Premier League
· Regular Season - 29
May 10, 2026 18:30
A. Rudenko
4'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lokomotiv a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Baltika 29%). The final result was Lokomotiv 1–0 Baltika. In 3 previous meetings, Lokomotiv have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Baltika.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
2
15
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Rudenko
4'
12'
K. Andrade
E. Pogostnov
17'
E. Pogostnov
/ M. Nenakhov
23'
46'
Y. Kovalev
/
Derik Lacerda
60'
C. Offor
/
T. Yenne
60'
I. Belikov
/
M. Petrov
Z. Bakaev
64'
E. Morozov
65'
66'
(missed pen.)
I. Petrov⚽
A. Rudenko
/ S. Pinyaev
68'
72'
S. Kovac
/
I. Petrov
72'
A. Mourid
/
A. Mendel
D. Vorobyev
78'
Z. Bakaev
/ N. Saltykov
83'
L. Vera
/ V. Sarveli
83'
84'
N. Gassama
90'+2
M. Beveev
Pre-match prediction
37.85%
Lokomotiv ←
32.92%
X
29.22%
Baltika
we assigned to the actual result (Lokomotiv)
37.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.87
—
—
0.77
—
—
Lineups
1
Anton Mitryushkin
G
Anton Mitryushkin
G
3
Lucas Fasson
D
Lucas Fasson
D
59
Egor Pogostnov
23'
D
Egor Pogostnov
23'
D
85
Evgeniy Morozov
D
Evgeniy Morozov
D
45
Aleksandr Silyanov
D
Aleksandr Silyanov
D
32
Lucas Vera
83'
M
Lucas Vera
83'
M
93
Artem Karpukas
M
Artem Karpukas
M
25
Danyl Prutsev
M
Danyl Prutsev
M
19
A. Rudenko
1 ⚽
68'
F
A. Rudenko
1 ⚽
68'
F
10
D. Vorobjev
F
D. Vorobjev
F
7
Z. Bakaev
83'
F
Z. Bakaev
83'
F
Bench
94
Artem Timofeev
M
Artem Timofeev
M
2
Cristian Ramírez
D
Cristian Ramírez
D
74
Daniil Chevardin
D
Daniil Chevardin
D
16
Daniil Veselov
G
Daniil Veselov
G
90
D. Godyaev
M
D. Godyaev
M
22
Ilya Lantratov
G
Ilya Lantratov
G
24
Maksim Nenakhov
67'
D
Maksim Nenakhov
67'
D
88
Mikhail Shchetinin
M
Mikhail Shchetinin
M
14
Nikita Saltykov
13'
M
Nikita Saltykov
13'
M
99
Ruslan Myalkovskiy
F
9
Sergey Pinyaev
22'
M
Sergey Pinyaev
22'
M
8
Vladislav Sarvelyi
13'
M
Vladislav Sarvelyi
13'
M
44
Egor Lyubakov
G
Egor Lyubakov
G
4
Nathan Gassama
D
Nathan Gassama
D
16
K. Andrade
12'
D
K. Andrade
12'
D
21
Eduardo Anderson
D
Eduardo Anderson
D
23
M. Beveev
M
M. Beveev
M
8
Andrey Mendel
72'
M
Andrey Mendel
72'
M
10
I. Petrov
72'
M
I. Petrov
72'
M
2
Sergey Varatynov
M
Sergey Varatynov
M
18
Derik Lacerda
45'
F
Derik Lacerda
45'
F
15
T. Yenne
60'
F
T. Yenne
60'
F
73
Maksim Petrov
60'
F
Maksim Petrov
60'
F
Bench
36
Andrey Tsitsilin
G
Andrey Tsitsilin
G
5
Aymane Mourid
18'
M
Aymane Mourid
18'
M
26
I. Belikov
30'
D
I. Belikov
30'
D
69
Irakliy Manelov
F
Irakliy Manelov
F
81
Ivan Kukushkin
G
Ivan Kukushkin
G
68
Mikhail Ryadno
D
Mikhail Ryadno
D
90
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor
30'
F
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor
30'
F
14
Stefan Kovač
18'
M
Stefan Kovač
18'
M
42
Vladislav Pospelov
M
Vladislav Pospelov
M
11
Yuri Kovalev
45'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Rudenko
F · Lokomotiv
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Lucas Fasson
D · Lokomotiv
8.00
· 61 pass
Aleksandr Silyanov
D · Lokomotiv
7.90
· 47 pass
Andrey Mendel
M · Baltika
7.50
· 20 pass
Eduardo Anderson
D · Baltika
7.50
· 35 pass
Artem Karpukas
M · Lokomotiv
7.50
· 60 pass
Lokomotiv — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Mitryushkin | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Fasson | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Egor Pogostnov | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Evgeniy Morozov | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| Aleksandr Silyanov | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Vera | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Artem Karpukas | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 5 | — | — |
| Danyl Prutsev | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rudenko | F | 68 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vorobjev | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Z. Bakaev | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maksim Nenakhov | D | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Nikita Saltykov | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sergey Pinyaev | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Vladislav Sarvelyi | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Baltika — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egor Lyubakov | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Gassama | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Andrade | D | 12 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Eduardo Anderson | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Beveev | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrey Mendel | M | 72 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Petrov | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergey Varatynov | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Derik Lacerda | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Yenne | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Maksim Petrov | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Aymane Mourid | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Belikov | D | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Nnamdi Chinonso Offor | F | 30 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Kovač | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Kovalev | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
The final score was Lokomotiv 1–0 Baltika.
What did the model predict before Lokomotiv vs Baltika?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Lokomotiv win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Baltika win.