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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2 August 29, 2026 20:45 Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Lorient
#9 · 12 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Estac Troyes
#17 · 5 pts
J. Makengo 51'
(pen.) 29' R. Ripart
38' (ast. A. Mille) L. Maronnier
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 36% win probability (draw 33%, Estac Troyes 30%). The final result was Lorient 1–2 Estac Troyes.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
0
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
2
Corners
5
17
Tackles
21
Match Events
29'
(pen.) R. Ripart⚽
38'
ast. A. Mille · L. Maronnier⚽
⚽J. Makengo
51'
↕ G. Bernardeau / I. Jensen
66'
↕ M. Kone / A. Tosin
66'
67'
K. Diawara / H. Picard ↕
↕ J. Makengo / P. Katseris
73'
↕ T. Le Bris / S. Faye
73'
78'
D. Karim / A. Mille ↕
↕ N. Cadiou / N. Mbamba
84'
85'
A. Phliponeau / I. Gomis ↕
85'
Y. Kone / R. Ripart ↕
86'
N. Donkor / L. Maronnier ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.19%
Lorient
33.2%
X
30.6%
Estac ←
we assigned to the actual result (Estac Troyes) 30.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Lorient
0.39
—
—
Estac
0.44
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38 Y. Mvogo Y. Mvogo G 5.72
32 N. Adjei N. Adjei D 6.73
3 M. Talbi M. Talbi D 6.72
20 D. Sylla D. Sylla D 6.58
43 K. Kouassi K. Kouassi M 6.60
8 N. Cadiou N. Cadiou 84' M 6.48
62 A. Avom A. Avom M 6.90
11 T. Le Bris T. Le Bris 73' M 6.15
17 J. Makengo J. Makengo 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.76
33 G. Bernardeau G. Bernardeau 66' M 5.86
Bench
2 A. Georgen A. Georgen D 0.00
15 A. Tosin A. Tosin 24' F 6.37
21 B. Kamara B. Kamara G 0.00
10 I. Jensen I. Jensen 24' F 6.26
72 N. Mbamba N. Mbamba 6' M 5.97
55 N. Obaretin N. Obaretin D 0.00
77 P. Katseris P. Katseris 17' D 6.09
19 S. Faye S. Faye 17' F 6.51
95 S. Touré S. Touré D 0.00
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1
33 P. Beach P. Beach G 6.14
3 A. Ouzenadji A. Ouzenadji D 6.22
4 M. Diaz M. Diaz D 6.96
6 A. Monfray A. Monfray D 7.10
2 L. Maronnier L. Maronnier 1 ⚽ 86' D 7.36
8 M. Diop M. Diop M 6.24
17 A. Mille A. Mille 1 👟 78' M 7.09
11 I. Gomis I. Gomis 85' M 6.29
22 H. Picard H. Picard 67' M 6.40
10 M. Ifnaoui M. Ifnaoui M 6.67
20 R. Ripart R. Ripart 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.32
Bench
26 A. Phliponeau A. Phliponeau 5' M 6.37
29 D. Karim D. Karim 12' M 6.34
40 H. Konaté H. Konaté G 0.00
36 I. Soukouna I. Soukouna M 0.00
7 K. Diawara K. Diawara 23' F 6.87
5 P. Gozzi P. Gozzi D 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Makengo
J. Makengo
M · Lorient
7.76
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
L. Maronnier
L. Maronnier
D · Estac
7.36
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
R. Ripart
R. Ripart
F · Estac
7.32
1 ⚽
5 shots · 25 pass
A. Monfray
A. Monfray
D · Estac
7.10
1 shots · 51 pass
A. Mille
A. Mille
M · Estac
7.09
1 👟
1 shots · 34 pass
M. Diaz
M. Diaz
D · Estac
6.96
1 shots · 29 pass
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Mvogo G 90 5.72 — — 0 29 26% 0 — —
N. Adjei D 90 6.73 — — 0 87 78% 2 — —
M. Talbi D 90 6.72 — — 0 106 101% 2 — —
D. Sylla D 90 6.58 — — 0 73 70% 0 — —
K. Kouassi M 90 6.60 — — 0 54 46% 2 — —
N. Cadiou M 84 6.48 — — 2 86 70% 4 — —
A. Avom M 90 6.90 — — 3 96 84% 4 — —
T. Le Bris M 73 6.15 — — 1 39 33% 2 — —
J. Makengo M 73 7.76 1 — 1 36 34% 0 — —
G. Bernardeau M 66 5.86 — — 2 21 10% 1 — —
A. Tosin F 24 6.37 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
I. Jensen F 24 6.26 — — 0 15 15% 0 — —
N. Mbamba M 6 5.97 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
P. Katseris D 17 6.09 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
S. Faye F 17 6.51 — — 1 5 2% 0 — —
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Beach G 90 6.14 — — 0 26 10% 0 — —
A. Ouzenadji D 90 6.22 — — 0 31 21% 2 — —
M. Diaz D 90 6.96 — — 1 29 25% 1 — —
A. Monfray D 90 7.10 — — 1 51 43% 5 — —
L. Maronnier D 86 7.36 1 — 1 25 20% 3 — —
M. Diop M 90 6.24 — — 0 24 20% 2 — —
A. Mille M 78 7.09 — 1 1 34 24% 3 — —
I. Gomis M 85 6.29 — — 2 21 16% 1 — —
H. Picard M 67 6.40 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
M. Ifnaoui M 90 6.67 — — 0 33 28% 1 — —
R. Ripart F 86 7.32 1 — 5 25 14% 3 — —
A. Phliponeau M 5 6.37 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
D. Karim M 12 6.34 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
K. Diawara F 23 6.87 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
The final score was Lorient 1–2 Estac Troyes.
What did the model predict before Lorient vs Estac Troyes?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Lorient win, 33% to a draw, and 30% to an Estac Troyes win.