincón
45'
⚽K. Rincon
45'
46'
J. Quinones
/
J. Alvarado
46'
M. Zuleta
/
P. Gomez
K. Rincon
/ M. Sierra
52'
Kevin Caicedo
63'
66'
M. Barrios
/
D. Moreno
C. Cortes
/ J. Blanco
68'
L. Miranda
/ J. Ramirez
68'
Jhon Vásquez
74'
77'
Jader Quinones
79'
H. Guzman
/
J. A. Zapata Ramirez
84'
J. Beltran
/
L. Sanchez
K. Caicedo
/ L. Marimon
86'
N. Ospina
/ J. Castro
86'
Juan Pertuz
89'
90'+1
Mateo Zuleta
Pre-match prediction
35.0%
Llaneros
37.28%
X ←
27.72%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
37.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.18
+0.21
0.80
1.25
+0.45
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Miguel Ortega
G
Miguel Ortega
G
26
D. Quintero
D
D. Quintero
D
21
F. Meza
D
F. Meza
D
23
Alejandro Moralez
D
Alejandro Moralez
D
4
Juan Pertuz
D
Juan Pertuz
D
77
Kevin Rincón
1 ⚽
52'
M
35
K. Caicedo
86'
M
7
Luis Miranda
68'
M
Luis Miranda
68'
M
10
N. Ospina
86'
M
N. Ospina
86'
M
95
J. Vásquez
M
J. Vásquez
M
9
Carlos Cortés
68'
F
Carlos Cortés
68'
F
Bench
33
Kelvin Osorio
M
Kelvin Osorio
M
11
L. Marimon
9'
F
6
Marlon Sierra
38'
M
Marlon Sierra
38'
M
99
G
30
K. Tamayo
D
2
Jorge Cardona
D
Jorge Cardona
D
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
15
Jaime Alvarado
45'
M
Jaime Alvarado
45'
M
88
Robert Mejía
M
Robert Mejía
M
9
Pipe Gómez
45'
M
Pipe Gómez
45'
M
10
Luis Sánchez
83'
M
Luis Sánchez
83'
M
14
J. Zapata
1 ⚽
79'
M
J. Zapata
1 ⚽
79'
M
17
D. Moreno
66'
F
D. Moreno
66'
F
Bench
21
Helieyker Guzman
11'
F
Helieyker Guzman
11'
F
42
Jader Quinones
45'
M
Jader Quinones
45'
M
33
Juan Patiño
D
Juan Patiño
D
23
K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
M
28
Mateo Zuleta
45'
M
Mateo Zuleta
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Kevin Rincón
M · Llaneros
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Marlon Sierra
M · Llaneros
7.30
· 17 pass
Miguel Ortega
G · Llaneros
7.20
· 14 pass
Luis Sánchez
M · Once
7.00
1 shots
· 28 pass
G · Once
7.00
· 33 pass
Robert Mejía
M · Once
6.90
· 35 pass
Llaneros — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Ortega | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Quintero | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Meza | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Moralez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Juan Pertuz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Rincón | M | 52 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Caicedo | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Miranda | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| N. Ospina | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vásquez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Cortés | F | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Marimon | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Sierra | M | 38 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| K. Tamayo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorge Cardona | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Castaño | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jaime Alvarado | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Robert Mejía | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Sánchez | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 79 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Helieyker Guzman | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jader Quinones | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Zuleta | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Llaneros win, 37% to a draw, and 27% to an Once Caldas win.