Llantwit Major - Cardiff Draconians
FAW Championship
November 14, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.66%
Win
Llantwit Major
26.07%
Draw
47.27%
Win
Cardiff Draconians
0.52
3.38
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(9.11%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
26%
2
47%
Double Chance
1X
53%
X2
73%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cardiff Draconians a 47% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Llantwit Major. Expected goals are 0.5 for Llantwit Major and 3.4 for Cardiff Draconians (total 3.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.11% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Llantwit Major have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Cardiff Draconians.
Season Stats
4W
2D
9L
4W
3D
8L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.7
2.3
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
73%
O 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
3W
1D
6L
· at home
1W
2D
7L
· away
1.2
gls/g
1.1
1.8
Conceded
1.8
30%
Win %
10%
40%
Win or Draw
30%
70%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Llantwit Major
Cardiff Draconians →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| 3 | — | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Llantwit Major
Attack
15
Defence
34
Form
25
Cardiff Draconians
Attack
47
Defence
56
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
South
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea University
|
7 | 17 |
| 2 |
Aberystwyth Town
|
7 | 16 |
| 3 |
Pontypridd Town
|
7 | 16 |
| 4 |
Carmarthen Town
|
8 | 14 |
| 5 |
Caerau (Ely)
|
8 | 13 |
| 6 |
Treowen Stars
|
8 | 13 |
| 7 |
Baglan Dragons
|
9 | 13 |
| 8 |
Afan Lido
|
9 | 11 |
| 9 |
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Ynyshir Albions
|
7 | 10 |
| 11 |
Caerphilly Athletic
|
8 | 8 |
| 12 |
Newport City
|
6 | 7 |
| 13 |
Cardiff Draconians
|
6 | 7 |
| 14 |
Pontardawe Town
|
7 | 6 |
| 15 |
Llantwit Major
|
6 | 4 |
| 16 |
llanelli AFC
|
9 | 2 |
What's at stake · South
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #15 | #13 |
| → Llantwit Major | #14 | #13 |
| → Draw | #15 | #11 |
| → Cardiff Draconians | #15 | #11 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
The model gives Llantwit Major a 26% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 47% for an Cardiff Draconians win.
How many goals are expected in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
Expected goals: Llantwit Major 0.5, Cardiff Draconians 3.4 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Llantwit Major vs Cardiff Draconians?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.11%.