R. Bidounga
51'
16'
F. Alarcon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lokomotiv Sofia a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Beroe 34%). The final result was Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Beroe. In 2 previous meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Beroe.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
1.28
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
0
Match Events
16'
F. Alarcon⚽
27'
F. Costantini
35'
F. Varela
/
S. Yovkov
43'
F. Alarcon
⚽R. Bidounga
51'
Caue Caruzo
58'
A. Taoui
63'
63'
J. Pineda
K. Stanoev
/ R. Daskalov
73'
J. Ibe
/ E. Gerov
73'
73'
S. Gavrilov
/
F. Alarcon
85'
Y. Valbuena
/
M. Borgnino
Caue Caruzo
/ V. Velichkov
86'
D. Ali
/ M. Zakhariev
86'
B. Katsarov
90'+2
A. Taoui
/ N. Neychev
90'+3
90'+3
I. Ferrer
Pre-match prediction
42.24%
Lokomotiv
23.32%
X ←
34.44%
Beroe
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
1.70
+0.17
1.55
1.28
-0.27
Lokomotiv Sofia dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
M. Velichkov
G
14
A. Lyaskov
D
91
R. Bidounga
1 ⚽
D
44
B. Katsarov
D
2
Dzhuneyt Ali
D
5
E. Dost
M
31
K. Stanoev
M
7
S. Delev
M
11
A. Taoui
M
33
Jordon Ibe
M
77
Caue Caruzo Alves
F
Bench
24
A. Lyubenov
G
28
Donaldo Açka
M
45
Gerov Emil
F
26
K. Miloshev
M
42
N. Neychev
D
22
R. Daskalov
D
4
S. Dembélé
D
1
Arthur Motta
G
16
S. Yovkov
D
30
Santiago Brunelli
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
J. Salomoni
D
23
Tijan Sohna
D
Tijan Sohna
D
4
Facundo Costantini
D
Facundo Costantini
D
8
Marco Borgnino
M
12
David Valverde
D
7
J. Pineda
M
J. Pineda
M
11
Ismael Ferrer
M
15
Facundo Alarcon
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Caio Lopes
M
32
Francisco Varela
M
25
João Sérgio Milheirão
D
22
Miroslav Georgiev
F
24
S. Gavrilov
M
18
Stilyan Rusenov
M
99
Valentino Quintero
G
17
Wesley Dual
M
9
Yesid Valbuena
F
Lokomotiv Sofia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Velichkov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lyaskov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bidounga | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Katsarov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dzhuneyt Ali | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Dost | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Stanoev | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Delev | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Taoui | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordon Ibe | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caue Caruzo Alves | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Beroe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Motta | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Yovkov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Brunelli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Salomoni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijan Sohna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Costantini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Borgnino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Valverde | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Pineda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismael Ferrer | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Alarcon | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?
The final score was Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Beroe.
What did the model predict before Lokomotiv Sofia vs Beroe?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Lokomotiv Sofia win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Beroe win.