Lokomotiv - CSKA Moscow
Cup
August 04, 2026 19:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.77%
Win
Lokomotiv
25.4%
Draw
18.83%
Win
CSKA Moscow
2.12
0.63
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Lokomotiv
55.77%
Probability
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–0
(12.31%)
1X2 Result
1
56%
X
25%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
81%
X2
44%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
70%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lokomotiv a 55% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 18% for CSKA Moscow. Expected goals are 2.1 for Lokomotiv and 0.6 for CSKA Moscow (total 2.8), with a 84% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 12.31% probability. In 6 previous meetings, Lokomotiv have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for CSKA Moscow.
Season Stats
5W
2D
3L
6W
3D
3L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.6
1.3
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
90%
O 1.5
75%
70%
O 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
58%
30%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
27%
BTTS
2W
1D
1L
· at home
2W
2D
3L
· away
1.5
gls/g
1.1
0.8
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
29%
75%
Win or Draw
57%
75%
O 1.5
57%
25%
O 2.5
29%
25%
O 3.5
29%
25%
BTTS
29%
75%
Clean Sht
29%
25%
Failed to Score
57%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Lokomotiv
CSKA Moscow →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 13.6% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Lokomotiv
Attack
43
Defence
83
Form
67
CSKA Moscow
Attack
26
Defence
59
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
The model gives Lokomotiv a 55% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 18% for an CSKA Moscow win.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
Expected goals: Lokomotiv 2.1, CSKA Moscow 0.6 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 84%.
What is the most likely score in Lokomotiv vs CSKA Moscow?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.31%.