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Lokomotive Leipzig - FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

Regionalliga - Nordost September 26, 2026 14:00
Lokomotive Leipzig
#9 · 15 pts
vs
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
#1 · 24 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.57%
Win
Lokomotive Leipzig
24.99%
Draw
52.44%
Win
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
0.71
Expected xG
1.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (11.57%)
1X2 Result
1 23%
X 25%
2 52%
Double Chance
1X 48%
X2 77%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
✓ 87.8% hit rate (90 picks)
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt a 52% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Lokomotive Leipzig. Expected goals are 0.7 for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.8 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (total 2.5), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 11.57% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Lokomotive Leipzig have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt.

Season Stats

Lokomotive Leipzig
6W 5D 4L
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
9W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.9
1.7
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
73%
O 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
67%
13%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Regionalliga - Nordost. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Lokomotive Leipzig
2W 3D 5L · at home
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
6W 1D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.1
1.9
Conceded
1.0
20%
Win %
60%
50%
Win or Draw
70%
90%
O 1.5
100%
70%
O 2.5
80%
40%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%
10%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Lokomotive Leipzig FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8% 14.4% 13.3% 8.1% 3.7% 1.4%
1 5.5% 10.2% 9.4% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig
W FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1–2
D BFC Dynamo 2–2
D Greifswalder FC 3–3
L Erzgebirge Aue 1–2
L Chemnitzer FC 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
D Erzgebirge Aue 2–2
W Hertha BSC II 1–2
W RSV Eintracht 5–0
D BFC Preussen 1–1
W Luckenwalde 0–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig
Attack
44
Defence
53
Form
44
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Attack
71
Defence
81
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Lokomotive Leipzig
0
Draw
0
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
4 Apr 2026 Regionalliga - Nordost 2–1
5 Oct 2025 Regionalliga - Nordost 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 10 24
2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 10 23
3 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 10 21
4 Greifswalder FC Greifswalder FC 10 19
5 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 10 19
6 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 10 18
7 Altglienicke Altglienicke 10 18
8 FC Carl Zeiss Jena FC Carl Zeiss Jena 10 16
9 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 10 15
10 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 10 14
11 Magdeburg II Magdeburg II 10 13
12 BFC Preussen BFC Preussen 10 10
13 SV Babelsberg 03 SV Babelsberg 03 10 9
14 Hertha BSC II Hertha BSC II 10 8
15 BSG Chemie Leipzig BSG Chemie Leipzig 10 6
16 RSV Eintracht RSV Eintracht 10 6
17 Tasmania Berlin Tasmania Berlin 10 5
18 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 10 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
The model gives Lokomotive Leipzig a 22% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 52% for an FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
Expected goals: Lokomotive Leipzig 0.7, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1.8 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.57%.