Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 11
May 31, 2026 16:00
65'
(ast. Enzo Bizzotto)
Andre Luis
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Londrina 28%). The final result was Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
3
0.68
Actual xG
0.82
2
Saves
5
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
9
12
Tackles
6
5
🟨 Yellow cards
6
2
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
5'
Gustavo Puskas
Lucas Marques
6'
11'
12'
Willian Maranhao
Iago Teles
17'
Paulinho Moccelin
39'
45'+1
Pedro Romano
46'
Hayner
/
Nathan Camargo
46'
Enzo Bizzotto
/
Willian Maranhao
46'
Andre Luis
/
Gustavo Puskas
59'
Dudu
Paulinho Moccelin
/ Vitinho Mota
59'
62'
Pedro Romano
62'
Pedro Romano
Andre Dhominique
63'
65'
ast. Enzo Bizzotto ·
Andre Luis⚽
66'
Caio Marcelo
/
Janderson
Andre Dhominique
68'
Andre Dhominique
68'
Thalis
/ Kaue Leonardo
70'
Heron
/ Rafael Monteiro
70'
77'
Willian Formiga
/
Dudu
Andre Luiz
/ Caio Rafael
78'
Lucas Marques
/ Fabiano
78'
Fabiano
81'
88'
Caio Marcelo
Pre-match prediction
28.82%
Londrina
28.18%
X
43.0%
Vila ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
43.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
0.68
-0.24
1.67
0.82
-0.85
xG dominance was balanced (0.68 – 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Kozlinski
G
Kozlinski
G
34
Heron
70'
D
Heron
70'
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
Gabriel Lacerda
D
3
Yago Lincoln
D
Yago Lincoln
D
13
André Dhominique
68'
D
André Dhominique
68'
D
8
Lucas Marques
78'
M
Lucas Marques
78'
M
5
André Luiz
78'
M
André Luiz
78'
M
11
Iago Teles
17'
M
Iago Teles
17'
M
96
Thalis Cantanhede
70'
M
Thalis Cantanhede
70'
M
18
Paulinho Moccelin
59'
M
Paulinho Moccelin
59'
M
9
Bruno Santos
F
Bruno Santos
F
Bench
17
André Cardoso
M
André Cardoso
M
28
Caio Maia
F
Caio Maia
F
55
Caio Rafael
12'
F
Caio Rafael
12'
F
27
Caio Rodrigues
D
Caio Rodrigues
D
19
Emiliano Rodriguez
F
Emiliano Rodriguez
F
20
Fabiano
12'
M
Fabiano
12'
M
32
João Tavares
M
João Tavares
M
53
João Vitor Gomes Lopes
D
João Vitor Gomes Lopes
D
29
Kauê Leonardo
20'
D
Kauê Leonardo
20'
D
1
Luan
G
Luan
G
6
Rafael Monteiro
20'
D
Rafael Monteiro
20'
D
7
Vitinho
31'
F
Vitinho
31'
F
1
Helton Leite
G
Helton Leite
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
4
Pedro Romano
62'
D
Pedro Romano
62'
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
Tiago Pagnussat
D
20
Nathan Camargo
45'
D
Nathan Camargo
45'
D
8
Willian Maranhão
45'
M
Willian Maranhão
45'
M
15
Dudu
77'
M
Dudu
77'
M
99
Janderson
66'
M
Janderson
66'
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
M
11
Ryan Lima
M
Ryan Lima
M
9
Gustavo Puskas
45'
F
Gustavo Puskas
45'
F
Bench
7
André Luís
1 ⚽
45'
F
André Luís
1 ⚽
45'
F
33
Bruno Xavier
M
Bruno Xavier
M
38
Caio Marcelo
24'
D
Caio Marcelo
24'
D
29
Dalberson
G
Dalberson
G
31
Dodô
M
Dodô
M
2
Elias
D
Elias
D
18
Enzo
1 👟
45'
M
Enzo
1 👟
45'
M
22
Hayner
45'
D
Hayner
45'
D
17
Kerlon
M
Kerlon
M
14
Samuel Frota Nunes
M
Samuel Frota Nunes
M
13
Willian Formiga
13'
D
Willian Formiga
13'
D
Best on the pitch
Tiago Pagnussat
D · Vila
7.70
· 76 pass
Helton Leite
G · Vila
7.60
· 15 pass
Enzo
M · Vila
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
André Luís
F · Vila
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Willian Formiga
D · Vila
6.90
· 10 pass
Hayner
D · Vila
6.90
· 30 pass
Londrina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kozlinski | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Heron | D | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Lacerda | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Yago Lincoln | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| André Dhominique | D | 68 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Lucas Marques | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| André Luiz | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Iago Teles | M | 17 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | 1 |
| Thalis Cantanhede | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho Moccelin | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Caio Rafael | F | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabiano | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kauê Leonardo | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Monteiro | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Higor | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Romano | D | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Camargo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Willian Maranhão | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Dudu | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Janderson | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Ryan Lima | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Puskas | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| André Luís | F | 45 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Caio Marcelo | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Enzo | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Hayner | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Willian Formiga | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Londrina vs Vila Nova?
The final score was Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova.
What did the model predict before Londrina vs Vila Nova?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Londrina win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Vila Nova win.