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Llanuwchllyn - Rhyl

FAW Championship November 14, 2026 15:00
#11 · 15 pts
vs
#13 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.87%
Win
Llanuwchllyn
29.25%
Draw
41.88%
Win
Rhyl
0.66
Expected xG
2.38

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.31%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 29%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 58%
X2 71%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rhyl a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Llanuwchllyn. Expected goals are 0.7 for Llanuwchllyn and 2.4 for Rhyl (total 3.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.31% probability.

Season Stats

Llanuwchllyn
4W 2D 7L
Rhyl
3W 6D 6L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.5
2.5
Conceded
1.9
Percentages
85%
O 1.5
87%
77%
O 2.5
67%
54%
BTTS
80%
15%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
56%
O 3.5
71%
BTTS
Llanuwchllyn
4W 1D 2L · at home
Rhyl
2W 2D 6L · away
2.9
gls/g
1.1
2.0
Conceded
2.1
57%
Win %
20%
71%
Win or Draw
40%
100%
O 1.5
80%
86%
O 2.5
70%
71%
O 3.5
40%
71%
BTTS
70%
29%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Llanuwchllyn Rhyl →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 11.3% 13.5% 10.7% 6.4% 3.0%
1 3.2% 7.5% 9.0% 7.1% 4.2% 2.0%
2 1.0% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

L Porthmadog 1–0
L Denbigh Town 3–4
D Bala Town 3–3
W Penrhyncoch 4–1
L Guilsfield 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
D Holyhead Hotspur 1–1
L Mold Alexandra 2–1
D Newtown AFC 2–2
D Ruthin Town 1–1
L Brickfield Rangers 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Llanuwchllyn Llanuwchllyn
Attack
63
Defence
50
Form
50
Rhyl Rhyl
Attack
45
Defence
47
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

North

# Team G Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers Brickfield Rangers 14 34
2 Newtown AFC Newtown AFC 13 30
3 Porthmadog Porthmadog 14 27
4 Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra 13 25
5 Bala Town Bala Town 14 24
6 Caersws Caersws 13 23
7 Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC 13 22
8 Guilsfield Guilsfield 14 18
9 Buckley Town Buckley Town 14 15
10 Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur 13 15
11 Llanuwchllyn Llanuwchllyn 14 15
12 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 13 14
13 Rhyl Rhyl 14 13
14 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 13 12
15 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 12 7
16 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 13 1

What's at stake · North

Top 2 advance to the next round

Llanuwchllyn Rhyl
Current #11 #13
→ Llanuwchllyn #9 #13
→ Draw #9 #13
→ Rhyl #12 #9

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Llanuwchllyn vs Rhyl?
The model gives Llanuwchllyn a 28% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 41% for an Rhyl win.
How many goals are expected in Llanuwchllyn vs Rhyl?
Expected goals: Llanuwchllyn 0.7, Rhyl 2.4 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Llanuwchllyn vs Rhyl?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.31%.