Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 14
June 20, 2026 16:00
Bruno Santos
(ast. Vitinho Mota)
66'
Bruno Santos
90'+7
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Londrina a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Athletic Club 32%). The final result was Londrina 2–0 Athletic Club.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
1
1.61
Actual xG
0.65
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
8
Match Events
Iago Teles
34'
43'
Belezi
46'
Bruninho
/
Gustavinho
54'
Belezi
54'
Belezi
Joao Tavares
/ Thalis
57'
57'
Zeca
/
Max
⚽Bruno Santos
· ast. Vitinho Mota
66'
Vitinho Mota
/ Paulinho Moccelin
67'
Heron
/ Kevyn
67'
69'
Gabriel Moyses
/
Marcelo Henrique
69'
Enzo Santos
/
Diogo Batista
Lucas Marques
/ Andre Cardoso
83'
Iago Teles
/ Rafael Monteiro
83'
86'
D. Vera
/
Felipe Vieira
90'+5
G. Cabezas
⚽Bruno Santos
(pen.)
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
36.84%
Londrina ←
31.01%
X
32.15%
Athletic
we assigned to the actual result (Londrina)
36.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
1.61
+0.57
0.96
0.65
-0.31
Londrina dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Londrina vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Londrina 2–0 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Londrina vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Londrina win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Athletic Club win.