Premier League
· Regular Season - 29
May 10, 2026 18:30
A. Rudenko
4'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lokomotiv a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Baltika 29%). The final result was Lokomotiv 1–0 Baltika. In 4 previous meetings, Lokomotiv have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Baltika.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
2
15
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Rudenko
4'
12'
K. Andrade
E. Pogostnov
17'
E. Pogostnov
/ M. Nenakhov
23'
46'
Y. Kovalev
/
Derik Lacerda
60'
C. Offor
/
T. Yenne
60'
I. Belikov
/
M. Petrov
Z. Bakaev
64'
E. Morozov
65'
66'
(missed pen.)
I. Petrov⚽
A. Rudenko
/ S. Pinyaev
68'
72'
S. Kovac
/
I. Petrov
72'
A. Mourid
/
A. Mendel
D. Vorobyev
78'
Z. Bakaev
/ N. Saltykov
83'
L. Vera
/ V. Sarveli
83'
84'
N. Gassama
90'+2
M. Beveev
Pre-match prediction
37.85%
Lokomotiv ←
32.92%
X
29.22%
Baltika
we assigned to the actual result (Lokomotiv)
37.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.87
—
—
0.77
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Mitryushkin
G
A. Mitryushkin
G
3
Lucas Fasson
D
Lucas Fasson
D
59
E. Pogostnov
23'
D
E. Pogostnov
23'
D
85
E. Morozov
D
E. Morozov
D
45
A. Siljanov
D
A. Siljanov
D
32
Lucas Vera
83'
M
Lucas Vera
83'
M
93
A. Karpukas
M
A. Karpukas
M
25
D. Prutsev
M
D. Prutsev
M
19
A. Rudenko
1 ⚽
68'
F
A. Rudenko
1 ⚽
68'
F
10
D. Vorobjev
F
D. Vorobjev
F
7
Z. Bakaev
83'
F
Z. Bakaev
83'
F
Bench
94
Artem Timofeev
M
Artem Timofeev
M
2
Cristian Ramírez
D
Cristian Ramírez
D
74
D. Chevardin
D
D. Chevardin
D
90
D. Godyaev
M
D. Godyaev
M
16
D. Veselov
G
D. Veselov
G
22
I. Lantratov
G
I. Lantratov
G
24
M. Nenakhov
67'
D
M. Nenakhov
67'
D
88
M. Shchetinin
M
M. Shchetinin
M
14
N. Saltykov
13'
M
N. Saltykov
13'
M
99
R. Myalkovskiy
F
R. Myalkovskiy
F
9
S. Pinyaev
22'
M
S. Pinyaev
22'
M
8
Vladislav Sarvelyi
13'
M
Vladislav Sarvelyi
13'
M
44
E. Lyubakov
G
E. Lyubakov
G
4
N. Gassama
D
N. Gassama
D
16
K. Andrade
12'
D
K. Andrade
12'
D
21
E. Anderson
D
E. Anderson
D
23
M. Beveev
M
M. Beveev
M
8
A. Mendel
72'
M
A. Mendel
72'
M
10
I. Petrov
72'
M
I. Petrov
72'
M
2
S. Varatynov
M
S. Varatynov
M
18
Derik Lacerda
45'
F
Derik Lacerda
45'
F
15
Tenton Yenne
60'
F
Tenton Yenne
60'
F
73
M. Petrov
60'
F
M. Petrov
60'
F
Bench
5
A. Mourid
18'
M
A. Mourid
18'
M
36
Andrey Tsitsilin
G
Andrey Tsitsilin
G
90
C. Offor
30'
F
C. Offor
30'
F
26
I. Belikov
30'
D
I. Belikov
30'
D
81
I. Kukushkin
G
I. Kukushkin
G
69
Irakliy Manelov
F
Irakliy Manelov
F
68
M. Ryadno
D
M. Ryadno
D
14
S. Kovač
18'
M
S. Kovač
18'
M
42
V. Pospelov
M
V. Pospelov
M
11
Yuri Kovalev
45'
M
Yuri Kovalev
45'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Rudenko
F · Lokomotiv
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Lucas Fasson
D · Lokomotiv
8.00
· 61 pass
A. Siljanov
D · Lokomotiv
7.90
· 47 pass
A. Mendel
M · Baltika
7.50
· 20 pass
E. Anderson
D · Baltika
7.50
· 35 pass
A. Karpukas
M · Lokomotiv
7.50
· 60 pass
Lokomotiv — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mitryushkin | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Fasson | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Pogostnov | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Morozov | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Siljanov | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Vera | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 66% | — | — | — |
| A. Karpukas | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Prutsev | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rudenko | F | 68 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vorobjev | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Z. Bakaev | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Nenakhov | D | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | — | — | — |
| N. Saltykov | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Pinyaev | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Vladislav Sarvelyi | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Baltika — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lyubakov | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| N. Gassama | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Andrade | D | 12 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | 1 |
| E. Anderson | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Beveev | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mendel | M | 72 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Petrov | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Varatynov | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Derik Lacerda | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tenton Yenne | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Petrov | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mourid | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Offor | F | 30 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| I. Belikov | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Kovač | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Kovalev | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
The final score was Lokomotiv 1–0 Baltika.
What did the model predict before Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Lokomotiv win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Baltika win.